Week 4 NCAAF- My Favorite Card so far....

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend
YTD: 24-18 +2.6u

Week 4: 10-7-1 +3.9u
been hittin around 70% on these 2H plays but playing them for small is hurting and the difference here. been losing my bigger plays on sides but that ends now.
Im ready to bust it open this week.

This is the best looking card of the season IMO …….A lot of people were crazy about last weeks card…. This week I am in love with this one and is my favorite of the season hands down so far.
What does that mean? It means I’ll probably go 0-fer and lose them all…..

BYU -26 2.5 units <o></o>
Pitt/Iowa Under 41.5 1u
Tulsa -10 (-120) 1u
Florida/Tenny/Tulsa ML Parlay (+106) 1u
BYU 1H -16 .8u
Zona -2.5 .8u

Wake +4 1u <o></o>
Colorado +3 1.2u

Toledo +7 (-105) 1.1u--- may add ML
LSU -2.5 1.1 u


SJSU +8 1u
-- what a fuckjob backdoor in last 15 seconds. but it happens!
UNC -1.5 1.5u--- i count this one as a bad beat.... sick.<o></o>TOLEDO ML +230 (.7u)
KSU 2H -3.5 .7U<o></o>
Over 28 2H WVU/Colorado .6u
KSU - 4 1.1u
UCF +10.5 1.1u
Utah -7 (-120) 1.3u--- PUSH
 
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Got burned by Wyoming first two weeks of the season and won’t let it happen again. BYU knows that this year they finally have a shot at a BCS bid, but also, being in the MWC, in order to get there they can’t let their foot off the gas pedal for a second and need to win in big fashion every week(as we saw against UCLA). Looking at a 1H play here too….

I don’t see Wyoming breaking 10 points here…. dax crum is one of the worst QB's in 1-A in watching him first two weeks of the season. Seeing at least 2-3 turnovers from his end.... a lot of short fields for BYU from the anemic wyoming offense..... and a convincing BYU victory.


Also feel like this could be a good letdown spot for Georgia after they snuck out a win against socar via that stupid davis fumble…. And ASU losing that heartbreaker to UNLV- their season really is on the line this game and need a big upset to boost their case to start to climb back up in the polls.
Look at their schedule after this game though. They play at cal and at USC… and then face Oregon. I would venture to guess they only win one of those games…So need to look at this one more.

GL fellas.. more later on this week.....
 
RIght now kinda like Wyoming cause I think there defense can make BYU work for there points and 35-10 would be a winner or 38-14, I was on BYU big this weekend as one of my best bets. Just thought UCLA was weak and ready to be exploited after there win ..dont see much of a difference bewteen Wyming and UCLA..yet the spread is 20pts different.....

Like UNC as well ...

Like Tulsa and had NM this weekend...

Also dont like Mizzou because this is actually a football team they are playing ....

Of the leans like ASU , U of A , and Houston ...

lean the home pups in the others......BOL:cheers:
 
RIght now kinda like Wyoming cause I think there defense can make BYU work for there points and 35-10 would be a winner or 38-14, I was on BYU big this weekend as one of my best bets. Just thought UCLA was weak and ready to be exploited after there win ..dont see much of a difference bewteen Wyming and UCLA..yet the spread is 20pts different.....

Like UNC as well ...

Like Tulsa and had NM this weekend...

Also dont like Mizzou because this is actually a football team they are playing ....

Of the leans like ASU , U of A , and Houston ...

lean the home pups in the others......BOL:cheers:

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Name="Bibliography"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="39" QFormat="true" Name="TOC Heading"/> </w:LatentStyles> </xml><![endif]--><style> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:1; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-format:other; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0in; margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:10.0pt; margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:10.0pt; line-height:115%;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style><!--[if gte mso 10]> <style> /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} </style> <![endif]--> While Wyoming has a pretty stout run defense, their secondary is definitely suspect.
This is a team that was ranked 8<sup>th</sup> in the MWC giving up 225 a game through the air even in this conference which one that normally employs run-based offenses… and on top of that they lost both their starting corners last year and had to replace them with a soph and junior who both saw limited action last year.
Max Hall will beat you through the air- he is filthy…. Although he has faced some second-rate defenses….the numbers speak for themselves- almost 1100 yards in first 3 games…. 77% completion rate 12 Td’s/2picks.

BYU has had the better of them in previous years too. Even on the road last year they won by 25, and in 06 facing em at home won 55-7.
[FONT=&quot]I hate putting a lot of my eggs in one basket but I may add them 1Q and 1H as well…. The more I look at this game the more I like BYU.
Glad you like a lot of the other ones nut[/FONT].. BOL man and thanks:cheers:
 
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Name="Bibliography"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="39" QFormat="true" Name="TOC Heading"/> </w:LatentStyles> </xml><![endif]--><style> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:1; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-format:other; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0in; margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:10.0pt; margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:10.0pt; line-height:115%;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style><!--[if gte mso 10]> <style> /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} </style> <![endif]-->[FONT=&quot]Just added Utah…. Tailing jpicks/VK lean and a bunch of other people who had some very solid thoughts on this one.

Will writeup an unconventional game a little later this week…. Most likely UCF because I don’t see anyone else on them. [/FONT]
 
like how your card is shaping up ....

since you like the unconventional games .... why tulsa ?
 
like how your card is shaping up ....

since you like the unconventional games .... why tulsa ?

thanks VK:cheers:

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Name="Bibliography"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="39" QFormat="true" Name="TOC Heading"/> </w:LatentStyles> </xml><![endif]--><style> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:1; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-format:other; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0in; margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:10.0pt; margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:10.0pt; line-height:115%;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style><!--[if gte mso 10]> <style> /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} </style> <![endif]--> Home opener for Tulsa….. first road game/big test for NM- who has a very inexperienced front 6 as they had to replace all 3 LB’s and 1 on the line…..

NM's 3-3-5 really is a hit or miss defense, but can have a lot of success against the spread offense…. Which is the one thing that worries me a bit here. ..
but I think they can have have success with the check-down or passes underneath to adams, who is a great north-south runner and has great hands as well…..especially against this new-look front 6, should be a lot of missed tackles.

They have a lot of depth at the RB position, and I think we will see them look to run the football more than in the first two games…. and should have success against this very inexperienced front 6 and open it up for the explosive Tulsa passing game.
 
solid looking card brah..gl this week.

:cheers:

Thanks hunt. least you get to rest up this weekend on the bye week and then get ready for the shit talk w/fondy to commence for the wisky game

Funny thing is.... just scoured the september card and one game really stands out to me... dont ask why. But i have it circled. SJSU/Hawaii.... Sept 28 midnight. Unless anything drastic happens will be all over SJSU in this one.

:popcorn:
 
interesting bro..the biggest bet of the year for me will be on sept. 27th prolly.
 
good weekend!!! if UNC or Toledo could have won SU (came down to the final play, woulda been a MONSTER day)
UNC blew a big lead..

what can ya do?

happy with BYU.... SJSU was a brutal backdoor because harbaugh is a dooshbag and didnt just down the football... instead he tries to run up the score, and SJSU who was covering for 59:30 of this game... gives one up right at the end

on to next week, looks like a good day on the CTG board! good to see, BOL fellas..
 
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