WEEK 9 🚀

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
4/3.64 KAN -11 -110
5.60/4 TEAS. (KAN -4 & u55') 7Pt

2025 : [90-98 -44.00u]
WEEK8: [17-8 +42.55u]
LAST : [2-0 +7.64u]

WEEK 9​

THURSDAY

• 4/3.81 MIA +7' -105
• 4/3.81 MIA u51 -105

randoms...

• CHALK 22-7 75.9% ATS L2 WEEKS AND 11-2 LAST WEEK
• OVERS HAVE RULED 61-43-1 58.7% AFTER WEEK 1 in 2025
• OVERS 9-2 YESTERDAY
• DOGS 16-11 59.3% THIS SEASON AT NIGHT(AFTER 7PM EST)
• 

 

[mrpickem]

WEEK 9​

THURSDAY
4/3.81 MIA +7' -105
4/3.81 MIA u51 -105

2025 : [91-99 -44.19u]
WEEK : [1-1 -0.19u]
LAST : [1-1 -0.19u]

SUNDAY

• 4/3.64 SF -2' -110
• 4/3.81 NYG u48' -105
• 7/6.67 NE -4' -105
• 4/3.81 NE u45' -105
• 5/4.04 IND -3 -124
• 3/2.86 GB -13 -105
• 4/3.48 CAR o43 -115
• 4/3.45 MIN +9' -116
• 4/3.05 HOU -131
• 4/3.48 LAC o43' -115
• 4/3.91 TEAS. (ATL +10' & o39') 6 Pt
• 4/3.72 TEAS. (GB -6' & MIN o41') 6.5 Pt

randoms...

• FAVORITES 22-7 75.9% ATS WEEKS 7-9 & 12-2 ATS WEEKS 8-9
• OVERS HAVE RULED 61-44-1 58.1% AFTER WEEK 1 in 2025
• DOGS 16-12 57.1% ATS @NIGHT IN 2025 BUT HAVE LOST LAST L5
• BOLTS 11-4-1 ATS AWAY AFTER WIN/COVER SINCE 2022
• NE 5-0 BOTH SU & ATS IN LAST 5
• W/DRAKE MAYE @QB THE PATS HAVE CASHED THE OVER 80% (8-2)
• IND TOP SCORING TEAM AT 33.8 PPG, DAL 30.8 & DET 30.7
• HOU TOP SCORING DEF AT 14.7 PPG, KAN 16.4 & RAMS 16.7
• SEA TOP PASS OFF AT 8.73 YPP, NE 8.44 & IND 8.09
• GB TOP PASS DEF AT 5.38 YPP, ATL & RAMS BOTH ALLOW 5.70
• DEN BIG LEAD IN MOST SACKS AT 36, RAMS 26, TAM 25
• DEN QB ALSO SACKED THE LEAST AT 8 TIMES, SEA & IND 9
• 

 

[mrpickem]

adding one mere teaser in early window

• 4/6.00 TEAS. (NE +2', HOU +5, SF +4') 7 Pt

I have a 2nd model running now on Olama AI locally. Just monitoring if vs original model.

yellow indicates edge(over 3 point diff)

Est line for home

 

[mrpickem]

late afternoon action...

• 6/5.71 JAX -2 -105
• 4/3.81 JAX o44 -105
• 3/2.73 LAR -14 -110
• 2.70/2 KAN -135
• 4/3.81 KAN -2 -105
• 4/4.76 TEAS. (LAR -4, BUF +12, KAN o43, WAS +13) 10 Pt

 

[mrpickem]

Sunday night...

• 6/4.94 WAS +3 -122
• 4/3.81 SEA o48 -105
• 3.60/3 TEAS. (WAS +8' & o41') 6Pt

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
4/3.64 SF -2' -110
4/3.81 NYG u48' -105
7/6.67 NE -4' -105
4/3.81 NE u45' -105
5/4.04 IND -3 -124
3/2.86 GB -13 -105
4/3.48 CAR o43 -115
4/3.45 MIN +9' -116
4/3.05 HOU -131
4/3.48 LAC o43' -115
4/3.91 TEAS. (ATL +10' & o39') 6 Pt
4/3.72 TEAS. (GB -6' & MIN o41') 6.5 Pt
4/6.00 TEAS. (NE +2', HOU +5, SF +4') 7 Pt
6/5.71 JAX -2 -105
4/3.81 JAX o44 -105
3/2.73 LAR -14 -110
2.70/2 KAN -135
4/3.81 KAN -2 -105
4/4.76 TEAS. (LAR -4, BUF +12, KAN o43, WAS +13) 10 Pt
6/4.94 WAS +3 -122
4/3.81 SEA o48 -105
3.60/3 TEAS. (WAS +8' & o41') 6Pt

2025 : [99-113 -74.66u]
WEEK : [9-15 -30.66u]
LAST : [8-14 -30.47u]

After such a bad day, I actually feel ok about it. Seems everything that could go wrong did, and at this point it can't get any worse. So, let's fukn go!

MONDAY

• 5/4.42 ARI +3' -113
• 4/3.25 TEAS. (ARI +10' & o46') 7 Pt

​

randoms...

• ARI 8-1 ATS AS ROAD DOG IN L9
• UNDER GANNON, ARI 19-10 ATS AS DOG
• DOGS WENT 8-4 YESTERDAY AFTER CHALK RULING 2 STRAIGHT WEEKS
• L3 GAMES, ARI HAS AVG 353.3 YPG
• L4, ARI CONVERTED 29-59 THIRD DOWNS
• MURRAY 38-49-1 AS STARTER & BRISSETT 19-36, WE GET JACOBY, BUT KYLER WILL DRESS AS BACKUP?
• DAL DEFENSE IS SO BAD, THEY ARE ALLOWING OPP TO CONVERT 3RD DOWNS AT A 51.1% CLIP, THAT'S THE HIGHEST ALLOWED AFTER 6 GAMES IN THE LAST 10 YEARS AT LEAST(ALL THE STATS I HAVE ON THAT)
•