Had a good week last week even after 0-2 on Raiders Monday
Thursday:
2.50/3 Seahawks +120
3/2.88 Seahawks +2½ -104
randoms...
Rams 10-4-1 ATS L15 vs. NFC West and 23-9-1 ATS in L33 vs. NFC.
Seahawks 8-1-2 ATS in L11 Thursday games but 2-5 ATS in L7 overall
The over is 6-0 in Rams L6 overall while under is 10-3 in SEA L13 overall
Rams are 4-1 ATS in L5 meetings
Rams have won six of the last eight meetings vs Seahawks, and you can argue this years team is much better than those past squads. The Rams still have that aggressive defense that makes big plays, but that passing game with Stafford has raised the ceiling big time. The Seahawks continue to be hit or miss and their defense definitely raises the most concern, as they’re ranked 28th against the pass and 31st against the run. Not numbers you want to see with the Rams coming to town. But, I love home dogs on short weeks, and Wilson seems to be having a special year. Rams would be easy play at home but gimme SEA tonight. Bear in mind I'm 1-6 so far on Thursday night, so this could be fade material...or I may right the ship!
5-0 ATS in L5 games as a road dog and 4-1 ATS in L5 vs team with a winning record while the over is 9-3 in L12 following a loss. Tampa is 5-1 ATS in L6 overall but only 8-18-1 ATS in L27 as a home fav. Tampa was lucky to get out of town with a win the way they did against NE and they have to have somewhat of a letdown. While I was burned with the Fish vs Indy, I’m going back to the well here with MIA. They have always gave Brady fits in his time in New England and I think that just because he’s on a different team, the issues don’t go away. I'll back the Dolphins to give Tampa and their old friend TB12 all he can handle and easily cover if not have a real chance for the W.
Chicago is 2-6 ATS L8 road games and 0-4 ATS in L4 games as dog. LW is 3-7 ATS in L10 games overall and 1-4 ATS in L5 games as a home fav. The Bears finally got in the win column last week, but it was still against the Lions and honetly that’s not saying a much. Las Vegas is a bit ticked off after being humiliated in primetime by a division rival and I just don’t see any way that the Bears hang here, esp with a rookie QB. Give me the Raiders and lay the points with Vegas at home in my top play of the week.
I’m leaning with the Browns, but staying away for now. CLE played a hard-nosed game vs MIN last week, with each team averaging less than 4.5 yards per play. The Browns were good enough on third downs (7-of-18) to keep drives moving and took care of the ball with no turnovers. The Chargers put up an impressive effort vs LV on Monday allowing just 48 rush yards and 14 first downs. LA had their offense working well, and I think the Browns will be another good challenge this week. Should be a great game, but have to lean CLE with LA off Monday with some letdown
Pretty blah Sunday, but I live to fight another day... :rubbingin:
NFL
LAST - [8-8-1 -0.46u]
2021 - [41-44 -10.45u]
Monday:
4/3.85 COLTS / RAVENS u46½ -104
Colts at the Ravens. A big matchup for both teams as Colts look to get a big win and Ravens look to take the lead in the AFC North. On offense, both teams are down on the OL, but are good at RB and WR. Wentz health/effectiveness is the big concern. On defense, both have some key guys out, but the Front 7seems good for both teams. The Ravens secondary looks to bet better than the Colts I see the Ravens at home and coming out strong. With all the attention on the Chargers and Bills, Ravens will look to remind people that they are still a threat in the AFC. I like Ravens and would play at 7, the extra half point has me hesitant, but I'm hitting the under for now
