JumpOnBoard
CTG Partner
Posted NCAA Record
Sides: 17-11 +10.73 units
Totals: 1-1 +/- 0 units
Teasers: 4-2 +13.7 units
Parlays: 0-0
Well, this card reminds me alot of week 2's card, which is the week that bit me so far...It's an extremely tough card...the faves have ruled this far this year, but I think this is the week that the dogs may bite back a bit...a few of em are a reach, so I'm not playing them...but many more dogs look appealing to me than faves...I played 14 sides last week, and I won't be anywhere near that this week...small card for me w/ a few sides and more than one teaser...Tonight's Nevada/NW game doesn't appeal to me...I think the lines a bit high, but can't endorse a NW play w/ the QB struggles they've showed so far...I think Nev will win TOP though, which should help perserve the undersized Nev DL...I've placed the Pack in one of my teasers for that reason...
Blue = Won
Red = Lost
Sides:
Kansas St +14 (-102)....1 unit....1.02/1.00....obviously not a popular play, as I've seen most of the board on the Cards, but this is a classic situational play...we talk about the letdown factors a lot, but this one meets more than one criteria...looking back at the Cards last four years, since they started to become a force under Petrino, you're not going to find many instances of them relishing this spot...I had l'ville last week and love to have them on my ticket, but not here...new backup QB goes on the road here, into Manhattan which is a decently hard place to play...I'm hoping for some weather issues, wind hopefully, which crops up there alot...Kansas D has been pretty good vs ZERO competition, but they have a D to compete...L'ville off a very physical game last week...emotionally, biggest win for most of those kids...tough to bring it all back to the table in a non league situation here..I think this game will be low scoring enough where KSU stays within the number...TE and leading pass receiver thus far suspended here, so I lowered it from 2 to 1 unit...Good health to u guys here..
Ohio +22 (-105)...2 units...2.10/2.00...Mizzou has fared better than expected thus far sans Brad Smith, but the number is inflated a bit here, IMO...the Bobcats are a surprising 2-1 this season, w/ a big road win over N Illinios in DeKalb two weeks back...the reason is the defense..they've allowed 50 pts through 3 games, w/ the high being 24 @ Rutgers last week...a costly turnover inside their own five w/ thirty secs left in the half gave RU the game and put on ice...very unlike Solich to make a bad mistake like that....OU brings experience on defense, and Matt Muncy and Tyler Ross have really made it their job to get more out of the D this year...this team played well @ Rutgers, a very good football team..they are still very deficient on offense, but I think they stay well w/in this number...assuming they keep those turnovers down...small bite here...
Buffalo +42.5....1 unit...(-109)....1.09/1.00.....scary play, but warranted IMO...Buffalo is still bad, pretty obvious by the Temple results, but I've heard some MAC coaches say they see improvement, lol...just j/k....Aubbie is going to basically be sitting their first stringers here and I expect alot of ground game to keep the clock rolling...they have a history of 27-0, 30-0 results in these spots...off the emotional win and beat up ballclub, I think this line is a TD too high...
Colorado +27 (-105)....2 units.....2.10/2.00....the Buffs are not very good and are a disappointment no doubt, but this team isn't bad enough to be catching these amts of points yet, IMO..they have no confidence and can't score...but I watched alot of the ASU game, and they have a decent D line and have the ability to make stops...Hawkins is also making a big emphasis on running the football, once agains shortening the game...u have a new coach coaching a team that wasn't as good as a Big 12 championship game might have suggested, but he can't afford to throw in the towel...he came w/ big aspirations after reinventing a Boise program, and the fans will want results...packing it in the first year because of a tough nonconference results wouldn't exactly get that done....UGA has played a very weak schedule, but the D has showed it's one of the best in country, no doubt...I honestly think we may see a 24-7 type game here....
Arky -2 (-106)....2 units....2.06/2.00....one fave I do like is the Backs here...I think both teams are overrated, but I like the ground game of Arky just a bit better...both coaches are imbred, so wash there..lol...actually I think this is going to be a classic SEC situation...when teams are evenly matched, home team wins...simple as that...this will be low scoring and come down to that intangible , IMO....
ND -2.5 (-102)....4 units....4.08/4.00....I've written about my thoughts in this thread: http://www.cappingthegame.com/forum/showthread.php?t=3428 Its the one solid play on the board, IMO...therefore I've bet a bit more on it rather than take a tweener game I'm not sold on....
ISU +25 (-108)....2 units...2.16/2.00....this one keeps on a rising and two cappers I trust on here, CKR and Horn, esp Horn on this one w/ the Texas ties, turns my lean to a play...no point in having all this good shit if we aren't going to take advantage of it...
Hawaii +14.5 (-105)...2 units...2.10/2.00....wanted to make sure I couldn't get a better number again, but grabbed it in case it fell to 14...HG has a great writeup on this game and I agree w/ him...I watched GSFW's vs Bama and they held their own up front on both sides of the ball...very impressive indeed...I think this is the year they can do some damage in these spots in the WAC..this game is a TD lower one month from now IMO..
Purdue ML +129....1 unit....1.00/1.29...can't get the three, so I'm taking the ML...fading the line movement here...I think right side was favored in the open....since when can a Glen Mason squad go on the road in the Big Ten and starting laying people pts? Esp on grass....Purdue's D has showed defiecency, but in the one game Minny played anyone they get 42 dropped on them, coincidently on the road...strange shit here....but worthy of a small ML play...check out Glen Mason's road stats on this one, esp in Big Ten play...sickly.
I was planning on playing Wisky and I didn't pull the trigger at 14.5 on Sunday night thinking after that quick move up a half I may do even better...when it slipped to 14 Monday, I decided to wait and see if the .5 came back..so for waiting I now face 13...My greed and ignorance has me too stubborn to play that right now...I think it stays w/in ten, but I'm still too much on line tilt right now to play it...but I'm debating....EDIT: back to 14 but w/ all you respected cappers on the UM side and that stat Rex through out for Wisky's Big House syndrom, I'll repectively pass...I strongly believe it's the right side....we shall see...so GL Mich backers since I'm off it..
I am playing two NCAA teasers and one split NCAA/NFL teaser...I'll post those in a bit..
Teasers:
6 Team/6 Pt NCAA/NFL Teaser: 1 unit...1.00/7.00
Nevada -0.5
Cal -1.5
Cincy +8
NYG +9.5
Philly PK
DEN +13.5
4 Team/6 Pt Teaser: 2 units...2.00/6.00
WVU -15
Utah -1
Akron -11
Hawaii +20.5
Added Plays during day at the half....
Lville -6.5 for 1 1/2 units at +106....1.50/1.59
tOSU -7.5 (-102)....2 units...2.04/2.00
GL today boys...
:cheers:
Sides: 17-11 +10.73 units
Totals: 1-1 +/- 0 units
Teasers: 4-2 +13.7 units
Parlays: 0-0
Well, this card reminds me alot of week 2's card, which is the week that bit me so far...It's an extremely tough card...the faves have ruled this far this year, but I think this is the week that the dogs may bite back a bit...a few of em are a reach, so I'm not playing them...but many more dogs look appealing to me than faves...I played 14 sides last week, and I won't be anywhere near that this week...small card for me w/ a few sides and more than one teaser...Tonight's Nevada/NW game doesn't appeal to me...I think the lines a bit high, but can't endorse a NW play w/ the QB struggles they've showed so far...I think Nev will win TOP though, which should help perserve the undersized Nev DL...I've placed the Pack in one of my teasers for that reason...
Blue = Won
Red = Lost
Sides:
Kansas St +14 (-102)....1 unit....1.02/1.00....obviously not a popular play, as I've seen most of the board on the Cards, but this is a classic situational play...we talk about the letdown factors a lot, but this one meets more than one criteria...looking back at the Cards last four years, since they started to become a force under Petrino, you're not going to find many instances of them relishing this spot...I had l'ville last week and love to have them on my ticket, but not here...new backup QB goes on the road here, into Manhattan which is a decently hard place to play...I'm hoping for some weather issues, wind hopefully, which crops up there alot...Kansas D has been pretty good vs ZERO competition, but they have a D to compete...L'ville off a very physical game last week...emotionally, biggest win for most of those kids...tough to bring it all back to the table in a non league situation here..I think this game will be low scoring enough where KSU stays within the number...TE and leading pass receiver thus far suspended here, so I lowered it from 2 to 1 unit...Good health to u guys here..
Ohio +22 (-105)...2 units...2.10/2.00...Mizzou has fared better than expected thus far sans Brad Smith, but the number is inflated a bit here, IMO...the Bobcats are a surprising 2-1 this season, w/ a big road win over N Illinios in DeKalb two weeks back...the reason is the defense..they've allowed 50 pts through 3 games, w/ the high being 24 @ Rutgers last week...a costly turnover inside their own five w/ thirty secs left in the half gave RU the game and put on ice...very unlike Solich to make a bad mistake like that....OU brings experience on defense, and Matt Muncy and Tyler Ross have really made it their job to get more out of the D this year...this team played well @ Rutgers, a very good football team..they are still very deficient on offense, but I think they stay well w/in this number...assuming they keep those turnovers down...small bite here...
Buffalo +42.5....1 unit...(-109)....1.09/1.00.....scary play, but warranted IMO...Buffalo is still bad, pretty obvious by the Temple results, but I've heard some MAC coaches say they see improvement, lol...just j/k....Aubbie is going to basically be sitting their first stringers here and I expect alot of ground game to keep the clock rolling...they have a history of 27-0, 30-0 results in these spots...off the emotional win and beat up ballclub, I think this line is a TD too high...
Colorado +27 (-105)....2 units.....2.10/2.00....the Buffs are not very good and are a disappointment no doubt, but this team isn't bad enough to be catching these amts of points yet, IMO..they have no confidence and can't score...but I watched alot of the ASU game, and they have a decent D line and have the ability to make stops...Hawkins is also making a big emphasis on running the football, once agains shortening the game...u have a new coach coaching a team that wasn't as good as a Big 12 championship game might have suggested, but he can't afford to throw in the towel...he came w/ big aspirations after reinventing a Boise program, and the fans will want results...packing it in the first year because of a tough nonconference results wouldn't exactly get that done....UGA has played a very weak schedule, but the D has showed it's one of the best in country, no doubt...I honestly think we may see a 24-7 type game here....
Arky -2 (-106)....2 units....2.06/2.00....one fave I do like is the Backs here...I think both teams are overrated, but I like the ground game of Arky just a bit better...both coaches are imbred, so wash there..lol...actually I think this is going to be a classic SEC situation...when teams are evenly matched, home team wins...simple as that...this will be low scoring and come down to that intangible , IMO....
ND -2.5 (-102)....4 units....4.08/4.00....I've written about my thoughts in this thread: http://www.cappingthegame.com/forum/showthread.php?t=3428 Its the one solid play on the board, IMO...therefore I've bet a bit more on it rather than take a tweener game I'm not sold on....
ISU +25 (-108)....2 units...2.16/2.00....this one keeps on a rising and two cappers I trust on here, CKR and Horn, esp Horn on this one w/ the Texas ties, turns my lean to a play...no point in having all this good shit if we aren't going to take advantage of it...
Hawaii +14.5 (-105)...2 units...2.10/2.00....wanted to make sure I couldn't get a better number again, but grabbed it in case it fell to 14...HG has a great writeup on this game and I agree w/ him...I watched GSFW's vs Bama and they held their own up front on both sides of the ball...very impressive indeed...I think this is the year they can do some damage in these spots in the WAC..this game is a TD lower one month from now IMO..
Purdue ML +129....1 unit....1.00/1.29...can't get the three, so I'm taking the ML...fading the line movement here...I think right side was favored in the open....since when can a Glen Mason squad go on the road in the Big Ten and starting laying people pts? Esp on grass....Purdue's D has showed defiecency, but in the one game Minny played anyone they get 42 dropped on them, coincidently on the road...strange shit here....but worthy of a small ML play...check out Glen Mason's road stats on this one, esp in Big Ten play...sickly.
I was planning on playing Wisky and I didn't pull the trigger at 14.5 on Sunday night thinking after that quick move up a half I may do even better...when it slipped to 14 Monday, I decided to wait and see if the .5 came back..so for waiting I now face 13...My greed and ignorance has me too stubborn to play that right now...I think it stays w/in ten, but I'm still too much on line tilt right now to play it...but I'm debating....EDIT: back to 14 but w/ all you respected cappers on the UM side and that stat Rex through out for Wisky's Big House syndrom, I'll repectively pass...I strongly believe it's the right side....we shall see...so GL Mich backers since I'm off it..
I am playing two NCAA teasers and one split NCAA/NFL teaser...I'll post those in a bit..
Teasers:
6 Team/6 Pt NCAA/NFL Teaser: 1 unit...1.00/7.00
Nevada -0.5
Cal -1.5
Cincy +8
NYG +9.5
Philly PK
DEN +13.5
4 Team/6 Pt Teaser: 2 units...2.00/6.00
WVU -15
Utah -1
Akron -11
Hawaii +20.5
Added Plays during day at the half....
Lville -6.5 for 1 1/2 units at +106....1.50/1.59
tOSU -7.5 (-102)....2 units...2.04/2.00
GL today boys...
:cheers:
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