BlitzBandit
Friend of CTG
Wk 1: 6-3 ( 66.6% ) +3.7 units
Wk 2: 3-4 ( 42.9% ) -1.6 units
Wk 3: 5-3 ( 62.5% ) +7.6 units
Wk 4: 5-3 ( 62.5% ) +5.5 units
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19-13 ( 59.5% ) +15.2 units
Had a good start at 5-1 and over 8 units last week... then closed up with two losses. Oakland screwed me pretty bad with a 15-3 lead going into the fourth and they couldn't even cover the +9 pt spread. Pretty sad when you consider they were in a position where they were trying to get the ball back in the closing minute... and instead, LT runs for a long td.. great job Oakland, you fuckers!..
And an extra special heartwarming thanks to Joe Flacco for giving PIT an easy fumble return for six... a 20-13 game would've been just fine for my UNDER play in that one...
ah well, enough of the whining...
Can't say I'm really too thrilled about the games this week. If I had to bet a strong game this week (and by that I mean being thrown to the ground and having a foot and a gun shoved in my face and my head), it would probably have to be either Dallas or Houston. But I think I've mentioned plenty of times that I don't really like betting against Indy.. so if I do it, it won't be for big. Dallas is one I was ready to pound, but Vegas obviously didn't want me to being as to how they set the line as if Dallas is equivalent to the undefeated cheaters of last year. And they set the Houston line as if Indy is barely capable of beating the winless Texans... Bah!... who cares what Vegas wants anyway?...
Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys -16
(2.2 to win 2)
I don't think I'll be on anything over 2 units this week... just one of those weeks. Still pretty confident in this one though and the high line doesn't bother me like it should. I know Palmer will probably end up playing and Perry looks like he's fine too, but really, I don't think this is going to matter as much as one would expect. Ocho Cinco has been blabbing his mouth about how he'll be ready to kiss the star after he scores and Terrells' being accused of starting more drama up again... these are two reasons to motivate a Cowboys team that should have no business being up for a weak team like Cincy. Add to that the fact that they are coming off a home loss to the Skins after being double digit favorites, and this is a recipe for a big blowout... much like the Seattle blowout of the Rams after they lost to the Niners at home the previous week.
The Cowboys have an explosive offense and they are up against a team that aint worth much. This is a good opportunity for them to make a statement and shut up the media over TO and any doubts from last weeks' loss. No reason why they don't put up at least 40 pts here... and I'd be shocked to see Cincy get past 10.
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans +3
(2.2 to win 2)
Don't normally like betting against Manning, but this is Houstons' first home game and the Colts haven't looked much in sync lately (different reasons for that). This is an obvious sucker bet type play. With a line of 3, it's obvious who Vegas wants the public to take... I hate when that happens... much like the KC play and Oakland plays I took last week (split those). Houston and the Niners seem to be in that situation against the Colts and Patriots. Who would have ever thought the Colts and Patriots would not be favored by more than a fg against the Texans and Niners.. geez.
Anyway, the Texans were 6-2 last year at home. This year, their 0-3 mark is thanks to the powerful defenses of the Steelers, Titans, and Jaguars... the Colts defense is nowhere near that category. Houston has scored over 24 pts in 3 of the last 4 meetings against em'. This should be no different. I'll be on the home team who has played the tougher schedule and will be facing the weakest defense thus far.
some early leans on some others..
Baltimore, San Diego, Carolina, Philly, Detroit, Seattle, Denver, and Niners.
not sure what I'll be playing on the others, but leaning a bit strong to Denver and Detroit... probably end up on those...
On the G-Men, I don't think I'll be messing with it... Coughlin hasn't shown much after a bye and Seattle pretty much sucks after a bye too. I do think the Giants control the tempo of this game, but other than being 3-0 and the chance to remain undefeated and on top of the Beast division, there isn't much reason to come out strong against Seattle here. I would bet Seattle if I had to bet on it, but I wouldn't be surprised to the Giants win by 10 or more here... just one of those games this week.
gl to all this week...
comments welcome.
Wk 2: 3-4 ( 42.9% ) -1.6 units
Wk 3: 5-3 ( 62.5% ) +7.6 units
Wk 4: 5-3 ( 62.5% ) +5.5 units
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19-13 ( 59.5% ) +15.2 units
Had a good start at 5-1 and over 8 units last week... then closed up with two losses. Oakland screwed me pretty bad with a 15-3 lead going into the fourth and they couldn't even cover the +9 pt spread. Pretty sad when you consider they were in a position where they were trying to get the ball back in the closing minute... and instead, LT runs for a long td.. great job Oakland, you fuckers!..
And an extra special heartwarming thanks to Joe Flacco for giving PIT an easy fumble return for six... a 20-13 game would've been just fine for my UNDER play in that one...
ah well, enough of the whining...
Can't say I'm really too thrilled about the games this week. If I had to bet a strong game this week (and by that I mean being thrown to the ground and having a foot and a gun shoved in my face and my head), it would probably have to be either Dallas or Houston. But I think I've mentioned plenty of times that I don't really like betting against Indy.. so if I do it, it won't be for big. Dallas is one I was ready to pound, but Vegas obviously didn't want me to being as to how they set the line as if Dallas is equivalent to the undefeated cheaters of last year. And they set the Houston line as if Indy is barely capable of beating the winless Texans... Bah!... who cares what Vegas wants anyway?...
Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys -16
(2.2 to win 2)
I don't think I'll be on anything over 2 units this week... just one of those weeks. Still pretty confident in this one though and the high line doesn't bother me like it should. I know Palmer will probably end up playing and Perry looks like he's fine too, but really, I don't think this is going to matter as much as one would expect. Ocho Cinco has been blabbing his mouth about how he'll be ready to kiss the star after he scores and Terrells' being accused of starting more drama up again... these are two reasons to motivate a Cowboys team that should have no business being up for a weak team like Cincy. Add to that the fact that they are coming off a home loss to the Skins after being double digit favorites, and this is a recipe for a big blowout... much like the Seattle blowout of the Rams after they lost to the Niners at home the previous week.
The Cowboys have an explosive offense and they are up against a team that aint worth much. This is a good opportunity for them to make a statement and shut up the media over TO and any doubts from last weeks' loss. No reason why they don't put up at least 40 pts here... and I'd be shocked to see Cincy get past 10.
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans +3
(2.2 to win 2)
Don't normally like betting against Manning, but this is Houstons' first home game and the Colts haven't looked much in sync lately (different reasons for that). This is an obvious sucker bet type play. With a line of 3, it's obvious who Vegas wants the public to take... I hate when that happens... much like the KC play and Oakland plays I took last week (split those). Houston and the Niners seem to be in that situation against the Colts and Patriots. Who would have ever thought the Colts and Patriots would not be favored by more than a fg against the Texans and Niners.. geez.
Anyway, the Texans were 6-2 last year at home. This year, their 0-3 mark is thanks to the powerful defenses of the Steelers, Titans, and Jaguars... the Colts defense is nowhere near that category. Houston has scored over 24 pts in 3 of the last 4 meetings against em'. This should be no different. I'll be on the home team who has played the tougher schedule and will be facing the weakest defense thus far.
some early leans on some others..
Baltimore, San Diego, Carolina, Philly, Detroit, Seattle, Denver, and Niners.
not sure what I'll be playing on the others, but leaning a bit strong to Denver and Detroit... probably end up on those...
On the G-Men, I don't think I'll be messing with it... Coughlin hasn't shown much after a bye and Seattle pretty much sucks after a bye too. I do think the Giants control the tempo of this game, but other than being 3-0 and the chance to remain undefeated and on top of the Beast division, there isn't much reason to come out strong against Seattle here. I would bet Seattle if I had to bet on it, but I wouldn't be surprised to the Giants win by 10 or more here... just one of those games this week.
gl to all this week...
comments welcome.
