GIANTS: Eagles seem to be suffering from Super Bowl hangover, four straight non-covers, lackluster O. Giants’ offense looked much improved last week after Odell voiced criticism. Giants 3-1 L4 ATS against Eagles.
BUCCANEERS: Falcons’ D is ridden with injury, have allowed 37+ points in three straight contests. Jameis gives Tampa Bay a much more stable option at quarterback. He’ll have no problem keeping his team in it.
BENGALS: Steelers offense flowed from rush attack, but Conner is unproven against a run defense that isn’t weak or decimated with injury. Burfict’s return makes strong difference in favor of Bengals’ defense.
BROWNS: Browns D hasn’t allowed more than 21 points at home, rank first in takeaways. Baker can succeed against the Chargers. They rank 24th in opposing passer rating. Browns will win turnover battle.
SEAHAWKS: London game. Carson taking lead role in Seattle O, should have big game against Raiders bottom-ranked run D. Seahawks much improved since MNF vs Bears. Raiders only three road covers since 2017.
DOLPHINS: Dolphins getting disrespected, Bears way overrated after pummeling Fitzjoker at home. No way Trubisky should be favored away. Dolphins D top seven in opp. YPC and opp. passer rating. Take home dog.
CARDINALS: Let-down spot for Vikings after revenge win against Eagles, now heavily favored at home. Cards defense has held its last three opponents below 20 points and enjoys a three-game cover streak.
COLTS: Jets have solid pass D numbers, but have faced Stafford, Tannehill, Taylor, Bortles, Keenum…in other words, nobody. Luck will challenge this secondary. Colts also pose much stronger run D than Denver.
PANTHERS: Skins O has major issues. 18 second-half points all season! They can’t string two good halves together and often look disinterested. They won’t stop balanced Carolina attack in front of „fans."
TEXANS: Spread seems large, but isn’t really. All three Buffalo losses have been by double-digits. Only wins came from Vikings looking ahead and Titans let-down spot. Houston will stay focused and cover.
BRONCOS: Broncos are Jekyll/Hyde depending on whether they’re home or away. In Denver we get the team that nearly beat the Chiefs. Rams D 29th in opp. rush YPC, Denver is run-first with Freeman and Lindsay.
JAGUARS: Don’t worry about big loss to KC. Play-calling was horrendous and numerous goal line chances squandered. Jags won last five games after loss by 20+ points with exception to thorn in side Titans.
TITANS: Titans were in let-down spot last week. Expect them to bounce back. Retooled secondary that ranks 9th in opp. passer rating will limit pass-first Baltimore. Ravens won’t score enough to cover chalk.
PATRIOTS: Pats can gash bottom-ranked Chiefs’ run D with rookie upstart Michel. Don’t forget Brady, whose quick release will obviate Chiefs pass rush. Pats D much more reliable with Chung and Flowers.
49ERS: Big surprise, Rodgers/Packers overvalued at home. This is too many points, don’t trust Packers O to score enough. They rank 20th in points per play. Receivers banged up. Rodgers can’t do it all.
BUCCANEERS: Falcons’ D is ridden with injury, have allowed 37+ points in three straight contests. Jameis gives Tampa Bay a much more stable option at quarterback. He’ll have no problem keeping his team in it.
BENGALS: Steelers offense flowed from rush attack, but Conner is unproven against a run defense that isn’t weak or decimated with injury. Burfict’s return makes strong difference in favor of Bengals’ defense.
BROWNS: Browns D hasn’t allowed more than 21 points at home, rank first in takeaways. Baker can succeed against the Chargers. They rank 24th in opposing passer rating. Browns will win turnover battle.
SEAHAWKS: London game. Carson taking lead role in Seattle O, should have big game against Raiders bottom-ranked run D. Seahawks much improved since MNF vs Bears. Raiders only three road covers since 2017.
DOLPHINS: Dolphins getting disrespected, Bears way overrated after pummeling Fitzjoker at home. No way Trubisky should be favored away. Dolphins D top seven in opp. YPC and opp. passer rating. Take home dog.
CARDINALS: Let-down spot for Vikings after revenge win against Eagles, now heavily favored at home. Cards defense has held its last three opponents below 20 points and enjoys a three-game cover streak.
COLTS: Jets have solid pass D numbers, but have faced Stafford, Tannehill, Taylor, Bortles, Keenum…in other words, nobody. Luck will challenge this secondary. Colts also pose much stronger run D than Denver.
PANTHERS: Skins O has major issues. 18 second-half points all season! They can’t string two good halves together and often look disinterested. They won’t stop balanced Carolina attack in front of „fans."
TEXANS: Spread seems large, but isn’t really. All three Buffalo losses have been by double-digits. Only wins came from Vikings looking ahead and Titans let-down spot. Houston will stay focused and cover.
BRONCOS: Broncos are Jekyll/Hyde depending on whether they’re home or away. In Denver we get the team that nearly beat the Chiefs. Rams D 29th in opp. rush YPC, Denver is run-first with Freeman and Lindsay.
JAGUARS: Don’t worry about big loss to KC. Play-calling was horrendous and numerous goal line chances squandered. Jags won last five games after loss by 20+ points with exception to thorn in side Titans.
TITANS: Titans were in let-down spot last week. Expect them to bounce back. Retooled secondary that ranks 9th in opp. passer rating will limit pass-first Baltimore. Ravens won’t score enough to cover chalk.
PATRIOTS: Pats can gash bottom-ranked Chiefs’ run D with rookie upstart Michel. Don’t forget Brady, whose quick release will obviate Chiefs pass rush. Pats D much more reliable with Chung and Flowers.
49ERS: Big surprise, Rodgers/Packers overvalued at home. This is too many points, don’t trust Packers O to score enough. They rank 20th in points per play. Receivers banged up. Rodgers can’t do it all.
