Wisconsin - 10 (hook) (Pinny) My feelings in this game a pretty simple. Wisconsin is a team that will ultimately be ranked anywhere from 15-35. Indiana is a team that should never see the top 70. This game is at Indiana but that does not mean much. Yes, Wisconsin does not have home field advantage by the Hoosiers really do not either. The Badger come into this game at 3-1. They played 3 cupcakes(smashed them all) and the lost to Big Blue last week. The Michigan game was a test, and the did play them even for 3 quarters. Mario Manningham played godly in ultimately deciding the game for Michigan. Indiana lacks a Manningham, Hart, or even a Burgess. Indiana comes into this game scuffling- back to back losses to UCONN and So. Ill. will do that to you. Bottom Line: Wisconsin tends to blow out inferior teams and I expect them to here.
Ohio - 6 (this is the are you kidding me line IMO) (BetCris) This is Ohio University I am playing and not the Buckeyes (there was some confusion with people). This line has already dropped to 5 at Pinny and at BetCRIS. I am really confused by this movement. OU is 2-2. They dominated a pretty good No Ill team and played under-rated Rutgers tough. I think the name Bowling Green is getting many people on this team- that is the only explanation I can think of. BG comes into this game 2-2. They got crushed by Kent and Wisconsin; struggled in wins vs. Buffalo (yes that Buffalo) and Florida Int. Bottom Line: OU has enough offensive power to put up a lot of points against this BG team. BG has given up 40 to Buffalo and 38 to Kent- 2 offenses who have struggled forever.
Purdue/ND OVER 64 (Pinny) This is just simple numbers in this game. Last week I said that ND and MSU would put up 80 and it was pretty close. This has all of the makings of a similar type game. Purdue has put up 60, 38, 38 and 27! The 27 was last week in a game that had bad weather. More importantly that Purdue's offensive stats is that they have given up many points to bad offenses. 35 to Indiana State, 31 to Miami OH, and 28 to Ball State. Notre Dame's offense finally looks like they have gotten their act together. They have two 40+ point games and two games of 21 or less. Both of their low point outings were against premier defenses ( Ga Tech and Michigan). The other two games were against average or below average defenses. This Purdue defense is definitely below average. Also against two good offenses, ND has surrendered many points ( 47 to Michigan and 37 to MSU). Bottom Line- Last year there was 77 points scored in this game. Neither defense has gotten better but their offenses have. I expect to see 80 in this one.
Arizona State - 2 (pinny) Well I pounded this team against Colorado and then faded them last week against CAL. I think it is about time to play this team again. ASU comes into this game looking to take some anger out on someone. They got flat out embarrassed on national TV last week. Now they get to return home and play in front of a good crowd. Oregon comes into this game after a buy week. Before the buy week was the Oklahoma error. These Duck players cannot really think they won that game can they? This is a great spot for a let down. Bottom Line: Whether Oregon deserves that win or not, they got dominated for much of the game. They got out played as a favorite and at home. ASU RB Ryan Torain should be able to put some yards up against this Oregon team ( they gave up 200+ to AP).
Va Tech - 8.5 (Pinny) Va Tech comes into this game flying under the radar again. This team continually has success but does not get a lot of run (probably because their end of season collapse every year). Though they have not played any football giants- their defense has only yielded 23 points in four games. Offensively they are getting over 30 a game. Georgia Tech comes into this game on a 3 game winning streak. Without a late hit call on Brady Quinn this team would probably be 4-0. That tough battle with ND did 2 things- 1) Ga Tech is getting a lot of love by the public 2) and Notre Dame was exposed as not being an elite team. It is hard to say a team does not have much fire power offensively when they have the best WR in CFB (Calvin Johnson) BUT they really are not that great. Bottom Line: I like Va Tech in this game. They are at home and will be ready to prove haters wrong. Victor Harris should be able to slow down Calvin Johnson. Also the DL should get enough pressure on Reggie Ball to create turnovers. I expect a close first half with Va Tech ultimately pulling away.
Cincinnati - 8 (Pinny) (also a candidate for a HUGE play) Right now this remains my favorite play on the board. Cincinnati comes into this game after suffering 3 tough losses. If you just look at the scores you really do not know what I am talking about. Well I watched them lose to Pitt, OSU, and watched some clips of the Va Tech game. First I will look at the Pitt game in which they lost 33-15. The Bearcats were in this game and their defense dominated the majority of it. They were down 7-0 at the half because of a pick 6. Another INT for 6 at the end of the game made the score look worse than it was. After Pitt they traveled to The Horseshoe and played the Buckeyes tough ( ahead at halftime but ultimately lost by 30). Last week they played Va Tech tough and again were ahead at the half. Turnovers and crucial mistakes have gave this team 3 losses instead of possibly 1 or 2 wins. Miami OH is bad( no other way to put it). They have been a fade machine for me all year (took NW and the Cuse). They have no rushing attack (leading rusher is their QB with 115 yards). This team like BG is getting to much love this year because of past success IMO. Bottom Line: Cincinnati comes into this game hungry. They have let 3 potential wins slip away in the second half's of games. Did they lose because of huge mistakes or did very good defenses take advantage of careless errors? I believe that they can afford to make the same mistakes in this game because MIA does not have the talent of an OSU or VT to take advantage of it. Moreover, The Nati comes home after 3 rough weeks while MIA is on the road for the 3 time in 4 weeks. Nati 33-17
Texas Tech PK (Betcris) There is not a lot I have to say about this game. This is a game that I may ultimately fade. I know Tech struggles on the road but A&M is not that good of a team. This game on a neutral field would probably be a 7-10 point spread. Ultimately this is still an instate game for Tech and they should win it.
Michigan - 6 (BetCRIS) This game is for the Brown Jug or something isnt it? I think there is a little too much hype on the Brown Jug thing. Michigan comes into this game with a business like attitude. This year they seem to be focused and ready to play. Every game seems like an isolated game to the Wolverines this year. They do not seem to have that typical "we are Michigan so fold" attitude. I have to give credit to Jim Tressal's bitch Lloyd Carr for having his team ready this year. I do not see Michigan slipping up at all this year. Bottom Line: Manningham, Hart, and Breaston on the turf will be way way way to much speed for this Minnesota team.
Norther Illinois - 6.5 (hook) GUYS this team is good. Yes they slipped up against Ohio but that was after a loss to the Buckeyes. This team has all of the tools to make another run at the MAC championship game. Garret Wolfe already has 828 yards on the ground. Horvath is a viable QB that lead the nation in completion percentage a year ago. Ball State is improved but they are still Ball State.
Yes I know that all of these plays are favorites BUT you have to play what you like right?
BOL all.....will respond to any comments and will add plays if I see any throughout the week