WEEK 5

[mrpickem]

WEEK 4 [8-11 -12.61u]
SEASON [36-38-1 -9.47u]

LAST [1-1 -1.12u]
4/3.85 RAMS +2 -104
3/2.88 49ERS u42 -104

THURSDAY

• 3/3.15 Colts +3 +105
• 4.20/4 Colts u42 -105

Two good Ds facing offenses that aren't clicking so far. I would expect lots of stalled drives and field goals. Neither team shows much effectiveness in the red zone. Being a short week, with both teams a bit banged up...especially DEN without starting RB and DE. Colts also have ruled out All-Pro RB Taylor for the game. Points will be tough to come by tonight but Indy has managed to cover 6 straight roadies as a dog outside of their DIV and I believe they can keep it close enough tonight and maybe even get the win.

• IND 14-6-1 70% ATS on the road following a division game L7 years
• IND 9-2 ATS on the road outside DIV L3 years (21-14-2 60% ATS L7 years)
• DEN 6-15 SU and 6-12-3 ATS in Prime-time since 2016 (1-7 SU and 2-5-1 ATS in L8)
• DEN 11-20-1 ATS last 7 years as home chalk (5-12-1 ATS in L18)
• Unders have cashed in DEN 64% over the last 7 years(8-3 under in L11)

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---

WEEK 4 [8-10 -12.61u]
WEEK 5 [2-0 +7.15u]
SEASON [38-38-1 -2.32u]

LAST [2-0 +7.15u]
3/3.15 Colts +3 +105
4.20/4 Colts u42 -105

SUNDAY

• 3/2.86 PACKERS -8 -105
• 3/2.75 PACKERS u42½ -109
• 4/3.85 BILLS -14 -104
• 3/2.86 BILLS u45½ -105
• 4/3.85 BEARS +7½ -104
• 3/2.88 TITANS -1-104
• 4/3.70 JETS +3½ -108
• 4/3.85 BROWNS +1½ -104
• 5/4.42 LIONS +3½ -113
• 3/2.86 PANTHERS u39½-105
• 5/4.76 COWBOYS +5½ -105
• 5/4.55 BENGALS +3½ -110

 

[mrpickem]

 

[Vapster]

Good Stuff As Always!

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 5 [9-5 +15.6u]
SEASON [45-43-1 +6.23u]

LAST [7-5 +8.45u]

3/2.86 PACKERS -8 -105
3/2.75 PACKERS u42½ -109
4/3.85 BILLS -14 -104
3/2.86 BILLS u45½ -105
4/3.85 BEARS +7½ -104
3/2.88 TITANS -1-104
4/3.70 JETS +3½ -108
4/3.85 BROWNS +1½ -104
5/4.42 LIONS +3½ -113
3/2.86 PANTHERS u39½-105
5/4.76 COWBOYS +5½ -105
5/4.55 BENGALS +3½ -110

MONDAY

• 3/2.73 CHIEFS -7 -110
• 2.10/2 CHIEFS o51½ -105

randoms...
Back-to-back Primetime games for KC (coming off SNF vs Brady). LV has beaten DEN 7 straight @home as Josh McDaniels got his 1st win as Raiders HC. KC 6-1 SU & 5-2 ats vs Raiders L7. Raiders 5-1 before their BYE but irrelevant because of new coaching staff.

• LV in DIV games last 10 years:
  • 11-17 ats as a road dog
  • 12-26 ats w/total > 45
  • 2-13 ats as road dog w/total >45
• LV 20-33 37.7% ats in all games w/total > 45 last 5 years
• LV 3-6 SU & ats in L9 prime time games
• KC 19-12-2 61.3% ats in prime time last 7 years and over cashed 60% in them games
• KC 7-1 SU & 7-0-1 ats on Monday vs AFC L10 years
• Most prime time appearances last 5 years: DAL 30, KC 29, PIT 27, LAR 26...LV 20, JAX 4