WEEK 5

bookieassassin

bookieassassin

Pretty much a regular
* all a bit smaller - 1 unit now 0.75 / 0.50 now 0.25, etc

BRUTAL start - 3/4 weeks < .500 - sticking with my spot > regression > value style tho.
>> early stuff, as always focusing on the number /spot - looking at mostly overreactions to last week's results > wrong or legit?

$ The answer as to why/wtf man!? - is because I don't often bet the 'team' - rather the SPOT and the number, which usually works out ha - so you'll seldom see
me on the 'hot' - (overpriced) team - tho playing Washington every week might work .....


one unit

Troy +3
Duke +6
ULL +10'
N Illinois +14'
TTech -10
ULM +14
Cuse +7
Iowa St +20

smaller

Maryland -14
S Ala +5
S Miss +7'
Tulane -20
LSU -2'
Louisville +3' live
Col +22
Memphis -2'
SMU -22
Kansas +10 1H*
Louisville +3' 2H
Texas -9' 2H
Iowa -2' 2H

*(1Q maybe better)


leans

B Green
Penn St
Baylor
Virginia
Akron
Ball St
Iowa





updated 9/24
OG - outgained
S - series between the 2 teams


THURSDAY 9/28

103 MIDDLE TENNESSEE
7:30 p.m.
104 WKU -8'
* WKU - OG by Troy 521-288

105 TEMPLE
7:30 p.m.
106 TULSA -2'

107 JACKSONVILLE ST -4
8:00 p.m.
108 SAM HOUSTON



FRIDAY 9/29

113 LOUISVILLE -2'
7:00 p.m.
114 NC STATE
*UL > NDAME

115 LOUISIANA TECH
9:00 p.m.
116 UTEP -2'

117 UTAH -2
9:00 p.m.
118 OREGON ST
* U > BYE

119 CINCINNATI
9:15 p.m.
120 BYU -3
*BYU- OG KU but 3 TO
* both byes next


SATURDAY 9/30

121 PENN ST -25
12:00 p.m.
122 NORTHWESTERN
* P Iowa/BYE

123 BOWLING GREEN
12:00 p.m.
124 GEORGIA TECH -18'
* GT- @WF/@Mia

125 CLEMSON -5
12:00 p.m.
126 SYRACUSE

127 UTAH ST -4
12:00 p.m.
128 CONNECTICUT

129 PITTSBURGH -4
12:00 p.m.
130 VIRGINIA TECH
* P > bye

131 TROY -1'
12:00 p.m.
132 GEORGIA ST
* GSU-huge W + rest/BYE

133 INDIANA
12:00 p.m.
134 MARYLAND -17
* Akron OG Indy by 200 but 3 TO/10 pen

135 BAYLOR
12:00 p.m.
136 UCF -12

137 SOUTH CAROLINA
12:00 p.m.
138 TENNESSEE -11
$ SC won LY 63-38 wtf

139 FLORIDA
12:00 p.m.
140 KENTUCKY -2
* K > @ GA - 1-2 / 3-0 at home series

141 VIRGINIA
12:00 p.m.
142 BOSTON COLLEGE -3
*V- OG NCSU 384-319

143 NOTRE DAME -3
12:00 p.m.
144 DUKE
*D- > bye + rested

145 COASTAL CAROLINA
12:00 p.m.
146 GEORGIA SOUTHERN -2

147 SOUTH ALABAMA
12:00 p.m.
148 JAMES MADISON P
* JMU - 3 road games/bye

149 OLD DOMINION
12:00 p.m.
150 MARSHALL -13'

151 BUFFALO
12:00 p.m.
152 AKRON -1'

153 EASTERN MICHIGAN
12:00 p.m.
154 CENTRAL MICHIGAN -7
* EMU- 0-3 ats away series (won 38-19 ly)

155 MIAMI, OH -15
12:00 p.m.
156 KENT ST

157 BALL ST -3
12:00 p.m.
158 WESTERN MICHIGAN

159 LOUISIANA
12:00 p.m.
160 MINNESOTA -10
* M > MICHIGAN

161 ARKANSAS ST
12:00 p.m.
162 MASSACHUSETTS P
* M- outgained NM 495-328

163 MICHIGAN -20
12:00 p.m.
164 NEBRASKA

165 NEW MEXICO
2:00 p.m.
166 WYOMING -18
* NM - OFF UMASS ROAD TRIP!/bye
W- > Fresno

167 USC -23'
2:00 p.m.
168 COLORADO
*USC @ASU/Zona

169 HAWAII
3:00 p.m.
170 UNLV -13

171 ARIZONA ST
3:00 p.m.
172 CALIFORNIA -17

173 OREGON -25
3:00 p.m.
174 STANFORD
* O- Col/bye

175 WASHINGTON -21
3:00 p.m.
176 ARIZONA
* W > bye

177 NEVADA
3:00 p.m.
178 FRESNO ST -23

179 USF
3:30 p.m.
180 NAVY -3
* N- off bye

181 ILLINOIS -1'
3:30 p.m.
182 PURDUE

183 NORTHERN ILLINOIS
3:30 p.m.
184 TOLEDO -16

185 ALABAMA -14
3:30 p.m.
186 MISSISSIPPI ST
* A - Ole Miss/A&M

187 IOWA ST
3:30 p.m.
188 OKLAHOMA -22
* OU >> TEXAS

189 HOUSTON
3:30 p.m.
190 TEXAS TECH -14
* H - Sam H/bye

191 GEORGIA -14
3:30 p.m.
192 AUBURN
* G- UAB/Kent.
A- A&M/bye

193 BOISE ST
3:30 p.m.
194 MEMPHIS -5

195 APPALACHIAN ST -13
3:30 p.m.
196 ULM
* ASU - 0-5 su/ats SB rd fav. !

197 TEXAS ST -2
3:30 p.m.
198 SOUTHERN MISS

199 MICHIGAN ST
3:30 p.m.
200 IOWA -12'

201 LSU -2'
3:30 p.m.
202 MISSISSIPPI

203 MISSOURI -11
3:30 p.m.
204 VANDERBILT
*V- 4/5 ats series

205 CHARLOTTE
3:30 p.m.
206 SMU -26

207 UAB
3:30 p.m.
208 TULANE -21
* T - FCS/bye

209 TEXAS A&M -8
3:30 p.m. Jerryworld
210 ARKANSAS
*A&M - Aub/Bama
Ark- LSU/Ole Miss

211 KANSAS
3:30 p.m.
212 TEXAS -21
* T > OU

213 EAST CAROLINA
3:30 p.m.
214 RICE -1'

215 WEST VIRGINIA
3:30 p.m.
216 TCU -12
* WV > bye / 3-2 su / 4-1 at TCU
TCU - SMU/Iowa St

217 SAN DIEGO ST
8:00 p.m.
218 AIR FORCE -9
* AF > bye
$ AF- 1-9/3-7 series (S)


NOTE: I went with the raw numbers pretty much, little/no subjective adjustments - OR for games played (GSU/CC)


too early leans

Oregon St as dog -if OL / Utes nice W
Penn St -
CUSE?
UConn?
TROY??
UCF
Fla?
DUKE !
S ALA
EMU?
ULL !
Mich - if Rutgers close
WYOMING !
USC !!!- if Duck game close, bet the house / sell a kidney
UNLV
Navy
N ILLINOIS
Alabama - big if off poor effort
Auburn???
TTech
Memphis
Tulane
Kansas?
 
Last edited:
Utah/Beavers interesting game. Beavs woke up in second half yesterday.. Utah d is definitely good but looked better than it really is against Moore, who had no idea what to do with pressure. What are you thinking here?

GL BA
 
Here is what jumps out to me.....

Georgia Southern
UMass
Memphis
Air Force
Duke
 
HUNT said:
Utah/Beavers interesting game. Beavs woke up in second half yesterday.. Utah d is definitely good but looked better than it really is against Moore, who had no idea what to do with pressure. What are you thinking here?

GL BA
Click to expand...

BEAVERS!

Waiting on some Ute money - maybe Rising comes back? I can get Beavs as a dog?
 
M.W. said:
Yes on Tennessee.
Click to expand...
probably the way to go .....

Not me ha- fading App St off that road trip, and weak SB road favorite history - ULM tough at home getting 10+ / + beat ARMY, which looks nice now

SO ..... you should feel good about App St here .........:shake:
 
jimmymo said:
Syracuse +7 is almost a must as well.....how does Clemson get off the mat
Click to expand...

Dunno what to do with that one .....

The Cuse usually fade at some point - after a great start
>> buy up to 7, or wait - but it should only drop ?

Looking at Clemson's recent history (6-7 games or so) - arguably this one should be about 2'/3

Forgot - BURST BUBBLE EFFECT
$$ with 2 losses, Clemson's season goal of a play-off spot is now shattered - making this one a likely SU winner covers type game > they show up big or no-show - think I'll play Cuse smaller at 6'/7 / ML
 
Last edited:
bookieassassin said:
Dunno what to do with that one .....

The Cuse usually fade at some point - after a great start
>> buy up to 7, or wait - but it should only drop ?

Looking at Clemson's recent history (6-7 games or so) - arguably this one should be about 2'/3

Forgot - BURST BUBBLE EFFECT
$$ with 2 losses, Clemson's season goal of a play-off spot is now shattered - making this one a likely SU winner covers type game > they show up big or no-show - think I'll play Cuse smaller at 6'/7 / ML
Click to expand...
Early 12p kick too. Cuse 1H probably worth a look too
 
Rusty Trombone said:
BA- Any Vandy/Missouri thoughts?
Click to expand...

Now ranked Mizzou laying 14 or so on the road - with LSU on deck? >> NO !!!

Reeling Vandy, lost 3/row - backs to the wall, a MUST WIN game - vs a team they play well against (usually), esp at home? >> MAYBE

But Vandy QB is hurt (arm) - and will be <100% or may not even play ? - also Vandy is beat up in the secondary (uh-oh)

Think I would wait and play Mizzou LIVE/2H - you would think they roll here, but IMO can't be trusted as a big favorite on the road. If Vandy somehow starts strong, Mizzou might be great play 2H/live ......
 
I’m eating up some Beavers this weekend along with some of you guys….Duke as well, live doggie.

In the ongoing circus that are my Colorado Buffaloes ‘90 alum. Absolutely take the points and ML….We match up helluva lotta better with the speed of SC than the Ducks monster trenches that crushed a drained CU squad. Tough spot for USC, Colorado will come out hungry 1st half, and should have enough to hang in until the end this time. I added T Tech thanks for bringing that one. Let’s eat this weekend, conference matchups finally…

always appreciate your perspective Brotha..telling ya it’s gonna be a good weekend, i really like your card BA. Winners1941 is in the house, the pressure is off lol ….One of those winning weekends. Take a look at my Buffs for me, I know you like Duke….agreed.
-wolfeman
Lahaina is strongest like stone
 
Last edited:
added

Iowa St +20

smaller

Col +22
Memphis -2'
SMU -22
Kansas +10 1H (1Q maybe better)

BOL boys .................. :shake:


** finished with week 6 - up Sunday morning
 
Last edited:
Nothing like a BA post with the Saturday morning coffee...oh how I have missed this.
I feared the worst when I didn't see you posting at that other site... so glad to have found you here!
Good luck today and this season!
 
slapshot11 said:
Nothing like a BA post with the Saturday morning coffee...oh how I have missed this.
I feared the worst when I didn't see you posting at that other site... so glad to have found you here!
Good luck today and this season!
Click to expand...

good man ss, BOL ............ :shake:
 
You’re a Good Man BA! Helluva research job every week…. BOL this week, May the turnovers and penalties go our way.
 
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