Ok... Tonight's game....
To answer the above question, gun to my head I would take the over in this game.
As for the game. Most people here have a "team". A team you know inside and out, etc. Lots of times I'll see guys say "that's a game we always lose" or "we never lose in this spot". When the schedule came out, I liked it. When KC beat NE, I liked it more. When Washington crushed Oakland, I loved it. This is a game KC does not lose (For reference, I felt similarly Christmas night against Denver last season, Zero doubt).
On more of a football note, what I can't ignore is KC's net yards per play. It leads the league and along with the Rams is 2 yards more per play than last year. No other team is above 1. I don't see KC having a problem moving the ball tonight. It seemed a bit odd to say a month ago, but as far as QB, HB, TE, WR go for one team, very few teams can match Smith, Hunt, Kelce, Hill. The speed alone and the masterful playcalling thus far have allowed this to become the most efficient offense in the league per DVOA. Last week, Oakland was distracted, disjointed and all around just awful. And Washington could not play any better. It was a perfect storm and I don't know if Wash could replicate that again against another high caliber team.
Defensively, KC's front 7 will give Wash fits the same way Philly's did in week 1. The big difference is that the KC secondary has learned to live life after Berry and barring the big play or a continuation of big penalties, they should keep Cousins under wraps. There may not be a more overhyped QB in the league than Kirk Cousins. At best he is top 15. Washington's impressive running game is nothing to ignore I will say. They are getting great contributions from their backs and they made Oakland look silly last week. But I see the game unfolding in a manner in which Wash will be down early and will have to abandon the run. With that being the case,they are being lured into KC's wheelhouse and this is where they are able to force the turnovers. I see turnovers playing a big role in this game.
The home crowd at Arrowhead cannot be underestimated either. On a regular Sunday afternoon game, sure, Arrowhead can get a little complacent, I'll give you that. But at night, against an inferior team, that crowd has taken far better QBs out of their rhythm than Cousins.
A lot more goes into capping a game than this. This is my interpretation of the game and how it will play out. It's not a homer play either because I haven't posted a KC game yet before this one. The stats I use agree with my assessment, and I see a final score of 34-17 tonight for the home team.
GL
** If Eric Fisher is declared out, this certainly hurts KC on offense.
** Do not worry about the new kicker who is replacing Santos. Kid's legit.
Any questions, fire away or ask my resident brother in Chiefdom, the great Aplous.
