***Week 5 Lex***

Just a hunch that Russ cooks today. Jeudy+190 to score looks good too. No Leonard again I think the D struggles without him here.
 
that was the most boring way to lose money ever. Even got me by the hook on the Jeudy prop. Fuck the Donks
 
everyone out at wr and GB will be keying in on Barkley. Jones won't be running it all over the place today, so the only way NYG wins is to get something going through the air. Danny dimes to be a sniper today and get to 200 yds passing with a bunch of nobodies.
 
getting all the plays together for the day. Looking like I'll be on some props yikes. GL to all you lunatics betting the Commanders- I think I'm opting for McLaurin yds over 60.5-113. Woods rec yds o51.5-112 & anytime td+210 looks nice considering Wash has allowed a td to every #1 wr outside of week 1 & o85 rec yds to every #1.
 
thanks guys 134 through 3 need a big 4th!

Gabe Davis td/ o51.5 (+295)

Herbert passing yds o268.5-110

Dalvin Cook rush yds o90+154

Robert Woods rec yds o51.5-112

Robert Woods scores a td+210

McLaurin rec yds o60.5-114

2 units each


Diggs td/Dionte td (+600)

1 unit
 
Bills thoughts

Of course the injuries are the talking point in this one.... I have some thoughts in the discussion thread. No McKenzie as he's not cleared from concussion protocol means an even thinner special teams unit. Would have to see but I suspect Cook is returning but idk. Going to have to wait until gametime to see about Oliver & Phillips- if they both go I think the Bills will get after the qb. The secondary is def a concern as I said lw I needed Poyer to play to bet it and he saved the day. Now out along with Benford again, Jaquan Johnson should be ok as a fill in. I do think at some point Dionte is going to get a couple open looks, so I parlayed him to score with Diggs as a longshot. Tre Edmunds missing in the middle means more Dodson, he doesn't have the length and Tre's been playing great so it is a loss. Looks to me like a game where Diggs/Gabe could potentially go off so I'd be inclined to play both yardage props over there. Almost played longshot Gilliam+600 as he may get some looks, but I'm trying to reduce the longshots.

I leaned under but after consideration both teams missing key defensive players and the Bills due for a defensive regression I'm likely going to wait and see at the half. If it dropped to 44 I may have to play over just on principle. The Bills D has been great and surviving on next man up mentality, but the Steelers still have good players at the skills position- I just wonder if the rook will be able to make the right read and get the ball out in time but Mitch ain't gonna fare better!
 
yeah buddy

Ravens-156

Andrews td+100

Chase td +104

Chase yds o70.5

Ravens tt o12.5-130 1sth

2 units each
 
14-10+17.99 sunday.


I have a +6700 parlay with the o51.5 tonight to close it out. Don't ask me why I put a total in (only one btw) but now I'm torn between cashing out for half (boring), maybe buying up for a middle u54.5-157 & play half the would be winnings on that. I could try and middle live i guess. What would YOU do?

Still looking at the side but i really think it gets over. LV needs this one BAD but I think it's bonkers to think KC is looking ahead. And KC is the better team....
 
I know it's in Arrowhead, last yrs results are crazy but still not sure KC is that much better, coming from a Colts fan....
 
Lexington 125 said:
14-10+17.99 sunday.


I have a +6700 parlay with the o51.5 tonight to close it out. Don't ask me why I put a total in (only one btw) but now I'm torn between cashing out for half (boring), maybe buying up for a middle u54.5-157 & play half the would be winnings on that. I could try and middle live i guess. What would YOU do?

Still looking at the side but i really think it gets over. LV needs this one BAD but I think it's bonkers to think KC is looking ahead. And KC is the better team....
Click to expand...
Maybe live option might present best middle option at best price. BOL.
 
Davonte Adams rec o99.5 +210

Davonte rec yds o79.5-115

Kelce rec yds o74.5-114

2 units each


I think win or lose LV didn't get Adams to not use him. Only 1x@Arrowhead he did nothing but he always shredded divisional opponents. I think he gets targeted.
 
If they were up 17 they could sit on the ball but if KC scores getting the ball first everything changes. Honestly I think 2ndh & both tt go over but as I said I have the over to close a big payout.... still haven't hedged
 
Thanks Timh! glad I didn't hedge...thought about it late at 60.5 but then it dipped back to 57.5 before i could hit so I rode it out
 
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