Week 4

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
WEEK 2 [9-10 +0.52u]
WEEK 3 [8-10-1 -5.17u]
SEASON [28-27-1 +3.14u]

LAST [2-0 +5.75u]
✅4/3.85 COWBOYS +1 -104
✅2/1.90 Giants u39½ -105

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THURSDAY
  • 4/3.81 Dolphins +3½ -105
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CIN regrouped after losing the first two to PIT & DAL. Burrow seems back on track. The Bengals still have a ways to go, notably with their o-line, which allowed 55 sacks a year ago and 15 already this season. Slow starts have plagued CIN this season, being outscored 43-29 in 1H. However, the Bengals may be catching the Fish at the right time, following a physically and mentally draining, 21-19 win over rival BUF in the scorching S.Fla heat a week ago. BUF controlled the clock in that game and kept MIA's defense on the field for 42 minutes while running 89 plays. You cannot disregard huge MIA improvements under rookie head coach Mike McDaniel as they've already scored 6 red zone TDs this year or twice as many as all of last year. They're also averaging 6.4 yards per play(2nd in the league). Mostly this can be attributed to the emergence of Tua and the wideout combo of Waddle/Hill who've combined for 40 catches averaging 16.5 yards per...along with 5 TD receptions. Burrow may be the man at home, but Tua is the one with a chip and the Fish are very hungry after many lean years. This game may go either way, but I'm thinking it's very tight, so I'll gladly take the points. 24-21 either way in an exciting "Prime" matchup.


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The fish looked good for 3 quarters, but in the end, it was a loser.

Miami did win in cheerleading! :clapping2:


My team chart with info over last 7 games(through last night)

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I can add extra stats as needed, such as avg points scored, allowed, pass yards made or allowed, 1H or 2H performance, etc... If anyone has suggestion(s), please let me know.
 
WEEK 3 [8-10-1 -5.17u]
WEEK 4 [0-1 -4u]
SEASON [28-28-1 -0.86u]

LAST [0-1 -4u]
❌4/3.81 Dolphins +3½ -105

SUNDAY
  • 4/3.77 VIKINGS o42 -106
  • 4/3.77 VIKINGS -4 -106
  • 4/3.81 TITANS +3½ -105
  • 3/2.86 TITANS o43 -105
  • 3/2.54 Bears +3 -118
  • 4/3.70 Texans O45 -108
  • 4/3.70 Seahawks +3½ -108
  • 3/2.88 LIONS u47½ -104
  • 3/3.06 Commanders +3 +102
  • 3/2.80 BROWNS o47½ -107
  • 4/3.77 CARDINALS +1 -106
  • 3/2.80 CARDINALS o43½ -107
  • 5/4.81 PACKERS -9½ -104
  • 4/3.77 PACKERS u40 -106
  • 3/2.86 CHIEFS +1 -105
  • 2/1.90 CHIEFS o46 -105
Over the last 10 years, small dogs of less than 2 points have won SU 56.9% and covered the number 59.1%
...also they are 7-2 SU & ATS in the last 9...and we have 4 such tightly lined games this week

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WEEK 3 [8-10-1 -5.17u]
WEEK 4 [7-10 -11.49u]
SEASON [35-37-1 -8.35u]

LAST [7-9 -7.49u]
✅4/3.77 VIKINGS o42 -106
❌4/3.77 VIKINGS -4 -106
✅4/3.81 TITANS +3½ -105
❌3/2.86 TITANS o43 -105
❌3/2.54 Bears +3 -118
✅4/3.70 Texans O45 -108
✅4/3.70 Seahawks +3½ -108
❌3/2.88 LIONS u47½ -104
❌3/3.06 Commanders +3 +102
❌3/2.80 BROWNS o47½ -107
✅4/3.77 CARDINALS +1 -106
❌3/2.80 CARDINALS o43½ -107
❌5/4.81 PACKERS -9½ -104
❌4/3.77 PACKERS u40 -106
✅3/2.86 CHIEFS +1 -105
✅2/1.90 CHIEFS o46 -105

MONDAY
  • 4/3.85 RAMS +2 -104
  • 3/2.88 49ERS u42 -104

Niners are 8-3 ATS in last 11 but 1-2 both ATS and SU this season. The unders are trending hard this year in prime time plus as you see in pic below, the last 11 SF games have stayed under the total 10 times.

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SF is only 2-8 in last 10 prime-time games going back only 2 years.

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Prime time games over last 3+ seasons with totals of 45 or lower have stayed under the total 63.5%

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This season, all prime-time games have cashed the under 71.4% (5-2-1) although a smallish sample size.

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Vintage 1978 LA RAMS Cheerleaders

and a rear view of same
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