WEEK 4

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
3/2.88 RAMS +2 -104
4/3.85 BENGALS u43½ -104
3/2.83 BUCS +6 -106
3/2.83 EAGLES O44 -106

SEASON [36-33 +10.96u]
WEEK 3 [10-12-1 +2.1u]
LAST [1-3 -5.15u]

WEEK 4

THURSDAY

• 2/1.92 LIONS -2 -104
• 3/2.40 LIONS -125
• 3/2.80 1H PACKERS u22½ -107

• Lions are for real this year and have a solid coach in Campbell (10-2 vs DIV). DET held GB w/ROGERS without a TD in 1H of both games last year and got their first win at Lambeau in 30 years! A couple minor injuries in the secondary are only a slight concern as both Moseley and Joseph are likely to play even if in limited roles. More of a concern in the Lions OL injuries what with the GB D looking so good. However I'll still back the better D even on a short-week roadie. The under almost seems a given although I'm gonna stick with first half under.

randoms....

• DET 13-4 76.5% on the road after a win/cover last 7 years
• LAST 7 YEARS:
  
  • HOME FAVS of 4 or less on Monday last 7 years: 19-15 SU / 12-19-3 38.7% ATS / 15-19 TOT
  • When TOTAL is 40-45 on Monday last 7 years: UNDER has cashed 64% (30-17-1) inc last 4
• Prime time home dogs 41-53-7 43.6% last 7 years (Total 41-53-7 33%)
• Prime time home dogs of less than 3: 10-17-1 37% last 7 years
• Prime time last 7 years
• 
• Last 7 regular season games:
• 

 

[mrpickem]

RATINGS

 

[B.A.R.]

Winning night

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
2/1.92 LIONS -2 -104
3/2.40 LIONS -125
3/2.80 1H PACKERS u22½ -107

SEASON [38-34 +12.28u]
LAST [2-1 +1.32u]

SUNDAY

• 4/3.48 JAGUARS -3 -115
• 3/2.86 JAGUARS u42½ -105

randoms....

• JAX 7-17 ATS as FAV of <7 last 7 years (1-9 when <=3)

 

[mrpickem]

rest of early board

• 4/3.33 BILLS -2½ -120
• 3/2.86 VIKINGS -4½ -105
• 3/2.80 BROWNS -2½ -107
• 3/2.86 RAVENS o38½ -105
• 3/2.88 TEXANS u42 -104
• 3/2.86 COLTS u45½ -105
• 3/2.86 BUCS +3½ -105
• 3/2.88 EAGLES -8½ -104
• 3/2.73 EAGLES u43½ -110
• 3/2.73 BENGALS -2½ -110

randoms....

• HOME TEAMS 12-25-3 ATS 32.4% THIS YEAR WHEN LINE +7 TO -7
• DET 12-6-1 76.5% ATS after a win/cover last 7 years(5-1 IN L6)
• ROAD DOGS OF <6 ARE 199-121-8 62.2% IN FIRST 8 WEEKS OVER LAST 7 YEARS

 

[mrpickem]

later games

• 3/2.86 Pats o42½ -105
• 3/2.88 CHARGERS u48½ -104
• 3/2.88 COWBOYS -6 -104
• 2/13.4 CARDS +672
• 3/2.73 Chiefs -8 -110

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
4/3.48 JAGUARS -3 -115
3/2.86 JAGUARS u42½ -105
4/3.33 BILLS -2½ -120
3/2.86 VIKINGS -4½ -105
3/2.80 BROWNS -2½ -107
3/2.86 RAVENS o38½ -105
3/2.88 TEXANS u42 -104
3/2.86 COLTS u45½ -105
3/2.86 BUCS +3½ -105
3/2.88 EAGLES -8½ -104
3/2.73 EAGLES u43½ -110
3/2.73 BENGALS -2½ -110
3/2.88 CHARGERS u48½ -104
3/2.88 COWBOYS -6 -104
3/2.86 Pats o42½ -105
2/13.4 CARDS +672
3/2.73 Chiefs -8 -110

SEASON [48-43 +10.31u]
WEEK 4 [10-10 -0.65u]
LAST [8-9 -1.97u]

MONDAY

• 4/3.23 SEAHAWKS -124
• 3/2.86 GIANTS u47 -105

The Taylor factor: Chiefs 2-0 and ticket prices up 20% :bouncing:

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