WEEK 7

bookieassassin

Pretty much a regular
Amazon allows Thurs games this week ! Adjust where needed after games are played.



WED 10/12

101 LOUISIANA
7:30 p.m.
102 MARSHALL -8'


THURS 10/13

105 WASHINGTON
8:15 p.m.
106 CHICAGO -3

107 BAYLOR -4
7:00 p.m.
108 WEST VIRGINIA

109 TEMPLE
7:00 p.m.
110 UCF -27

MORGAN ST
7:30 P.M.
NC CENTRAL -9


FRI 10/14

113 NAVY
7:30 p.m.
114 SMU -13'

115 UTSA -27
8:00 p.m.
116 FIU

BROWN
7:00 p.m.
PRINCETON -18'


SAT 10/15

117 KENT ST
12:00 p.m.
118 TOLEDO -12

119 BUFFALO -13
12:00 p.m.
120 MASSACHUSETTS

121 ALABAMA -12
12:00 p.m.
122 TENNESSEE

123 VANDERBILT
12:00 p.m.
124 GEORGIA -38

125 MIAMI, FL -8'
12:00 p.m.
126 VIRGINIA TECH

127 PENN ST
12:00 p.m.
128 MICHIGAN -9'

129 MISSISSIPPI ST
12:00 p.m.
130 KENTUCKY -2

131 NORTH CAROLINA -7
12:00 p.m.
132 DUKE

133 LSU -1
12:00 p.m.
134 FLORIDA

135 MARYLAND -15
12:00 p.m.
136 INDIANA

137 NC STATE -5
12:00 p.m.
138 SYRACUSE

139 CONNECTICUT
12:00 p.m.
140 BALL ST -10

141 CENTRAL MICHIGAN -15
12:00 p.m.
142 AKRON

143 NEBRASKA
12:00 p.m.
144 PURDUE -9

145 CLEMSON -4
12:00 p.m.
146 FLORIDA ST

147 MEMPHIS
12:00 p.m.
148 EAST CAROLINA -6

149 TULANE -9'
12:00 p.m.
150 USF

151 MINNESOTA -5
12:00 p.m.
152 ILLINOIS

153 MIAMI, OH -4
12:00 p.m.
154 BOWLING GREEN

155 NORTHERN ILLINOIS -2
12:00 p.m.
156 EASTERN MICHIGAN

157 OLD DOMINION
12:00 p.m.
158 COASTAL CAROLINA -9'

159 JAMES MADISON -8
12:00 p.m.
160 GEORGIA SOUTHERN

161 ARKANSAS ST
12:00 p.m.
162 SOUTHERN MISS -6'

163 ARKANSAS -1
2:00 p.m.
164 BYU

165 NEW MEXICO -6
2:00 p.m.
166 NEW MEXICO ST

167 CALIFORNIA -15
2:00 p.m.
168 COLORADO

169 USC
2:00 p.m.
170 UTAH -5

171 WASHINGTON ST
3:00 p.m.
172 OREGON ST -8

173 ARIZONA
3:00 p.m.
174 WASHINGTON -13'

175 SAN JOSE ST
3:00 p.m.
176 FRESNO ST -4

177 TEXAS ST
3:30 p.m.
178 TROY -18

179 AUBURN
3:30 p.m.
180 MISSISSIPPI -12

181 ULM
3:30 p.m.
182 SOUTH ALABAMA -18

183 KANSAS
3:30 p.m.
184 OKLAHOMA -12

185 OKLAHOMA ST
3:30 p.m.
186 TCU -1'

187 IOWA ST
3:30 p.m.
188 TEXAS -12

189 OHIO
3:30 p.m.
190 WESTERN MICHIGAN -9'

191 WISCONSIN
3:30 p.m.
192 MICHIGAN ST -1'

193 WKU -3
3:30 p.m.
194 MIDDLE TENNESSEE

195 CHARLOTTE
3:30 p.m.
196 UAB -21

197 LOUISIANA TECH
4:00 p.m.
198 NORTH TEXAS -7

199 RICE
6:00 p.m.
200 FAU -4

201 NEVADA -7
6:00 p.m.
202 HAWAII

203 UTAH ST -6
7:00 p.m.
204 COLORADO ST

205 STANFORD
7:30 p.m.
206 NOTRE DAME -18

207 AIR FORCE
10:30 p.m.
208 UNLV -6
 
169 USC
2:00 p.m.
170 UTAH -5

171 WASHINGTON ST
3:00 p.m.
172 OREGON ST -8

173 ARIZONA
3:00 p.m.
174 WASHINGTON -13'


^^ :shake:

the thing i want most out of this week (other than winning my plays of course) is for everything to set up perfectly for that SC/Utah game, which means some type of wrench will probably get thrown into the mix tomorrow.

if they come out of tomorrow healthy, i'll be hitting Wazzou plus anything next week...but would love +3 or better.

will also be playing UW at -14 or less.
 
No early leans this week? I know you keep at it--love to read up on thoughts for the week ahead. Week 6 was a tough one--BOL this week BA.
 
Amazon allows Thurs games this week ! Adjust where needed after games are played.



WED 10/12

101 LOUISIANA
7:30 p.m.
102 MARSHALL -8'


THURS 10/13

105 WASHINGTON
8:15 p.m.
106 CHICAGO -3

107 BAYLOR -4
7:00 p.m.
108 WEST VIRGINIA

109 TEMPLE
7:00 p.m.
110 UCF -27

MORGAN ST
7:30 P.M.
NC CENTRAL -9


FRI 10/14

113 NAVY
7:30 p.m.
114 SMU -13'

115 UTSA -27
8:00 p.m.
116 FIU

BROWN
7:00 p.m.
PRINCETON -18'


SAT 10/15

117 KENT ST
12:00 p.m.
118 TOLEDO -12

119 BUFFALO -13
12:00 p.m.
120 MASSACHUSETTS

121 ALABAMA -12
12:00 p.m.
122 TENNESSEE

123 VANDERBILT
12:00 p.m.
124 GEORGIA -38

125 MIAMI, FL -8'
12:00 p.m.
126 VIRGINIA TECH

127 PENN ST
12:00 p.m.
128 MICHIGAN -9'

129 MISSISSIPPI ST
12:00 p.m.
130 KENTUCKY -2

131 NORTH CAROLINA -7
12:00 p.m.
132 DUKE

133 LSU -1
12:00 p.m.
134 FLORIDA

135 MARYLAND -15
12:00 p.m.
136 INDIANA

137 NC STATE -5
12:00 p.m.
138 SYRACUSE

139 CONNECTICUT
12:00 p.m.
140 BALL ST -10

141 CENTRAL MICHIGAN -15
12:00 p.m.
142 AKRON

143 NEBRASKA
12:00 p.m.
144 PURDUE -9

145 CLEMSON -4
12:00 p.m.
146 FLORIDA ST

147 MEMPHIS
12:00 p.m.
148 EAST CAROLINA -6

149 TULANE -9'
12:00 p.m.
150 USF

151 MINNESOTA -5
12:00 p.m.
152 ILLINOIS

153 MIAMI, OH -4
12:00 p.m.
154 BOWLING GREEN

155 NORTHERN ILLINOIS -2
12:00 p.m.
156 EASTERN MICHIGAN

157 OLD DOMINION
12:00 p.m.
158 COASTAL CAROLINA -9'

159 JAMES MADISON -8
12:00 p.m.
160 GEORGIA SOUTHERN

161 ARKANSAS ST
12:00 p.m.
162 SOUTHERN MISS -6'

163 ARKANSAS -1
2:00 p.m.
164 BYU

165 NEW MEXICO -6
2:00 p.m.
166 NEW MEXICO ST

167 CALIFORNIA -15
2:00 p.m.
168 COLORADO

169 USC
2:00 p.m.
170 UTAH -5

171 WASHINGTON ST
3:00 p.m.
172 OREGON ST -8

173 ARIZONA
3:00 p.m.
174 WASHINGTON -13'

175 SAN JOSE ST
3:00 p.m.
176 FRESNO ST -4

177 TEXAS ST
3:30 p.m.
178 TROY -18

179 AUBURN
3:30 p.m.
180 MISSISSIPPI -12

181 ULM
3:30 p.m.
182 SOUTH ALABAMA -18

183 KANSAS
3:30 p.m.
184 OKLAHOMA -12

185 OKLAHOMA ST
3:30 p.m.
186 TCU -1'

187 IOWA ST
3:30 p.m.
188 TEXAS -12

189 OHIO
3:30 p.m.
190 WESTERN MICHIGAN -9'

191 WISCONSIN
3:30 p.m.
192 MICHIGAN ST -1'

193 WKU -3
3:30 p.m.
194 MIDDLE TENNESSEE

195 CHARLOTTE
3:30 p.m.
196 UAB -21

197 LOUISIANA TECH
4:00 p.m.
198 NORTH TEXAS -7

199 RICE
6:00 p.m.
200 FAU -4

201 NEVADA -7
6:00 p.m.
202 HAWAII

203 UTAH ST -6
7:00 p.m.
204 COLORADO ST

205 STANFORD
7:30 p.m.
206 NOTRE DAME -18

207 AIR FORCE
10:30 p.m.
208 UNLV -6
TREMENDO!!! NICE!!! CAN HARDLY WAIT, BUT I MUST AND I WILL!!! YOU ARE THE FINAL WORD,B.A.
 
Sorry boys had to take a few days off - plus dumb, and too greedy the last few weeks .........

did these earlier today - Minny still OK at 6/6' I reckon, but might drop again later in the week


Minny -5
LSU +3
Penn St +7
Okie St +3'
N Illinois +3


leans

Ga SO
UTAH

Old D
Duke
Kent St
ECaro
Nebraska
Rice
UNLV
Iowa St ?
Kentucky?
E Caro?
Ark ??
Oreg St ?
Auburn ??
Sparty ???


BOL this week boys - back in a few days ...............:handshake2:
 
added smaller play

Kansas TT over 26'

Might take KU at 10 also? - LOVE playing the team *with* the injured key player, the *first* game he's out ...... (assuming back-up can play). What happens - the other team (OU here) often gets overconfident - oddsmakers adjust usually too much.
> this one a bit different with OU off nasty L - but recall KU QB Bean almost beat OU last year, and played well last week. Players have confidence in him, and should really step up their play here. In my mind Sooners will have a rough / UNFOCUSED week of preparation - they went from (players minds) from a possible play-off run to barely making a crap bowl ??? plus they have a bye next week to regroup - this one should be a fight to survive - emerge with a W.
 
added smaller play

Kansas TT over 26'

Might take KU at 10 also? - LOVE playing the team *with* the injured key player, the *first* game he's out ...... (assuming back-up can play). What happens - the other team (OU here) often gets overconfident - oddsmakers adjust usually too much.
> this one a bit different with OU off nasty L - but recall KU QB Bean almost beat OU last year, and played well last week. Players have confidence in him, and should really step up their play here. In my mind Sooners will have a rough / UNFOCUSED week of preparation - they went from (players minds) from a possible play-off run to barely making a crap bowl ??? plus they have a bye next week to regroup - this one should be a fight to survive - emerge with a W.
tremendoly agree B.A. !! nice!
 
added a few

Minny -5
LSU +3
Penn St +7
Okie St +3'
N Illinois +3

Kent St +8'

'will add'
Clemson -3 (BO)
Utah -2' (BO/BM)



smaller

Kansas TT over 26'

Nebraska +14
Kansas +10
Iowa St +10 1H
ODU TT over 21 (juiced at MB)
W Mich +1'


leans/waiting

Ga SO
Bama <7

ECaro
Wash TT over
NTX
S Miss ?
Ark ??
Oreg St ?
Auburn ??
Sparty ???


Tonite

lean UNDER / Herd
>> I would think Herd returns to earlier form (whipped Irish on the road) ..... after a 2 game celebration. But not sure they can be trusted here laying 10+. ULL stinks, AND QB is out (bu not bad) - so LIVE/2H play only for me. Tho Herd -6' 1H, or 1H UNDER 23' not bad. ULL has lost 3/row, so should play hard here - and might come out strong......

* IF UL moves the ball 1H - they (won't) move it 2H.
* IF 1H goes OVER - 2H (should) go UNDER.
* Herd (should) be able to run/impose their will at some point - if not 1H - 2H
 
some 1H / 2H notes on tonite's games
>> cfbstats > rush or pass D > situational
team rankings > scoring o/d by quarter

Baylor - MUCH better 2H on O - 11.8 1H > 17.8 2H points / rushing 3.9 / rush > 5.2
D improves as well - rushing 3.0 > 2.5 / scoring 11.8 > 10.0 / pass D better

WV - not much difference - rush D weakens 2H (2.7 > 3.6) / rush O too (5.5 > 3.6) / pass D much better 2H

Temple - O terrible 1h (#130 pts) - D about the same

UCF - BOTH O / D improve significantly as game progresses - rush D goes from 5.5 > 2.4 / pts O13 > 17 / D 10.3 > 5.5 / rush O 6.3 in 4Q
 
small play
Baylor / WV 2H UNDER 28

Bears slow down their pace typically - 25 sec/play to 30 sec/play in 2H when up ..... and bring more heat on D. Their running game should take over 2H, as they get stronger. Note WV pass D has been much better 2H as well
 
just a lean on UCF -9 2H ....... Gus doesn't let up usually - Temple shouldn't score more than 6/7 if at all (UCF allows nothing 2H / #3 at 5 pts or so)
 
added a few

Minny -5
LSU +3
Penn St +7
Okie St +3'
N Illinois +3

Kent St +8'

'will add'
Clemson -3 (BO)
Utah -2' (BO/BM)



smaller

Kansas TT over 26'

Nebraska +14
Kansas +10
Iowa St +10 1H
ODU TT over 21 (juiced at MB)
W Mich +1'


leans/waiting

Ga SO
Bama <7

ECaro
Wash TT over
NTX
S Miss ?
Ark ??
Oreg St ?
Auburn ??
Sparty ???


Tonite

lean UNDER / Herd
>> I would think Herd returns to earlier form (whipped Irish on the road) ..... after a 2 game celebration. But not sure they can be trusted here laying 10+. ULL stinks, AND QB is out (bu not bad) - so LIVE/2H play only for me. Tho Herd -6' 1H, or 1H UNDER 23' not bad. ULL has lost 3/row, so should play hard here - and might come out strong......

* IF UL moves the ball 1H - they (won't) move it 2H.
* IF 1H goes OVER - 2H (should) go UNDER.
* Herd (should) be able to run/impose their will at some point - if not 1H - 2H
Good looking card. Was an idiot and grabbed Neb at 11.5, or thinking it would climb to 2 TDs lll

Also with you on Minny and PSU. And Clemson. Utahs a lean too. Also with ya oh Ore St and ECU and North Texas!
 
SNF - BOL man ..... :shake:

Tonite lean SMU - gonna wait and see if Navy gets up early - play Ponies live / 2H

Destroying Tulsa, and playing the hell outta AF and underrated EC on the road - makes this one a serious task for SMU - turnovers maybe the story.
 
Small play

UTSA -12' 2H

UTSA seldom let's up in this spot - too well coached - FIU shouldn't score more than 6/7 max ....
 
will have week 8 ! - lines up later tonite

today looking to play

Vols 1H / Bama LIVE or 2H
Clemson LIVE / 2H
N Caro live/2H
Irish LIVE
Hogs live

BOL today boys ........... :shake:
 
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