$$$ Week #9 ML Dogs Discussion $$$

[B.A.R.]

Dog's continue to win it on the field at a very nice rate!!

Last week's winners!!


NMSU
Western Kentucky
UTEP
UCLA
South Carolina
ODU
Tennessee
Toledo
Illinois
NC State
Rice
Baylor
Georgia Southern
Colorado
Georgia
Michigan State
TCU


What's next for this week!?

 

[B.A.R.]

Michigan State will be a popular one, right?

I have nothing to support a UM play -- the dreaded 'players only' meeting apparently happened last night or will be today.

 

[CPA-hole]

I know the MW teams have a little extra juice playing OSU and Wazzu this year. But now the Beave gets their 'chip on the shoulder' game at Cal. Cal off 3 tough ACC games now getting OSU at home.

Idk. Could just see with the motivation edge after 2 losses to MW teams.

I usually fade my own, but i don't think CSU should be laying 7 to UNM. UNM will score. Should be closer to a fg IMO.

 

[B.A.R.]

I know the MW teams have a little extra juice playing OSU and Wazzu this year. But now the Beave gets their 'chip on the shoulder' game at Cal. Cal off 3 tough ACC games now getting OSU at home.

Idk. Could just see with the motivation edge after 2 losses to MW teams.

I usually fade my own, but i don't think CSU should be laying 7 to UNM. UNM will score. Should be closer to a fg IMO.

I like that situational thought there...

Yeah, I definitely wouldn't be laying a tuddy there at all with the Rams.

 

[FadeTheHype]

BYU an underdog at UCF...interesting. Cincy might be worth a look at Colorado

 

[CPA-hole]

BYU an underdog at UCF...interesting. Cincy might be worth a look at Colorado

I may be wrong but the UCF line didn't flip until yesterday? I thought BYU was -2 until yesterday

 

[B.A.R.]

I may be wrong but the UCF line didn't flip until yesterday? I thought BYU was -2 until yesterday

Think that's right

 

[C-MAN]

That BYU line is fishy as hell.

 

[2daBank]

That BYU line is fishy as hell.

Makes no sense. Feel like they well equipt to deal with ucf offense.

 

[2daBank]

I think lsu beats texas am, we will see the difference w mizzou former dc now at lsu, their d looks to be getting better and think they give weigman all kinds of problems. If lsu can block just long enough for Nussmeyer I think he will pick the secondary apart.

 

[twinkie13]

LSU PK now I heard?

 

[CPA-hole]

UCF

That BYU line is fishy as hell.

I was in the UCF quit boat then they nearly beat ISU despite the qb going 8-20 for 62 yds and 2 into.

I want no part of this game.

 

[TStar]

I think Oklahoma St. has a good shot at beating Baylor. Its time for all those returning starters to kick it in gear.

 

[satnightfever05]

I think lsu beats texas am, we will see the difference w mizzou former dc now at lsu, their d looks to be getting better and think they give weigman all kinds of problems. If lsu can block just long enough for Nussmeyer I think he will pick the secondary apart.

Tough stretch for LSU dog and outright cover vs Ole Miss in OT, at Arkansas (rival) and now road game at blackout A&M.. they gotta be beat

 

[satnightfever05]

I think Oklahoma St. has a good shot at beating Baylor. Its time for all those returning starters to kick it in gear.

Really starting to like Okie St.. Bowman back at QB.. but why is Baylor all of a sudden good enough to lay any points here

 

[2daBank]

Tough stretch for LSU dog and outright cover vs Ole Miss in OT, at Arkansas (rival) and now road game at blackout A&M.. they gotta be beat

I just think they better. I see way more paths to victory for lsu, im not the best when it comes to situation spot so maybe im taking that to lightly. I really dont buy Weigmsm and I do buy lsu dc and how improved that group starting to look. My only concern is am pass rush exploiting the right side lsu oline but I think Nussmeyer can get ball out quick evough to negate that and I don’t believe Aggies secondary can cover lsu wrs. Nothing against Elko he a good coach but in Brian Kelly I trust, even if he is a douche.

 

[2daBank]

Really starting to like Okie St.. Bowman back at QB.. but why is Baylor all of a sudden good enough to lay any points here

Agree with that, I have okie light wrote down, I don’t love them but agree totally bout Baylor not really deserving to be laying this kind of number.

I assume king gonna be out for Gtech again? Can’t imagine that line be anywhere close to 10 if he was playing? That a bummer I’d love Gtech with king.

 

[2daBank]

UCF
I was in the UCF quit boat then they nearly beat ISU despite the qb going 8-20 for 62 yds and 2 into.

I want no part of this game.

I’ve done so well with byu being seemingly underrated every week im willing to say fuck it and play them. Not like oddsmakers have had a great handle on ucf, they were what 10 point favs when prime team smashed them, then as you said they damn near best isu and the d was the most impressive I’ve seen them all year. I just think the path to beating ucf is pretty straight forward and imo byu d can do the things it takes to make that offense look bad. I know it a straight sucker bet but I don’t think I can help myself, I rather play byu and lose than pass and they win, lol.

 

[2daBank]

LSU PK now I heard?

I saw before I fell asleep they were down to +1. I rather not see line flip but I love lsu,

 

[CPA-hole]

I’ve done so well with byu being seemingly underrated every week im willing to say fuck it and play them. Not like oddsmakers have had a great handle on ucf, they were what 10 point favs when prime team smashed them, then as you said they damn near best isu and the d was the most impressive I’ve seen them all year. I just think the path to beating ucf is pretty straight forward and imo byu d can do the things it takes to make that offense look bad. I know it a straight sucker bet but I don’t think I can help myself, I rather play byu and lose than pass and they win, lol.

I hear you on that.

 

[2daBank]

I know how this game typically goes but man I’d love to see navy knock off Irish, I don’t be playing it but there is a plus money bet in that game I really like. Harvath ov 150 pass yards has a nice payout.

 

[satnightfever05]

Agree with that, I have okie light wrote down, I don’t love them but agree totally bout Baylor not really deserving to be laying this kind of number.

I assume king gonna be out for Gtech again? Can’t imagine that line be anywhere close to 10 if he was playing? That a bummer I’d love Gtech with king.

Agree there too. If any rumblings King is playing- 10 is way too many points

 

[2daBank]

BYU an underdog at UCF...interesting. Cincy might be worth a look at Colorado

I hate Satterfield so bad, for most part he been good this year but the guy drives me crazy!

 

[2daBank]

Anyone like udub? Feel like the one the better 4-3 teams in the country, they were def the better team in several their losses. I still dunno what I think of Hoosiers, of course I got blasted taking Nebraska vs them last week! Lol. The Iowa game gives me pause, didn’t expect udub to get run over but that was what I’d think was a bad spot after beating Michigan. Now they got a bye to focus on Hoosiers for 2 weeks. I def think this easily the best defense Hoosiers will have faced, if they light up the huskies I suppose I’ll finally start believing. Lol

 

[2daBank]

If Greene plays for wvu I’d be tempted to play them. So tough to figure out who playing and who not!

 

[satnightfever05]

Anyone like udub? Feel like the one the better 4-3 teams in the country, they were def the better team in several their losses. I still dunno what I think of Hoosiers, of course I got blasted taking Nebraska vs them last week! Lol. The Iowa game gives me pause, didn’t expect udub to get run over but that was what I’d think was a bad spot after beating Michigan. Now they got a bye to focus on Hoosiers for 2 weeks. I def think this easily the best defense Hoosiers will have faced, if they light up the huskies I suppose I’ll finally start believing. Lol

Yep. Line down to 6 too and IU has the most bets this week of any team

 

[satnightfever05]

Yep. Line down to 6 too and IU has the most bets this week of any team

Line down to 5.5. IU most bet team this week. Fishy!

 

[JROCK1966]

Posted YTD: -$471.54 (~something like this...I did win a couple 2 teamers last week but it only mitigated losses somewhat...either way I did not win > I lost)
All plays at FD.

My lunch money is running out so gotta tighten up my bookie donations....played this one. 3, 4, & 5-teamer RR with:

Washington +176
Notre Dame (-20.5 alt) +164
Rice +210
BYU (-6.5 alt) +200
Oregon (-29.5 alt) +200
Risked $16 ($1 per Parlay) to Win $782.30

 

[CPA-hole]

I played Missy St. They play hard. See where Arky's head is at after falling on their face last week.

 

[2daBank]

As bad I’d like to play Navy I know how this game typically goes, even with navy having a bit different twist to them this year I still can’t do it, I do think horvath to score +105 and his passing prop ov 124, ov 150 if ya want that plus money! Are decent plays if they have any chance those have to cash, they could lose by 3tds and they could both still cash.

 

[satnightfever05]

As bad I’d like to play Navy I know how this game typically goes, even with navy having a bit different twist to them this year I still can’t do it, I do think horvath to score +105 and his passing prop ov 124, ov 150 if ya want that plus money! Are decent plays if they have any chance those have to cash, they could lose by 3tds and they could both still cash.

Really want to see Navy jump on ND early to get Irish in game sub 7

 

[2daBank]

Really want to see Navy jump on ND early to get Irish in game sub 7

Honestly I think you could lay the 2 tds, this just a god awful matchup for navy. Maybe Horvath gives them a tiny little more a chance but end the day they ain’t gonna bowl over bigger, faster, stringer Irish with option, never have never will. You could be on to something tho, I’d think horvath and some the different things they doing this year more likely to get them some early points before Irish figure it out and lock it all down: that is def my hope for playing the horvath props, catch them off guard early! Plus I just can’t resist playing horvath passing number the weeks they offer it cause think I’ve cashed every one (it only been a few, lol). 124 feels so short and Irish does have some injuries. Ultimately I expect ND will figure it out and prob win by 20. Something like 35-14.

 

[2daBank]

That horvath to score a td +105 is nice tho. Total high enough I assume navy punch a few in, if they score it either be on a pass or Horvath running it in!

 

[B.A.R.]

I played Missy St. They play hard. See where Arky's head is at after falling on their face last week.

Absolutely agree here too.

I wanted to put them in contest but the number wasn't great.

 

[2daBank]

I played Missy St. They play hard. See where Arky's head is at after falling on their face last week.

I much prefer arky in the dog role. Taylen green is like a box of chocolates, lol.