***Week 8 Lex***

Could be a defensive battle but I just don't think the Chargers can play defense. Vikings missing van Ginkle I think both teams get over 21 lets make it a fg game. Almost went ham on Jefferson props but wentz nahhhh
 
Ty Johnson anytime td+850

1 unit


+1100

Bengals ml/Chase brown td
Bills ml/cook td
Eagles ml/barkley td
Falcons ml/bijan td

1 unit
 
Bijan longest rush o20.5

2 units


I have time today so some reasoning


Bijan rush yds over/ longest rush

I'm seeing a bunch of people on Bijan rec yds over. While I don't disagree with the play I think the rushing yards over is the play. I haven't been playing many superstar yds over but this is the time. Miami is horrific against the run. Kirk starting I think they lean on Bijan anyway. Fins vs rbs this season

Judkins 84 yds 3 tds (terrible conditions game) 48 yd run

Vidal 124 yds he had a 38 yd run

Dowdle 206 1td& had a 53 yd run

Breece 14 carries 81 yds (23 yd run)
Fields 81 & td

Cook 19-108 1td (26 yd run)

Rhamondre only had 54 rushing but had 88 rec
ripped off a 21 yd run & 55 yd pass.

JTaylor was held to 77 rushing yards in a blowout week 1.

Bijan is gonna rip off a couple long ones.....



Odunze rec yds over- number is low as he's off b2b games where he didn't get over 32 yards. He was only targeted 5 & 6 times but now he's facing the Ravens. Balty can't stop the run & I imagine will try to devote everything into trying to stop it.... should open up some huge opportunities for the long ball. I think the Bears are live here but I trust Odunze to get over on this horrific D a little more. No Kmet I would expect 9+ targets all it takes is that one long one let's cash it early! I think he has value for td @+150 as well.
 
three parlays & I'm done until 4. Leaning Broncos & Colts later

ML Parlay+1321

Bengals/Browns/Saints

1 unit


+6445
Barkley 100+ rush/rec & 2 tds
Henry rush yds o80 & 2tds
Bijan 100+ rush/rec & 2tds

half unit



TD Parlay+12203

Chase Brown
Ollie Gordon
Odunze
Jeudy

.25 units
 
ok ok last ones

+2993
Bills-13.5/Bears-7/Bengals-9.5

half unit



+1200 boosted
Kincaid rec yds o39.5
Keon TD
Cook longest rush o14.5

half unit



I think Buffalo tries to get Keon involved after all the slander, Panthers don't have a good matchup for Kincaid. Kincaid was almost a big straight play but I'm keeping the card short(er) today. Cook bound to rip off a 20+ yarder let him out of the cage!
 
Likely going to play along small with some of your stuff today Lex. Such an uninspiring day when the locals are on bye and half the spreads have moved 4+ points from open due to injury. Not sure I've ever seen an NFL week with so many games impacted that way. Not that I remember anyway.

BOL today. Ironic that two of my favorite games this season so far that don't even need a cap are today but late and later. This morning card is the disappointment you get when you finally get the "surprise" in the cereal or Cracker Jax box.
 
rambler882 said:
I had same read on this too, even if defense has trouble I don't see a world CAR can slow down the offense. I was thinking of even going on 1H too
Click to expand...
Poyer at safety is a concern but I think bills offense rolls. I think first half is good but I think they score 30+
 
packers/Steelers o45-118

Packers 1sth tt o12.5

Steelers tt o21.5

Warren rec yds o22.5

Jonnu td+250

2 units each


+900

Dk td
Jacobs td
Jonnu 20+ tec
Warren 20+ rec

1 unit
 
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