Week 5 Slate looks full of games that will come down to the witching hour.BILLS are BANGED UP🤕

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Pretty much a regular
What's up CTG FAMILY????

Not my mortgage BILLS TT OVER last week. Trailing 10-21 with momentum, driving the BILLS decided to try the worst trick play I've seen in 45 years. Led to a fumble , and a possible 14 point swing ..
That being said I'd still make the same any time the BILLS total is 22.5 when weather isn't a concern ..

The good news is the other 3 bets all won last week ( PITT -3 , OVER 40 COLTS v STEELERS, OVER 36.5 Fins vs Titans ) ..





Week 5 has some excellent match ups. We've already had one OT game this week , wouldn't be suprised if there is 2-3+ more ..

BILLS are heading to Houston really banged up. Doesn't look like their best WR Shakir ( led the NFL in catch rate last season ) will play. Both starting defensive tackles Oliver and Jones might miss as well. The already thin secondary will likely be without the hard hitting Rapp. The OVER is my play of the week . Although the plan is to buy it down and wheel it in 2 selection parlays..


Season to date -$450 overall ( 2.25 units )
8-6 on sides/totals/team totals .

Week 4. 3-1. -$210. BILLS not going over 22.5 was a $2950 swing. Thankfully the rest of the board was swept to keep the loss at a minimum.

Week 3. +$1620. 4-0 on sides,totals and tean totals.
0-2 on player props ..

Week 2. -$1,269.
1-2 Sides/totals/team totals

Week 1. -$591
0-3 sides/totals/team totals .




BEST OF HEALTH, WEALTH, BLESSINGS, and LUCK to ALL
 
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Teaser/Parlay +115
$250/287.50

Thinking both the Falcons and Buccs will go all out in this key Divisional game. I'll buy it down hoping both teams score 20+

Don't see either team slowing down each other in Bills at Texans. Likely will use this adjusted over in several parlays

OVER 39.5 FALCONS V BUCCANEERS
OVER 42.5 TEXANS V BILLS
 
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DOUBLEUP4LIFE said:
Teaser/Parlay +115
$250/287.50

Thinking both the Falcons and Buccs will go all out in this key Divisional game. I'll buy it down hoping both teams score 40 .

Don't see either team slowing down each other in Bills at Texans. Likely will use this adjusted over in several parlays

OVER 39.5 FALCONS V BUCCANEERS
OVER 42.5 TEXANS V BILLS
Click to expand...
Solid solid play there.
 
HOGS -3 -120 .
$504 TO WIN $420. 2.1 U
Might be the most public side of the young season. However I just can't figure out how the offensively challenged Brownies keep up.
 
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Adding

PARLAY +107
$300 ( 1.5 units)
To Win $321

OVER 42.5 TEXANS V BILLS
SAINTS +10.5

Saints should be right there with the Chiefs. Have to imagine they'll be the much hungrier team. Of course KC will likely get help from the refs but this should finish within one score.
 
Section 6 HS FOOTBALL
( Western New York )

9-4 +$752.
Was probably a good thing to lose $30 to the local last week (2-2) . I've already been cut off from 2 of the better locals who take HS football, mainly bc my Alma Matter BENNETT has turned into a state power house over the the last 4 years.


CLASS. AA

BENNETT 2.5. * Lancaster
BENNETT -2.5 $253/230
Never thought I'd see the day when my Tigers were even allowed to play suburban schools, little own beat them regularly ( city schools budget for football is tiny compared to the Burbs) ... While this isn't the dominating Bennett squad that won the state championship 2 years ago and lost in the semis last season , it's still solid .. Last week's final score Bennett 27 Jamestown 23 was a tad deceiving as it was a 20 point game in the 4th ...Wouldn't be suprised if Lancaster wins tonight as it's probably a bigger game for them .



*ORCHARD PARK. 3.5 JAMESTOWN

JAMESTOWN +3.5. $550/500
The bet of the week !!! Unless the Red & Green suffered injuries or suspensions I think this line is at least 13 points off ...Sure OP is 3-1 but they've beaten no one with a pulse .




A1
*WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH. 22. Frontier
WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH -22 $165/150
The Spartans badly new a CLASS A1 Win , they righted he ship last week with a win at previously unbeaten Starpoint. Fading horrendous Frontier last week cost me $165, but I don't think this one stay within 30 .



A2.
STARPOINT 6. *HAMBURG
STARPOINT -6. $253/230

The Spartans should be pissed after their loss to Will North that featured some questionable ref calls. Hamburg hasn't really beat anyone despite their 2-2 record ..






SOUTH PARK 28.5. *Lake Shore
SOUTH PARK -28.5 $253/230
Sparks should name their score here vs hapless Lake Shore. Sparks RB Adam Nunes set the NYS rushing record 2 weeks ago going 26 for 593 yards and 7 TDS ..
 
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My concern for bills over, I dunno if mixon back but seems like the way to attack bills banged up d is running the ball. I could see long drives by both offenses and in Houston case they settle for a ton of fg tries, long drives ending in fg’s are a nightmare for overs. I had the hou/indy over week 1 and while it hit I told myself then to be very wary of Texans overs cause they get lined based off the offensive talent but they settle for all these damn fg’s, especially early on, feel like their kicker has to attempted more 50 yarders than anyone, just a guess but they seem to stall out a lot before the red zone. Since that week 1 game they havnt sniffed 47.5. Totally understand your logic I just dunno I trust Texans to finish drives? Taking it down to 42.5 makes sense, 23-20 wouldn’t shock me at all, both offenses move ball but clock running and we see bunch of fg tries. I’d be to scared of that to play the over 47.5.
 
2daBank said:
My concern for bills over, I dunno if mixon back but seems like the way to attack bills banged up d is running the ball. I could see long drives by both offenses and in Houston case they settle for a ton of fg tries, long drives ending in fg’s are a nightmare for overs. I had the hou/indy over week 1 and while it hit I told myself then to be very wary of Texans overs cause they get lined based off the offensive talent but they settle for all these damn fg’s, especially early on, feel like their kicker has to attempted more 50 yarders than anyone, just a guess but they seem to stall out a lot before the red zone. Since that week 1 game they havnt sniffed 47.5. Totally understand your logic I just dunno I trust Texans to finish drives? Taking it down to 42.5 makes sense, 23-20 wouldn’t shock me at all, both offenses move ball but clock running and we see bunch of fg tries. I’d be to scared of that to play the over 47.5.
Click to expand...


Agree with ya brother ..Fairbarim is my fantasy kicker on a few teams . That offense has stalled far too often. ...
However I don't think this BILLS D is capable of stopping them too often once they get inside the 40. Even without Mixon they'll probably score 24+... Didn't want to buy this down, but I'm much more confident in 42.5 for the reasons you said ..Should be a fantastic matchup ..Concerned McDermott goes full McDummy again and Ryans and Co simply out coach him
 
SAINTS OVER 19.5 +100
$200/200
Just a one unit play.
The Chiefs look putrid vs the Chargers last week who had a ton of injuries. Have to imagine every chaser will be all over KC ...Maybe they win a tight one , Saints should score 20+
 
2daBank said:
My concern for bills over, I dunno if mixon back but seems like the way to attack bills banged up d is running the ball. I could see long drives by both offenses and in Houston case they settle for a ton of fg tries, long drives ending in fg’s are a nightmare for overs. I had the hou/indy over week 1 and while it hit I told myself then to be very wary of Texans overs cause they get lined based off the offensive talent but they settle for all these damn fg’s, especially early on, feel like their kicker has to attempted more 50 yarders than anyone, just a guess but they seem to stall out a lot before the red zone. Since that week 1 game they havnt sniffed 47.5. Totally understand your logic I just dunno I trust Texans to finish drives? Taking it down to 42.5 makes sense, 23-20 wouldn’t shock me at all, both offenses move ball but clock running and we see bunch of fg tries. I’d be to scared of that to play the over 47.5.
Click to expand...
Totally feel ya with regards to this.
 
Keeneland


Juicy pick 4 on some nice stakes races today....Goes to post in about 5 minutes

25 cent pick 4 Splitting the 50 center with Richie Rich
Cost $48
Race 7. 1,3,4,6
Race 8. 2,4,5,8,10,11
Race 9. 1,5
Race 10. 2,3,6,9






Race 8

Total cost $24

Exacta key boxes and 10 cent Supers
Thinking the #5 WALKATHON( currently 9-1) will have value on the bottom of the exotics


$2 ex key boxes
5 with the 4,8

Cost $8
1st. 4,8
2nd. 1,2,4,8,10,11
3rd. All
4th. 5


Cost $8
1st. 4,8
2nd. 1,2,4,8,10,11
3rd. 5
4th. All
 
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DOUBLEUP4LIFE said:
Section 6 HS FOOTBALL
( Western New York )

9-4 +$752.
Was probably a good thing to lose $30 to the local last week (2-2) . I've already been cut off from 2 of the better locals who take HS football, mainly bc my Alma Matter BENNETT has turned into a state power house over the the last 4 years.


CLASS. AA

BENNETT 2.5. * Lancaster
BENNETT -2.5 $253/230
Never thought I'd see the day when my Tigers were even allowed to play suburban schools, little own beat them regularly ( city schools budget for football is tiny compared to the Burbs) ... While this isn't the dominating Bennett squad that won the state championship 2 years ago and lost in the semis last season , it's still solid .. Last week's final score Bennett 27 Jamestown 23 was a tad deceiving as it was a 20 point game in the 4th ...Wouldn't be suprised if Lancaster wins tonight as it's probably a bigger game for them .



*ORCHARD PARK. 3.5 JAMESTOWN

JAMESTOWN +3.5. $550/500
The bet of the week !!! Unless the Red & Green suffered injuries or suspensions I think this line is at least 13 points off ...Sure OP is 3-1 but they've beaten no one with a pulse .




A1
*WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH. 22. Frontier
WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH -22 $165/150
The Spartans badly new a CLASS A1 Win , they righted he ship last week with a win at previously unbeaten Starpoint. Fading horrendous Frontier last week cost me $165, but I don't think this one stay within 30 .



A2.
STARPOINT 6. *HAMBURG
STARPOINT -6. $253/230

The Spartans should be pissed after their loss to Will North that featured some questionable ref calls. Hamburg hasn't really beat anyone despite their 2-2 record ..






SOUTH PARK 28.5. *Lake Shore
SOUTH PARK -28.5 $253/230
Sparks should name their score here vs hapless Lake Shore. Sparks RB Adam Nunes set the NYS rushing record 2 weeks ago going 26 for 593 yards and 7 TDS ..
Click to expand...






4-1. +$857 on Friday night

13-5 +$1609 season to date.






BENNETT -2.5 20
LANCASTER 13
+$230
One of the hardest hitting games I've ever seen. Thankfully the Tigers intercepted the Legends inside the 10 with under a minute left ...IMO first half rain kept this game close as it neutralized Bennett's superior speed ..Extremely thankful that the dollar tree next to Lancaster had 2 ponchos left since we forgot ours lol ...


ORCHARD PARK 41
JAMESTOWN 40. +3.5
+$500
Can't wait to watch this tonight on NFHS ...Heard it came down to the final play...




WILL NORTH -22. 42
FRONTIER. 6
+$150
Spartans were up 36-6 at half. Everyone got to play !!



STARPOINT -6. 27 OT
HAMBURG. 24
-$253
Another game I'm looking to watching the replay of , despite it costing me $253 ...




SOUTH PARK -28.5. 61
LAKE SHORE. 20
+$230
NUNES rushed 15 for 222 yards with 4 tds ...
 
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DOUBLEUP4LIFE said:
MAC play of the week

TOLEDO -6 -106
$445.20 to win $420 ( 2.1 units )
Don't think Miami has the offense to keep up.
Click to expand...


Winner , but nothing is ever easy ...Miami was down 10 late in the 4th , yahoo said they scored to make it 26-30 , they didn't... lol

Usually profitable in the MAC X it's been a struggle so far thou

6-6 -$226 on MAC football season to date
 
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While I've sworn off betting player props , I'm so tempted to fire a few hundred on Dawson Knox over 7.5 rec yards...Expecting the BILLS to use more 2 TE sets today with Shakir out... If I don't bet it he'll probably go for 70 yards lol
 
DOUBLEUP4LIFE said:
Keeneland


Juicy pick 4 on some nice stakes races today....Goes to post in about 5 minutes

25 cent pick 4 Splitting the 50 center with Richie Rich
Cost $48
Race 7. 1,3,4,6
Race 8. 2,4,5,8,10,11
Race 9. 1,5
Race 10. 2,3,6,9






Race 8

Total cost $24

Exacta key boxes and 10 cent Supers
Thinking the #5 WALKATHON( currently 9-1) will have value on the bottom of the exotics


$2 ex key boxes
5 with the 4,8

Cost $8
1st. 4,8
2nd. 1,2,4,8,10,11
3rd. All
4th. 5


Cost $8
1st. 4,8
2nd. 1,2,4,8,10,11
3rd. 5
4th. All
Click to expand...



Won the chalky pick 4 , but it only paid $85 for 25 cents.
I'll take a $13 profit any day in horse racing. As it's tough tough sledding ...
 
Adding

SKOL -2.5
$220/200
While I don't trust that the WWE won't help the Jersey Jets win here before their Monday night game next week, I can't pass up the Vikings laying less than 3 .
 
Adding
Last parlay with the BILLS TEXANS OVER

-113
$226/200
OVER 42.5 TEXANS V BILLS
SEAHAWKS ML

Seattle might name their score vs the banged up Jersey Giants .
 
Week 6
BILLS -1.5 at New Jersey Jets
$1540/1400
2nd mortgage wager of the season.
Had to drive to the casino this morning to lay it down. Brutal spot coming back from across the pond for Jersey .
 
4-2 +$431.50 yesterday

With two pending bets pending


SKOL -2.5
+$200. 1 UNIT win
Totally shocked how good the Vikings are this season. Love watching the Jets lose. Hopefully they're flat vs the BILLS next week ( Mortgage wager ( 7 units) $1400 on BILLS -1 )..



HOGS -3 -120 .
$420. 2.1 U
Was shocked by the short line.
WHY wasn't this a mortgage wager ???lol .Excited to see them play the Ravens next week ..




Teaser/Parlay +115
$250/287.50. Winner
OVER 39.5 FALCONS V BUCCANEERS
OVER 42.5 TEXANS V BILLS
Thankfully we bought the BILLS OVER down to exactly the correct number lol..



BRONCOS -2.5 -118
$236/200
Wish they'd switch back to the orange crush permanently

-113
$226/200
OVER 42.5 TEXANS V BILLS
SEAHAWKS ML
Happy for Daboll , didn't think the G Men were capable of winning in this spot ...Needed a crazy blocked kick for a td to seal it ..I'd make this bet again tomorrow if they played lol ..Maybe the hawks were looking ahead to the 49er on Thursday??



Steelers -2.5. Loser
-$450
Wasn't planning on touching this game , weather delay brought out my inner DEGEN..
 
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Adding some degen mlb ..
We are a Yankees house !!! Royals are the play bc its a win /win...Don't trust Rodon, Ragans might pitch a gem ..

ROYALS OVER 3.5 +105
$100/$105

ROYALS -1.5 +215
$50/107.50
 
Previously pending wagers


PARLAY +107
$300 ( 1.5 units)
To Win $321

OVER 42.5 TEXANS V BILLS
SAINTS +10.5

Saints should be right there with the Chiefs. Have to imagine they'll be the much hungrier team. Refs in some Chiefs games are shady, glady buy it up on the other side of 10.

Got lucky buying the Bills at Texans down to 42.5 ..Had I not bet these parlays it would have been $600+ on the losing OVER 47



SAINTS OVER 19.5 +100
$200/200
Just a one unit play.
The Chiefs look putrid vs the Chargers last week who had a ton of injuries. Have to imagine every chaser will be all over KC ...Maybe IF they win its a tight one , Saints should score 20+
 
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