sportfanatic71
Pretty much a regular
2006 Posted Season Record: 45-23 66%
2007 Posted Season Record: 50-40 56%
8-4 Last Week hitting both LTNW
18-9 66% last 2 weeks
Hey guys. Just heard of this site recently and seems to have a fair amount of solid cappers with great information so thought I would join and hopefully add to the cause.
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2007 Posted Season Record: 50-40 56%
8-4 Last Week hitting both LTNW
18-9 66% last 2 weeks
Hey guys. Just heard of this site recently and seems to have a fair amount of solid cappers with great information so thought I would join and hopefully add to the cause.
*****Larger Than Normal Wager*****
USC Trojans +3
></o>
Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. <o></o>
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. <o></o>
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in <st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State>. <o></o>
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings<o></o>
USC Trojans +3
<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State> comes in off another blowout win on the road while USC comes in off big win over lowly notre dame. <st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State> has been flying high with the #2 ranked offense, 3<SUP>rd</SUP> in rushing and 38<SUP>th</SUP> in passing. USC has the #3 total defense, 3<SUP>rd</SUP> rushing, and 20<SUP>th</SUP> passing. USC has the 32<SUP>nd</SUP> ranked offense, 20<SUP>th</SUP> rushing and 55<SUP>th</SUP> passing. <st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State> defense ranks 67<SUP>th</SUP> overall, 50<SUP>th</SUP> against the run and 88<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass. So both teams have great offenses but USC dominates when comparing defenses which I think is being overlooked. But USC has not seen an offense like <st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State> at the same time. USC ranks 94<SUP>th</SUP> in total turnovers while <st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State> ranks 34<SUP>th</SUP> in turnovers forced. <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
<office:smarttags" /><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State> comes in off another blowout win on the road while USC comes in off big win over lowly notre dame. <st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State> has been flying high with the #2 ranked offense, 3<SUP>rd</SUP> in rushing and 38<SUP>th</SUP> in passing. USC has the #3 total defense, 3<SUP>rd</SUP> rushing, and 20<SUP>th</SUP> passing. USC has the 32<SUP>nd</SUP> ranked offense, 20<SUP>th</SUP> rushing and 55<SUP>th</SUP> passing. <st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State> defense ranks 67<SUP>th</SUP> overall, 50<SUP>th</SUP> against the run and 88<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass. So both teams have great offenses but USC dominates when comparing defenses which I think is being overlooked. But USC has not seen an offense like <st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State> at the same time. USC ranks 94<SUP>th</SUP> in total turnovers while <st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State> ranks 34<SUP>th</SUP> in turnovers forced. <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>></o>Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. <o
></o>Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. <o
></o>Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in <st1:State><st1
lace><st1:State><st1lace>Oregon</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State>. <o></o>Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings<o
></o><o> </o><st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>ORE</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State> 102<o></o>
> </o><st1:State><st1lace><st1:State><st1lace>ORE</st1lace></st1:State></st1lace></st1:State> 102<o></o>USC 116
*****Larger Than Normal Wager*****
Virginia Cavaliers -3
NCST off a dog su win at ECU while <st1:State><st1lace>Virginia</st1lace></st1:State> won at <st1:State><st1lace>Maryland</st1lace></st1:State>. NCST is without their top 2 running backs and starting QB. <st1:State><st1lace>Virginia</st1lace></st1:State> has the 102<SUP>nd</SUP> ranked offense, 77<SUP>th</SUP> passing and 92<SUP>nd</SUP> rushing. But they have a very versatile QB in sewell who makes things happen. NCST defense ranks 77<SUP>th</SUP> overall 103<SUP>rd</SUP> against the rush allowing over 200yds a game and 34<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass. NCST offense ranks 104<SUP>th</SUP> overall, 109<SUP>th</SUP> rushing and 53<SUP>rd</SUP> passing. <st1:State><st1lace>Virginia</st1lace></st1:State> defense which is the x factor in this game ranks 21<SUP>st</SUP> overall, 25<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass and 34<SUP>th</SUP> on the ground. Led by chris long cavs rank 19<SUP>th</SUP> in the nation in sacks while ncst ranks 81<SUP>st</SUP> in sacks allowed. Finally ncst does not take care of the football being 117<SUP>th</SUP> in total turnovers. Cavs 3 road wins has been by a combined 5 points. <o></o>
<o></o>
NCST 5<o></o>
<st1:State><st1lace>VIRGINIA</st1lace></st1:State> 47<o></o>
<oVirginia Cavaliers -3
NCST off a dog su win at ECU while <st1:State><st1
lace>Virginia</st1lace></st1:State> won at <st1:State><st1lace>Maryland</st1lace></st1:State>. NCST is without their top 2 running backs and starting QB. <st1:State><st1lace>Virginia</st1lace></st1:State> has the 102<SUP>nd</SUP> ranked offense, 77<SUP>th</SUP> passing and 92<SUP>nd</SUP> rushing. But they have a very versatile QB in sewell who makes things happen. NCST defense ranks 77<SUP>th</SUP> overall 103<SUP>rd</SUP> against the rush allowing over 200yds a game and 34<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass. NCST offense ranks 104<SUP>th</SUP> overall, 109<SUP>th</SUP> rushing and 53<SUP>rd</SUP> passing. <st1:State><st1lace>Virginia</st1lace></st1:State> defense which is the x factor in this game ranks 21<SUP>st</SUP> overall, 25<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass and 34<SUP>th</SUP> on the ground. Led by chris long cavs rank 19<SUP>th</SUP> in the nation in sacks while ncst ranks 81<SUP>st</SUP> in sacks allowed. Finally ncst does not take care of the football being 117<SUP>th</SUP> in total turnovers. Cavs 3 road wins has been by a combined 5 points. <o></o><o
></o>NCST 5<o
></o><st1:State><st1
lace>VIRGINIA</st1lace></st1:State> 47<o></o>
></o><o
></o> <o
>*****Larger Than Nomal Wager*****
Kansas Jayhawks -2.5
<st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State> comes in off an impressive road win outside of <st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State> while A&M comes in off a road win over lowly <st1:State><st1lace>Nebraska</st1lace></st1:State>. Kansas D is a big step up from what mcgee and co. saw last week ranking #5 overall and 7<SUP>th</SUP> against the run which is A&M strong suit ranking 5<SUP>th</SUP> but 111<SUP>th</SUP> through the air. <st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State> has the 10<SUP>th</SUP> ranked offense and A&M gives up 265 through the air (100<SUP>th</SUP>) <st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State> will have time to throw as well as A&M ranks 103<SUP>rd</SUP> in sacks. <st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State> averages 3 penalties a game (2<SUP>nd</SUP> in nation)<o></o>
<o></o>
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.<o></o>
<o></o>
A&M 69<o></o>
<st1:State><st1lace>Kan</st1lace></st1:State> 114
According to my numbers this is the largest differential ive seen with such a low number SOS is the only thing not making this a "GOY" type play
Medium Play: Texas Tech Red Raiders -13.5
<st1:State><st1lace>Texas</st1lace></st1:State> tech comes in off a blowout loss at <st1:State><st1lace>Missouri</st1lace></st1:State> while <st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> suffered a home loss to <st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State>. Raiders come in of course with the #1 total offense and #1 passing game. <st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> defense ranks 35<SUP>th</SUP> overall and 34<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass. <st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> offense ranks 68<SUP>th</SUP> overall 82<SUP>nd</SUP> rushing and 45<SUP>th</SUP> passing. Texas Tech defense ranks 51<SUP>st</SUP> overall 81<SUP>st</SUP> against the run and 14<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass. <st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> ranks 2<SUP>nd</SUP> in fumbles while tt ranks 2<SUP>nd</SUP> in fumbles forced. <st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> while being 34<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass is 70<SUP>th</SUP> in yards allowed per pass. Harrell completes almost 73% of his passes (tops in the nation)<o></o>
<o></o>
Buffaloes are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 conference games <o></o>
<o></o>
<st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> 16<o></o>
<st1:State><st1lace>Texas</st1lace></st1:State> Tech 99
Medium Play: Georgia Bulldogs +9.5
This play is solely based on situation and rivalry plus the fact that the last 5 meetings have been decided by a TD or less. <o></o>
<o></o>
<o>
Medium Play: Houston Cougars -3.5
Utep comes in off a bye week while <st1:City><st1lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> off a blowout win over UAB. <st1:City><st1lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> has the 6<SUP>th</SUP> ranked total offense, 13<SUP>th</SUP> rushing and 15<SUP>th</SUP> passing. UTEP is ranked 115<SUP>th</SUP> overall defense, 78<SUP>th</SUP> rushing and 117<SUP>th</SUP> passing. UTEP has the 15<SUP>th</SUP> ranked offense which is balanced but <st1:City><st1lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> ranks 46<SUP>th</SUP> overall in defense and that is where the key to this game lies. The thing that worries me here is <st1:City><st1lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> ranks 113<SUP>th</SUP> in total turnovers while UTEP ranks 10<SUP>th</SUP> in turnovers forced. <o></o>
<o></o>
UTEP 81 <o></o>
<st1:City><st1lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> 100
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<o><o></o></o>
<o><o>
Medium Play: Arizona State Sun Devils -3
<st1:State><st1lace>Cal</st1lace></st1:State> off a loss to UCLA while ASU was on a bye week. ASU comes in with the 25<SUP>th</SUP> ranked offense, 33<SUP>rd</SUP> rushing and 35<SUP>th</SUP> passing. Very balanced! <st1:State><st1lace>Cal</st1lace></st1:State> defense ranks 60<SUP>th</SUP> overall, 39<SUP>th</SUP> against the run and 81<SUP>st</SUP> against the pass. On the other side of things ASU ranks 19<SUP>th</SUP> overall defense, 17<SUP>th</SUP> against the run and 48<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass. <st1:State><st1lace>Cal</st1lace></st1:State> offense ranks 41<SUP>st</SUP> overall, 39<SUP>th</SUP> on run and 50<SUP>th</SUP> pass. ASU ranks 11<SUP>th</SUP> in pass comp % while cal ranks 107<SUP>th</SUP>. ASU also ranks 2<SUP>nd</SUP> in time of possession<o></o>
<o> </o>
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games<o></o>
Golden Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference<o></o>
Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings<o></o>
Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games<o></o>
Sun Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.<o></o>
Golden Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass
Large Play: West Virginia Mountaineers -6
WVU comes in off a big win over SEC miss st and <st1lace>Rutgers</st1lace> comes in off an emotional upset over #2 south <st1:State><st1lace>florida</st1lace></st1:State>. WVU has owned <st1lace>Rutgers</st1lace> winning the last 10 meetings SU. WVU with the 2<SUP>nd</SUP> ranked rushing attack will take on the 41<SUP>st</SUP> ranked rushing defense. <st1lace>Rutgers</st1lace> is great against the pass only allowing 170 yards (8<SUP>th</SUP>). MD outrushed <st1lace>Rutgers</st1lace> by 160 yards in their upset victory a couple weeks back. Im using that game as a measuring stick here. <st1lace>Rutgers</st1lace> on offense ranks 13<SUP>th</SUP> overall with a balanced attack. WVU defense ranks 4<SUP>th</SUP> overall with their passing defense being their strength. WVU forces 3 fumbles a game which is tops in the nation. WVU has the better overall talent and smarter team. 2 out of the 3 games Rutgers has lost this year they have been outrushed, they WILL be out rushed here.<o></o>
<o></o>
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.<o></o>
Scarlet Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. <o></o>
Scarlet Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.<o></o>
Mountaineers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games
BOL to everyone this week :cheers:<o></o>
<o></o>></o>
Kansas Jayhawks -2.5
<st1:State><st1
lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State> comes in off an impressive road win outside of <st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State> while A&M comes in off a road win over lowly <st1:State><st1lace>Nebraska</st1lace></st1:State>. Kansas D is a big step up from what mcgee and co. saw last week ranking #5 overall and 7<SUP>th</SUP> against the run which is A&M strong suit ranking 5<SUP>th</SUP> but 111<SUP>th</SUP> through the air. <st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State> has the 10<SUP>th</SUP> ranked offense and A&M gives up 265 through the air (100<SUP>th</SUP>) <st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State> will have time to throw as well as A&M ranks 103<SUP>rd</SUP> in sacks. <st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State> averages 3 penalties a game (2<SUP>nd</SUP> in nation)<o></o><o
></o>Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.<o
></o><o
></o>A&M 69<o
></o><st1:State><st1
lace>Kan</st1lace></st1:State> 114According to my numbers this is the largest differential ive seen with such a low number SOS is the only thing not making this a "GOY" type play
<st1:State><st1
lace>Texas</st1lace></st1:State> tech comes in off a blowout loss at <st1:State><st1lace>Missouri</st1lace></st1:State> while <st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> suffered a home loss to <st1:State><st1lace>Kansas</st1lace></st1:State>. Raiders come in of course with the #1 total offense and #1 passing game. <st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> defense ranks 35<SUP>th</SUP> overall and 34<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass. <st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> offense ranks 68<SUP>th</SUP> overall 82<SUP>nd</SUP> rushing and 45<SUP>th</SUP> passing. Texas Tech defense ranks 51<SUP>st</SUP> overall 81<SUP>st</SUP> against the run and 14<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass. <st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> ranks 2<SUP>nd</SUP> in fumbles while tt ranks 2<SUP>nd</SUP> in fumbles forced. <st1:State><st1lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> while being 34<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass is 70<SUP>th</SUP> in yards allowed per pass. Harrell completes almost 73% of his passes (tops in the nation)<o></o><o
></o>Buffaloes are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 conference games <o
></o><o
></o><st1:State><st1
lace>Colorado</st1lace></st1:State> 16<o></o><st1:State><st1
lace>Texas</st1lace></st1:State> Tech 99
This play is solely based on situation and rivalry plus the fact that the last 5 meetings have been decided by a TD or less.
></o><o
></o> <o
>
Utep comes in off a bye week while <st1:City><st1
lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> off a blowout win over UAB. <st1:City><st1lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> has the 6<SUP>th</SUP> ranked total offense, 13<SUP>th</SUP> rushing and 15<SUP>th</SUP> passing. UTEP is ranked 115<SUP>th</SUP> overall defense, 78<SUP>th</SUP> rushing and 117<SUP>th</SUP> passing. UTEP has the 15<SUP>th</SUP> ranked offense which is balanced but <st1:City><st1lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> ranks 46<SUP>th</SUP> overall in defense and that is where the key to this game lies. The thing that worries me here is <st1:City><st1lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> ranks 113<SUP>th</SUP> in total turnovers while UTEP ranks 10<SUP>th</SUP> in turnovers forced. <o></o><o
></o>UTEP 81 <o
></o><st1:City><st1
lace>Houston</st1lace></st1:City> 100
*****Larger Than Normal Wager*****
Boston College Eagles +3.5
Thursday night game in <st1:City><st1lace>Blacksburg</st1lace></st1:City>. Both teams come in off a bye week so both will be rested. VT ranks 112<SUP>th</SUP> in total offense with their strength being the running game. BC has the #1 rushing defense allowing only 46 yards on the ground a game but the 105<SUP>th</SUP> ranked passing defense. On the other side of the ball VT has the 12<SUP>th</SUP> ranked defense but 40<SUP>th</SUP> in passing. VT ranks 3<SUP>rd</SUP> in sacks but BC is 2<SUP>nd</SUP> in sacks allowed. BC also does not turn the ball over. VT ranks 108<SUP>th</SUP> in sacks allowed so BC should be able to put pressure on.
<oBoston College Eagles +3.5
Thursday night game in <st1:City><st1
lace>Blacksburg</st1lace></st1:City>. Both teams come in off a bye week so both will be rested. VT ranks 112<SUP>th</SUP> in total offense with their strength being the running game. BC has the #1 rushing defense allowing only 46 yards on the ground a game but the 105<SUP>th</SUP> ranked passing defense. On the other side of the ball VT has the 12<SUP>th</SUP> ranked defense but 40<SUP>th</SUP> in passing. VT ranks 3<SUP>rd</SUP> in sacks but BC is 2<SUP>nd</SUP> in sacks allowed. BC also does not turn the ball over. VT ranks 108<SUP>th</SUP> in sacks allowed so BC should be able to put pressure on.
></o></o><o
><o></o></o> <o
><o>
<st1:State><st1
lace>Cal</st1lace></st1:State> off a loss to UCLA while ASU was on a bye week. ASU comes in with the 25<SUP>th</SUP> ranked offense, 33<SUP>rd</SUP> rushing and 35<SUP>th</SUP> passing. Very balanced! <st1:State><st1lace>Cal</st1lace></st1:State> defense ranks 60<SUP>th</SUP> overall, 39<SUP>th</SUP> against the run and 81<SUP>st</SUP> against the pass. On the other side of things ASU ranks 19<SUP>th</SUP> overall defense, 17<SUP>th</SUP> against the run and 48<SUP>th</SUP> against the pass. <st1:State><st1lace>Cal</st1lace></st1:State> offense ranks 41<SUP>st</SUP> overall, 39<SUP>th</SUP> on run and 50<SUP>th</SUP> pass. ASU ranks 11<SUP>th</SUP> in pass comp % while cal ranks 107<SUP>th</SUP>. ASU also ranks 2<SUP>nd</SUP> in time of possession<o></o><o
> </o>Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games<o
></o>Golden Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference<o
></o>Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings<o
></o>Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games<o
></o>Sun Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.<o
></o>Golden Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass
WVU comes in off a big win over SEC miss st and <st1
lace>Rutgers</st1lace> comes in off an emotional upset over #2 south <st1:State><st1lace>florida</st1lace></st1:State>. WVU has owned <st1lace>Rutgers</st1lace> winning the last 10 meetings SU. WVU with the 2<SUP>nd</SUP> ranked rushing attack will take on the 41<SUP>st</SUP> ranked rushing defense. <st1lace>Rutgers</st1lace> is great against the pass only allowing 170 yards (8<SUP>th</SUP>). MD outrushed <st1lace>Rutgers</st1lace> by 160 yards in their upset victory a couple weeks back. Im using that game as a measuring stick here. <st1lace>Rutgers</st1lace> on offense ranks 13<SUP>th</SUP> overall with a balanced attack. WVU defense ranks 4<SUP>th</SUP> overall with their passing defense being their strength. WVU forces 3 fumbles a game which is tops in the nation. WVU has the better overall talent and smarter team. 2 out of the 3 games Rutgers has lost this year they have been outrushed, they WILL be out rushed here.<o></o><o
></o>Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.<o
></o>Scarlet Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. <o
></o>
Scarlet Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.<o
></o>
Mountaineers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games
BOL to everyone this week :cheers:<o
></o>
></o>
</o></o></SPAN>
</o></SPAN>
). GLTY this weekend...
