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Week 7 props

2daBank

2daBank

Voice of Reason
Ok guys, so I felt some pressure to start this at the 1st the year, i never even started doing these till start of conf play last year. I was awful those 1st 2 weeks, I hated losing money and costing anyone else money also. I would have a good cap and the team would rush for way over the number but it would be wrong running back! It was just a disaster. You may have noticed I been posting a bunch of money props all over the place the last few weeks but I didn’t want to start another thread until I got it going! Now I know who playing and we get totals based off things that don’t matter in sone these conf games and now I can pick apart matchups! It has went great lately so I’m ready to start sharing again and hopefully make us all some money!


Blake Shapen ov 224.5 passing yards. Right around his average but the thing is the games bears can dominate running the ball he doesn’t throw much, when he has faced teams who stop the run he has smashed this number! Tonight he gets a wvu d that very solid against the run but allowing 264 thru the air in on a awful 9.1 yards per pass which is 123rd in the league! They gonna need points from the passing game here, this number should be way closer to 250 imo. The worry would be they get out to a lead and play conservative as they tend to do but they don’t be able to do that cause wvu gonna have some success throwing themselves! This number a good 20-25 yards short imo.

Ford-Wheaton ov 76.5 rec. wvu not gonna be able to run either and bears havnt been great vs #1 wrs, weaton shows up in these TV games and if wvu is trailing he should see 10+ targets and fly past this number.


Mathis under 56.5 rush yards., this was 60.5 but was hit before I made it to casino. Im still ok here, bears run d allows 2.8 per carry! And Mathis hasn’t even been the Bell cow! He splitting Carries only getting 10-12 a game, no chance he goes over 50 on that light workload where wvu will be throwing a lot!!
 
I have a tons more, some numbers are out, sone are not. As I play them the next few days I will post about them and do my best to give sone kind of reasoning into them all. I love talking this stuff with ya’ll so feel free to ask questions bout ones I played or any others you may like.
 
One more for tonight I forgot bout. 2 team same game parlay +150

Shapen ov 220 pass yards/ Daniels over 225 pass yards…


I liked this better than playing Daniels actual number closer to 250 which I think a pretty good number. Just don’t think wvu can run so Daniels will have to throw to stay in this.
 
2daBank said:
One more for tonight I forgot bout. 2 team same game parlay +150

Shapen ov 220 pass yards/ Daniels over 225 pass yards…


I liked this better than playing Daniels actual number closer to 250 which I think a pretty good number. Just don’t think wvu can run so Daniels will have to throw to stay in this.
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These are now 225 and 239 respectively
 
twinkie13 said:
These are now 225 and 239 respectively
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The 2 team same game was different prices/numbers. I didn’t love Daniels he was close to 250 at time but only 225 on the same game option, and 220 for Shapen. That why only +150.

As you can see I bet Shapen ov 226.5 straight. That actually went down to 221.5 at one point so I didn’t do good there.

Rb Mathis all way down to 50.5, he was 60.5 but by time I got to casino 56.5, then I bet him and went down to 50.5
 
B.A.R. said:
This the content we NEED!!
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It was just a mistake trying to do it right out the gates. I felt pressured and honestly I needed a few weeks w football, can’t even count how many rb I took over and his teammate went over easy! Lol. I killed the last few so ready to share (I was sharing in various threads), next year I’ll wait till week 4 and won’t have the ugly start. I wasn’t gonna keep posting wken wasn’t worth a damn! Now I know, wait on football, attack nba right out the gates!!
 
2daBank said:
It was just a mistake trying to do it right out the gates. I felt pressured and honestly I needed a few weeks w football, can’t even count how many rb I took over and his teammate went over easy! Lol. I killed the last few so ready to share (I was sharing in various threads), next year I’ll wait till week 4 and won’t have the ugly start. I wasn’t gonna keep posting wken wasn’t worth a damn! Now I know, wait on football, attack nba right out the gates!!
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Understand that.

You do you..
 
B.A.R. said:
Understand that.

You do you..
Click to expand...

Still a learning experience for me, didn’t start playing these till bout this time last year: now I’m all props in every sport. Don’t have all the answers yet but think I’m a pretty quick learner!!
 
185 yards already!! Only 40 to go! Lol. Who the fuck bet this under? They not reading right thread!!
 
I was really hoping to get a bunch bet I today and have a lot up but they only have props posted on maybe half the games or so! Driving me crazy!
 
Ok just a couple in morning set, great card today but lot of the stuff later so probably try and make the woman happy and do stuff till at least 2-3! Lol.

Ashford ov 173.5 pass yards. The last 2 weeks he has attempted 38 passes in each game, didht go real well last week but that was against Uga d. It clear they trusting him more and he getting more acclimated to being the starting qb. Thing is they most likely gonna be down and get plenty of chances as ol miss offense doesn’t waste time. You can throw on this ol miss team and he will have to here, both sec opponents easily cleared this number and if he comes anywhere close to 38 pass attempts today I fully expect him to be well over 200 yards.

Gabriel ov 277.5 pass yards.. ku d might be slightly improving but they cannot stop anyone from throwing all over them and I don’t think they have a chance to cover Sooners wrs today. This line crazy, screams Sooners gonna look a lot different this week, how that goes I’m not sure, I am pretty sure ku offense can do enough to force Sooners to continue putting up points, the way to do that vs ku is thru the air and think we see a pretty explosive Sooners offense today.
 
askias said:
Glad you convinced me to get out of the Gonsolin prop. He barely went 40 pitches!
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I still dunno how the fuck I lost just needing over 5 in that game to cash the parlay? There were soooo many runners all over bases the 1st 5 innings that damn game! By the 4th inning both teams had damn near batted around the 3rd time!! At least 2-3 times someone hit a rocket right at 3rd base to end inning or a bomb that died at the freaking warning track. Still so annoyed! Lol
 
DapperDan said:
What about BYU/Ark and duke/unc - think those are both high scoring
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Those are just my 11 am start plays. I’ll have more. Im real interested in byu qb passing yards number but as of yet havnt seen one posted. I think arky gonna really pound them w the run game but rocket sanders number little higher than I woulda liked around 109.5. Might go Jefferson over rush but honestly I’m more interested in just playing arky here, I think it crazy they dogs. I think they dominate Los and win this by td+

Maye passing number super high; and duke is tough to pinpoint anyone cause their offense so diverse, didn’t really see a number I thought there was a edge. Maye rush yards actually the one I’m interested in
 
2daBank said:
Those are just my 11 am start plays. I’ll have more. Im real interested in byu qb passing yards number but as of yet havnt seen one posted. I think arky gonna really pound them w the run game but rocket sanders number little higher than I woulda liked around 109.5. Might go Jefferson over rush but honestly I’m more interested in just playing arky here, I think it crazy they dogs. I think they dominate Los and win this by td+

Maye passing number super high; and duke is tough to pinpoint anyone cause their offense so diverse, didn’t really see a number I thought there was a edge. Maye rush yards actually the one I’m interested in
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I was leaning Arkansas heavy but switched to over. Good luck friend. Loving the NCAAF props - I never got into them but see a lot of value with stats I look at I can always see huge mismatches either in run games or passing games
 
DapperDan said:
I was leaning Arkansas heavy but switched to over. Good luck friend. Loving the NCAAF props - I never got into them but see a lot of value with stats I look at I can always see huge mismatches either in run games or passing games
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For sure. They base the number off season averages for most part but ya gotta think teams don’t really run their full offenses in the cup cake games before conf play, like they had Dart passing yards underv 200 vs uk cause he hadn’t had to throw when they were blowing teams out! Then other games as you said the matchup just dictates a team gonna go way over or under their season average.
 
DapperDan said:
I was leaning Arkansas heavy but switched to over. Good luck friend. Loving the NCAAF props - I never got into them but see a lot of value with stats I look at I can always see huge mismatches either in run games or passing games
Click to expand...

You know what I hate bout arky but by now shouod learn to profit from? Their 1st halves the play great defense and generally go under. I dunno how many times last year than once this year before I remembered I was holding a under ticket that looked like a lock at halftime then 2nd half there 50 damn points! Teams figure out arky schemes and the dc doesn’t do a good job countering. I would bet you be little annoyed in rhe 1st half then it flies over anyways. I expect arky builds a lead then Hall starts throwing all over them in 2md half. Hoping they post a pass yardage total for him.
 
Ashford number has went down 5 yards since I bet it, lol. I guess I’d worry if same damn thing didn’t happen thu, I don’t understand what anyone seeing to play the under? Gotta assume he gonna throw it 30+ times, you gotta be pretty awful not to surpass 170 yards on that amount of attempts! Vandy threw for 280 on ol miss last week: Rebs run d been excellent so there just no way I see auburn being able to line up and just try and run if they wanna stay in this game!! I’m honestly less confident in Gabriel than this one.
 
I was very close to playing either or both the qb’s in the canes/Hokies game, canes allowing 10 freaking yards per attempt but I hate wells so much I couldn’t do it even with the rather low total. Mfer only threw for 130 and got benched vs unc and I told myself never again!! Van Dyke ov 240.5 on the other hand, he has struggled with qb killer Christibol but after the bye he threw for damn near 500! It was on unc but 500 passing yards on anyone impressive. I think he clears 240 today but I just couldn’t bring myself to trust the canes.
 
There a under coming up in the 2:30 slate. I don’t like betting unders, missed the Mathis one badly on thu, but think I gotta play it. I’ll post those around halftime the 1st games when I go back to casino.
 
Tucker under 95.5 rush yards. New cuse oc has done wonders for Schrader passing but they have failed to get tucker going against any decent competition. Ncst d is excellent stopping opposing lead backs, they been vulnerable to qb runs at times but think they will bottle up Tucker and keep him to 70-80 yards.
 
De Lauria ov 281.5 pass yard. This gonna be a shootout w udub and they can be had thru the air, he gonna be in catch up mode all day. Udub has allowed a lot of guys to go over 300 yards and this kid more than capable of doing just that.
 
Rodriguez ov 92.5 rush yards. I like messy st, think their d underrated and we know the air raid can be lethal, however you can run on these guys, Aggies don’t have much a pass threat and achane went for over 100 on only 16 Carries! Ark had bout 200. I think uk upsets these guys today and it starts and ends with the run game controlling the pace of the game. I like him to do for close to 150 tonight.
 
I really wanted to play Merts passing yards over as we know what a god awful pass d sparty has but the weather doesn’t look very hot in east lancing for passing games. It a bummer cause this team is so ripe to play fake and get their linebackers out of position like gophers did all game. Mertz tough to trust in good weather tho. Not trusting him w rain and some wind.
 
Good eye. Sparty is a play for me because wisco passing always been lack luster. Granted I’m not going crazy big or anything but sparty have a chance today. Wisco has their issues.
 
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