Week 7 in the FCS

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Idaho -21.5 113 vs N Colo (was hoping for < 17 so pass)
N Dakota -10.5 113 vs Youngstown (was hoping to get the benefit of shaded fav here but no luck so passing on the Penguins)
 
Grambling -3.5 113 vs Tx Southern
EKU +7.5 113 vs A Peay (considered AP but don't like the hook here)
Murray +23.5 113 vs Ill State (wanted < 20 here to take a shot on Illinoi State so pass)
 
I took

Maine+3.5
Mercyhurst ML-192
Buck-Laf Ov 60.5
NC A&T+9.5
Mercer ML-235
Butler+10.5
Richmond+3.5
URI ML-340
Ind St+21.5
How-SHU Ov44.5
Norfolk+7.5
Dartmouth ML-132
Dayton-14.5
Elon+3.5
Forman+4.5
Fur Ov 62.5
WILL+16.5
ISU +23.5
Alabama St+7.5
SIU+20.5
Cal poly+20.5
YSU+10.5
UNC+21.5
San Diego+3.5
AP-EKU Und 50.5
ET AM+13.5
NAU+7.5
 
s--k said:
Betting at 4;30. Most lines haven’t changed!


They started that last week
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Interesting...any thoughts on the 113's? Also noticed my bets are now being capped at weird amounts (noted some examples above) moreso on totals, but previously didn't have that issue
 
carolinablue said:
Interesting...any thoughts on the 113's? Also noticed my bets are now being capped at weird amounts (noted some examples above) moreso on totals, but previously didn't have that issue
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As in does it deter me from playing at higher juice? No. They want to make more money and figure take it or leave it.

I only risk to win between 50-100 on single bets. Some of you guys have talked about hitting limits before. Tonight was first time it hit me.
 
s--k said:
I took

Maine+3.5
Mercyhurst ML-192
Buck-Laf Ov 60.5
NC A&T+9.5
Mercer ML-235
Butler+10.5
Richmond+3.5
URI ML-340
How-SHU Ov44.5
Norfolk+7.5
Dartmouth ML-132
Dayton-14.5
Elon+3.5
Forman+4.5
Fur Ov 62.5
WILL+16.5
ISU +23.5
Alabama St+7.5
SIU+20.5
Cal poly+20.5
YSU+10.5
UNC+21.5
San Diego+3.5
AP-EKU Und 50.5
ET AM+13.5
NAU+7.5
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I debated the Mercyhurst ML as my limit on that one was like 2000 or so which is weird compared to some of the other limits but I decided to pass in the end as I gotta finish up my BM rollover this week and move some of that cash into FD for next week
 
s--k said:
As in does it deter me from playing at higher juice? No. They want to make more money and figure take it or leave it.

I only risk to win between 50-100 on single bets. Some of you guys have talked about hitting limits before. Tonight was first time it hit me.
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Yeah I guess realistically they are the only game in town in terms of early releases on FCS so not surprising when you think about it, just seemed like a weird number to land on in my warped mind ha
 
carolinablue said:
Thought about West Georgia ML but think I may just sit back and enjoy that one. Any thoughts?
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I couldn’t decide. Like their D. The O? Not really. Their run game especially if Wydner isn’t limited running could be difference. But again, I think that game could go either way. On the
+ for ACU, the way they played SFA and AP. On the negative how they played at UIW
 
s--k said:
I couldn’t decide. Like their D. The O? Not really. Their run game especially if Wydner isn’t limited running could be difference. But again, I think that game could go either way. On the
+ for ACU, the way they played SFA and AP. On the negative how they played at UIW
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Yeah can't argue any of those points. I have actually enjoyed watching ACU play a few times but haven't seen West Georgia as much so curious to see how this one plays out
 
carolinablue said:
Yeah I guess realistically they are the only game in town in terms of early releases on FCS so not surprising when you think about it, just seemed like a weird number to land on in my warped mind ha
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Last week they split openers between Tuesday and Wednesday. The weird thing was I/m pretty sure Tuesday was normal juice and Wednesday they started the 113. Must’ve had a team meeting between days
 
carolinablue said:
Yeah can't argue any of those points. I have actually enjoyed watching ACU play a few times but haven't seen West Georgia as much so curious to see how this one plays out
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WG D at SUU was impressive. Few have kept their O under wraps for a complete game. Their D really played ETSU very well also. ETSU had short field TDs. But because the O wasn’t great it took late game heroics to comeback fairly improbably. They also didn’t have a good O showing vs EKU and their D was a little looser than expected vs a weak O that game.
 
Got lucky tonight with the jet lag as I went to bed around 830pm and woke up around 1am and couldn't go back to sleep and lo and behold the lines started coming out soon thereafter...
 
The other one I haven't pulled the trigger on is Howard ML now at 132 (opened 130) as I think they will be able to put up some points but wouldn't be surprised if this was one of those 24-21 either way type games, so hesitating to lock it in
 
A few I passed on

Sacst. I probably should still play this as Weber on fade list. Just something about SacSt road fav has me hesitating. I would ML it maybe. Actually I should given the QB injury sleepy posted.
 
s--k said:
A few I passed on

Sacst. I probably should still play this as Weber on fade list. Just something about SacSt road fav has me hesitating. I would ML it maybe. Actually I should given the QB injury sleepy posted.
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I jumped on the 6.5 when it came out (surprised it didn't move) as I fully expect that one to cross 10 by game time. Sac State is a dangerous team in my view, even though they haven't necessarily lived up to expectations to date, they could still make some noise
 
carolinablue said:
The other one I haven't pulled the trigger on is Howard ML now at 132 (opened 130) as I think they will be able to put up some points but wouldn't be surprised if this was one of those 24-21 either way type games, so hesitating to lock it in
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SHU is an easy team to underestimate. But you are right, their D has been trending very badly last few games. Don’t like Howard O very much but they showed vs Hampton what their A game is. I took Over
 
I jumped on the 6.5 when it came out (surprised it didn't move) as I fully expect that one to cross 10 by game time. Sac State is a dangerous team in my view, even though they haven't necessarily lived up to expectations to date, they could still make some noise
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I buy it, vs lower Big Sky teams. Just hate the QBs they have. It’s quite bad. But yeah, I could still defend their D and their run game is very capable. Has to partially be a fade of Weber too. Team is unfortunately for them continuing to fall back.
 
Ugly dog, I might play at a later assumed higher number is Murray. We know I’ll St is poor favorite and a Murray been loving back door this year.
 
Just added SIU-NDSU Ov. SIU should move it and score I assume but their D won’t stop Bison
 
Passed on NCCU. Maybe I should play it still. I’m not real familiar with FAMU other then I know they are bad but seems like big road fav line. FAMU at home, pride might be worth something assuming they still have some.
 
Passed on CCSU, just not the same magic this year. RM is bad but so is the CCSU D. Can’t lay more than 1 score with them and their last 3 games have been high drama and emotion. Could be flat
 
First time in a while skipping a Duquesne Over. But got lucky on it last week so gun shy now. SFU O did show vs Bucknell. Think Duq D is better though.
 
Probably should take a Towson also. Just because the Monmouth D. Towson O is not something I like a lot. That may matter less vs Monmouth D.
 
s--k said:
Probably should take a Towson also. Just because the Monmouth D. Towson O is not something I like a lot. That may matter less vs Monmouth D.
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In bed with no notes, but think ztowson is one of the Ds to limit Monmouth last year. A lot of different players but maybe game plan can be duplicated?
 
s--k said:
Probably should take a Towson also. Just because the Monmouth D. Towson O is not something I like a lot. That may matter less vs Monmouth D.
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s--k said:
In bed with no notes, but think ztowson is one of the Ds to limit Monmouth last year. A lot of different players but maybe game plan can be duplicated?
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Ok. So I just did 113 to win 100 and it moved 3 pts. That can’t be me?
 
Guess that is good for now. I did pay the ML price 170 to win 50 on uRI. Not sure if they were 7.5 or 8.5 at the time. But now 10.5? I’m not a fan of UNH but may have to consider a middle shot here. URI plays to full potential they cover that. But, have they played to full potential once this year? I don’t think so
 
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