WEEK 4

bookieassassin

bookieassassin

Pretty much a regular
ONE UNIT

Rutgers +3'/5
E Caro +7'


smaller

App St -5'
Sparty +7'
Ark / Auburn OVER 58'
Tulsa +3
Purdue +6
Navy +10


small

SJSU +14
Buffalo +14'
Purdue/Oreg St OVER 50
ULL +3'
Temple +6'




leans/waiting

TENN
ARKANSAS
USC

App St
Cuse
Ga Tech
Iowa
Baylor
NW
Clemson
Tulsa

ULL
Navy
USF
NTX
Navy







THURSDAY 9/19

301 NEW ENGLAND -1:15 p.m.
302 NY JETS

303 SOUTH ALABAMA
7:30 p.m.
304 APP ST -9'



FRIDAY 9/20

305 STANFORD
7:30 p.m.
306 SYRACUSE -12

307 ILLINOIS
8:00 p.m.
308 NEBRASKA -9'

309 SAN JOSE ST
10:00 p.m.
310 WASHINGTON ST -13'




SATURDAY 9/21



311 HOUSTON
12:00 p.m.
312 CINCINNATI -6

313 VIRGINIA -3
12:00 p.m.
314 COASTAL CAROLINA

315 KENT ST
12:00 p.m.
316 PENN ST -50

317 MARSHALL
12:00 p.m.
318 OHIO ST -40

319 MICHIGAN ST
12:00 p.m.
320 BOSTON COLLEGE -4

321 BUFFALO
12:00 p.m.
322 NIU -13

323 AKRON
12:00 p.m.
324 SOUTH CAROLINA -28

325 CHARLOTTE
12:00 p.m.
326 INDIANA -27

327 KANSAS
12:00 p.m.
328 WEST VIRGINIA -2'

329 JAMES MADISON
12:00 p.m.
330 NORTH CAROLINA -12'?

331 GEORGIA TECH
12:00 p.m.
332 LOUISVILLE -12

333 NC STATE
12:00 p.m.
334 CLEMSON -16

335 MIAMI, FL -17
12:00 p.m.
336 USF

337 IOWA -4
12:00 p.m.
338 MINNESOTA

339 CALIFORNIA
12:00 p.m.
340 FLORIDA ST -4 ?

341 BALL ST
12:00 p.m.
342 CENTRAL MICHIGAN -5

343 OHIO
12:00 p.m.
344 KENTUCKY -21

345 UTAH ST -8'
12:00 p.m.
346 TEMPLE

347 RICE
12:00 p.m.
348 ARMY -6

349 RUTGERS
12:00 p.m.
350 VIRGINIA TECH -3

351 FRESNO ST -16
2:00 p.m.
352 NEW MEXICO

353 KANSAS ST -8'
2:00 p.m.
354 BYU

355 UTEP
2:00 p.m.
356 COLORADO ST -10

357 BAYLOR
2:00 p.m.
358 COLORADO -1

359 ARKANSAS ST
2:00 p.m.
360 IOWA ST -21

361 SOUTHERN MISS
3:00 p.m.
362 JACKSONVILLE ST -1'

363 PURDUE
3:00 p.m.
364 OREGON ST -3

365 ARKANSAS
3:30 p.m.
366 AUBURN -5

367 GEORGIA SOUTHERN
3:30 p.m.
368 OLE MISS -35

369 TCU -1'
3:30 p.m.
370 SMU

371 TENNESSEE -7
3:30 p.m.
372 OKLAHOMA

373 ULM
3:30 p.m.
374 TEXAS -50

375 NORTHWESTERN
3:30 p.m.
376 WASHINGTON -9

377 TULANE -2'
3:30 p.m.
378 LOUISIANA

379 UTAH
3:30 p.m.
380 OKLAHOMA ST -2

381 WYOMING
3:30 p.m.
382 NORTH TEXAS -8

383 ARIZONA ST
3:30 p.m.
384 TEXAS TECH -2

385 VANDERBILT
3:30 p.m.
386 MISSOURI -22

387 USC -3
3:30 p.m.
388 MICHIGAN

389 UCLA
3:30 p.m.
390 LSU -23?

391 FLORIDA -2'
3:30 p.m.
392 MISSISSIPPI ST

393 MIAMI, OH
3:30 p.m.
394 NOTRE DAME -28

395 BOWLING GREEN
3:30 p.m.
396 TEXAS A&M -24

397 MEMPHIS -13
3:30 p.m.
398 NAVY

399 EAST CAROLINA
6:00 p.m.
400 LIBERTY -5 ?

401 FAU
7:00 p.m.
402 CONNECTICUT P

403 TULSA -1'
7:00 p.m.
404 LOUISIANA TECH

405 DUKE -16
7:00 p.m.
406 MIDDLE TENNESSEE

407 NEW MEXICO ST
7:00 p.m.
408 SAM HOUSTON -12

409 TOLEDO -1'
7:30 p.m.
410 WKU
 
Last edited:
bookieassassin said:
ONE UNIT


smaller

App St -5'



small



leans/waiting




A few lines popping up at Heritage
$ 5' is a solid number with App St - line should move towards 9/10 - S Bama ain't worth a crap


I'll have lines up by the morning - I think ha - (maybe) a great EARLY opportunity with Vols at Sooners ..... raw numbers have this one at Tennessee -4/5, so it might be possible to get 6 or less? Sooners should get hammered.
Click to expand...
I've been waiting for this one (Vols in Norman).

Pounder.
 
adding one unit +

RUTGERS +3'


Saving a bit for ML - I don't think it makes it to 5 - should only drop from here?


GT should be a popular dog (forgetting Louisville is tough as hell at home) - gonna wait for late UL money to see if I can get 12+
 
KJ said:
USC was -6 last night on DK
Click to expand...
surprised (kinda) it opened that much .......

Raw numbers pre week 3 say Michigan's a small favorite - unusual to just make an arbitrary 7-8 point adjustment..... oddsmakers are getting a LOT smarter ha

In the past it would have opened around P / low limits - then moved to 2'/3 by Sunday nite. Wednesday maybe 5/6 - closing at 6' or so.
 
bookieassassin said:
surprised (kinda) it opened that much .......

Raw numbers pre week 3 say Michigan's a small favorite - unusual to just make an arbitrary 7-8 point adjustment..... oddsmakers are getting a LOT smarter ha

In the past it would have opened around P / low limits - then moved to 2'/3 by Sunday nite. Wednesday maybe 5/6 - closing at 6' or so.
Click to expand...
I won't even pretend to say what they had it at over Summer or even where it moved from Thursday through last night, they usually put up a few games for the following week on Thursday I believe but I never really look at them until after Saturday games. I'm sure the movement can be significant over the weekend.
 
The best of the best...BA...

but how can you fade BC on RED BANDANNA Week?

general game principle is they are outer worldly in these red bandanna games. have to think they respond well in this situation given how they played against Missouri.
 
SO FAR

PLAY OR AVOID BETTING AGAINST

------------- ATS -- % -- MOV --+/- ats
Tennessee 3-0-0 100.0% 59.3 +27.2
UL Monroe 2-0-0 100.0% 21.0 +24.0
Boston Col 3-0-0 100.0% 21.7 +20.3
Indiana 2-1-0 66.7% 42.3 +18.0
Bowl Grn 2-0-0 100.0% 8.5 +17.8
UNLV 3-0-0 100.0% 27.0 +17.5
Mississippi 3-0-0 100.0% 53.0 +16.5
Wash State 3-0-0 100.0% 22.0 +16.2
N Illinois 2-0-0 100.0% 20.5 +16.0
Miami 2-1-0 66.7% 44.3 +15.3
Toledo 2-1-0 66.7% 26.0 +14.5
Louisville 2-0-0 100.0% 48.5 +14.3
Texas 3-0-0 100.0% 40.0 +14.2
Arizona St 3-0-0 100.0% 17.0 +13.8
Alabama 2-1-0 66.7% 40.3 +13.8
USC 2-0-0 100.0% 27.5 +13.8
BYU 3-0-0 100.0% 17.0 +12.3
Buffalo 2-1-0 66.7% 3.3 +11.8
N Dame 2-1-0 66.7% 22.3 +11.8
Sam H 2-1-0 66.7% 2.3 +11.5
San Jose St 3-0-0 100.0% 16.3 +10.7
Minnesota 2-0-1 100.0% 24.3 +10.3
Army 2-0-0 100.0% 26.0 +10.3
Maryland 2-1-0 66.7% 18.0 +10.0
Vanderbilt 2-1-0 66.7% 19.3 +9.7
UCF 3-0-0 100.0% 28.7 +9.5
Illinois 2-0-1 100.0% 24.0 +9.3
Ok St 2-1-0 66.7% 22.3 +9.0
E Michigan 3-0-0 100.0% -1.3 +8.7
Florida Intl 2-1-0 66.7% -2.0 +8.5
Fresno St 2-1-0 66.7% 14.7 +8.5
Ohio St 1-1-0 50.0% 51.0 +8.3
Coastal Car 2-1-0 66.7% 18.3 +8.2
Tulane 2-1-0 66.7% 10.0 +7.8
Marshall 2-0-0 100.0% 12.5 +7.5
Houston 2-1-0 66.7% 0.7 +7.2
Baylor 3-0-0 100.0% 19.7 +6.8
S Carolina 2-1-0 66.7% 8.7 +6.8
California 2-1-0 66.7% 15.3 +6.7
Memphis 3-0-0 100.0% 23.0 +6.5
Boise St 1-1-0 50.0% 4.0 +6.5
Conn 2-1-0 66.7% -0.7 +6.3
Navy 1-1-0 50.0% 27.5 +6.3
Nebraska 3-0-0 100.0% 27.3 +6.0
S Florida 3-0-0 100.0% 14.7 +5.8
LA Tech 2-0-0 100.0% -1.0 +5.8
Pittsburgh 3-0-0 100.0% 12.0 +5.0
E Carolina 2-1-0 66.7% 14.3 +4.7
GA Tech 3-1-0 75.0% 18.8 +4.6
New Mexico 2-1-0 66.7% -17.3 +4.5

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$


AVOID or FADE

UTSA 0-3-0 0.0% -25.3 -20.7
Florida St 0-3-0 0.0% -8.7 -19.8
NC State 0-3-0 0.0% -4.7 -19.2
Wyoming 0-3-0 0.0% -21.7 -18.8
Purdue 1-1-0 50.0% -5.0 -18.3
UCLA 0-2-0 0.0% -13.0 -18.0
Kent St 0-3-0 0.0% -36.0 -17.3
Arizona 0-3-0 0.0% 3.3 -16.5
Liberty 0-3-0 0.0% 13.7 -15.3
M Tenn 0-3-0 0.0% -23.3 -14.8
Jksnville St 0-3-0 0.0% -22.0 -14.3
U Mass 1-2-0 33.3% -20.0 -13.8
Air Force 0-3-0 0.0% -7.7 -13.0
Col St 0-3-0 0.0% -16.7 -12.7
Oregon 1-2-0 33.3% 16.0 -12.5
LSU 0-3-0 0.0% 6.3 -12.2
S Meth 1-2-0 33.3% 18.0 -12.2
App State 1-2-0 33.3% -5.3 -10.8
Florida 0-3-0 0.0% 0.3 -10.7
Wisconsin 0-3-0 0.0% -1.3 -10.7
Ball St 1-1-0 50.0% -27.0 -10.3
Kansas 0-3-0 0.0% 12.0 -9.5
Utah St 1-2-0 33.3% -14.3 -9.0
Charlotte 1-2-0 33.3% -13.3 -8.8
Michigan 0-3-0 0.0% 3.7 -8.3
Hawaii 1-2-0 33.3% 0.0 -7.7
W Virginia 0-3-0 0.0% 3.0 -7.3
North Tex 1-2-0 33.3% -5.3 -7.3
Texas Tech 1-2-0 33.3% 8.3 -6.8
S Diego St 0-3-0 0.0% -3.7 -6.5
James Mad 1-1-0 50.0% 15.0 -6.5
VA Tech 1-2-0 33.3% 10.0 -6.5
Penn St 1-1-0 50.0% 14.5 -6.3
Mia (OH) 0-2-0 0.0% -9.0 -6.0
Rice 1-2-0 33.3% 5.3 -5.8
Cl Mich 1-1-1 50.0% -0.3 -5.3
Virginia 1-1-1 50.0% 2.7 -5.3
Tulsa 1-2-0 33.3% -1.7 -5.3
UAB 2-1-0 66.7% 0.7 -5.3
Ou 2-1-0 66.7% 22.3 -5.2
Wake 0-2-1 0.0% -1.0 -4.7
NMSU 1-2-0 33.3% -15.7 -4.7
Miss State 1-2-0 33.3% 6.0 -4.3
Wash 1-2-0 33.3% 16.0 -4.3
Iowa St 1-1-0 50.0% 9.5 -4.3
W Mich 1-2-0 33.3% -14.0 -4.2
Temple 1-2-0 33.3% -27.7 -4.0
Georgia 1-2-0 33.3% 25.7 -3.5
S Miss 1-2-0 33.3% -10.3 -3.2
TX El Paso 1-2-0 33.3% -18.0 -3.0
Cincinnati 1-2-0 33.3% 9.3 -2.8
Texas A&M 1-2-0 33.3% 15.0 -2.8
Akron 1-2-0 33.3% -22.3 -2.7
Kentucky 2-1-0 66.7% 1.7 -2.5
Oregon St 1-2-0 33.3% 3.0 -2.3
Colorado 1-2-0 33.3% 2.0 -2.2
N Carolina 0-2-1 0.0% 18.3 -2.0
TCU 0-3-0 0.0% 17.0 -2.0
 
bookieassassin said:
adding one unit +

RUTGERS +3'


Saving a bit for ML - I don't think it makes it to 5 - should only drop from here?


GT should be a popular dog (forgetting Louisville is tough as hell at home) - gonna wait for late UL money to see if I can get 12+
Click to expand...
Ah back on the same side. Rutgers here as well. VT has at Miami next week too
 
bookieassassin said:
surprised (kinda) it opened that much .......

Raw numbers pre week 3 say Michigan's a small favorite - unusual to just make an arbitrary 7-8 point adjustment..... oddsmakers are getting a LOT smarter ha

In the past it would have opened around P / low limits - then moved to 2'/3 by Sunday nite. Wednesday maybe 5/6 - closing at 6' or so.
Click to expand...
GOY line was UM -10 back in August. Obviously things change but that’s a 16 point swing lol
 
steponaduck said:
The best of the best...BA...

but how can you fade BC on RED BANDANNA Week?

general game principle is they are outer worldly in these red bandanna games. have to think they respond well in this situation given how they played against Missouri.
Click to expand...

Funny I thought about that as I was staring at that 7' ...... would rather it NOT be RBW, but typically that's as a BIG dog vs a much tougher team. LY it seems we both were the only ones on a shitty BC getting 27/28 vs FSU.

Sparty is still an unknown, but good enough to stay close here probably (smashed the Terps on the road / TO's made it closer). Rested with a beating on deck vs OSU - BC off a physical, late road loss (huge, physical FSU game earlier too).
>> Note BC is a horrible home favorite - line should be 4'/5 - really only about 50% su/ats in these RB games anyway - lost the only time favored.
 
satnightfever05 said:
Waiting to fade ASU. Just unclear if it’s this week or post bye with an update loss to KU…
Click to expand...

I might play TT at 2' small - and look at a live play - on EITHER. Pre-season this one woulda been around 10. TT has been beat up, currently only starters out are a DE and LG - 2 DB's and LT are ?? this week. Hopefully ASU gets up early - we can play TT live/2H
 
Toledo/WKU total at 59 seems awfully low....WKU early stats are skewed from having the play Bama in the opener.....and TJ Finley at QB.....If Veltkamp starts for WKU and Toledo keeps moving the ball effectively.....how do both teams not hit 28 minimum?
 
small / juiced

Navy +10 - just small because any letdown (FSU win) is already factored into the line - Navy off bye and has played them close before - UNDER might be better

Temple +6' - Utah State weak on the road to begin with, and off UTAH, USC before that - Owls are terrible but playing better - LW outgained CCaro - D actually limited OU (6 TO's)
 
bookieassassin said:
small / juiced

Navy +10 - just small because any letdown (FSU win) is already factored into the line - Navy off bye and has played them close before - UNDER might be better

Temple +6' - Utah State weak on the road to begin with, and off UTAH, USC before that - Owls are terrible but playing better - LW outgained CCaro - D actually limited OU (6 TO's)
Click to expand...
Agree on lower scoring game with Navy/Mem which correlates. I'd be on Navy team under if it was available to me
 
Interested in your opinion on GT/Lou. Lou a little mystery to me as they haven't played anybody yet and have an entirely rebuilt secondary with portal acquisitions that Steele had ranked pretty high despite no experience playing together. GT defense seems like they are very vulnerable and Syr torched them pretty well. I would expect Lou prefer higher tempo, and GT would like more ball control and use the running game and their nice OL. I have an inkling towards the over here, but just not sure about Lou defense overall at this point.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

bookieassassin
WEEK 3
Replies
32
Views
2K
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
WEEK 5
Replies
30
Views
2K
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
Frank Costanza
  • Sticky
Week 4 - TV Schedule & Broadcaster Listing
Replies
6
Views
45
KJ
KJ
Frank Costanza
Week 2 - TV Schedule & Broadcaster Listing
Replies
8
Views
128
Frank Costanza
Frank Costanza
Frank Costanza
Week 3 - TV Schedule & Broadcaster Listing
Replies
6
Views
134
Frank Costanza
Frank Costanza
Back
Top