BlitzBandit
Friend of CTG
14-10 (58.3%) (+9.7 units)
The G-Men are bye this week... shame considering I'm 4-1 with them. My only play that lossed was the UNDER last week. What sucked about that one was that it was a 16-13 (29 total pts) game with under 5 minutes to play... then all hell broke loose. Oh well, no sense it adding up the ones that should've won unless I plan on counting those that should've lost... those can add up too... Anyway.. on to this week...
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs +9.5
4.4 to win 4
I don't normally like puting my money down on bad teams, but Kansas City is playing a Denver defense that really sucks.. specially against the pass. They are 4th worst in pts allowed, 3rd worst in yards allowed, and dead last in passing yards allowed. With that said, Damon Huard should be a plus for the Chiefs. He's nothing fancy, but he gives them a better chance than Croyle or Thigpen. He's averaged over 200 passing yards as a starter the last two years with 19 TDs in 18 games. There's no reason why he shouldn't be able to get things rolling against the worst passing defense in the league. Denver has given up 798 passing yards and 70 points the last two weeks to the Chargers and Saints. That should give him something to smile about.
Denver @ KC OVER 46
1.1 to win 1
As much as I think KC will be able to put up points against a Denver defense that has given up 70 pts the last two weeks, I also think KC will have problems slowing down a Denver offense that is averaging a league best 38 pts a game. I see this one going over.
here's the rest of my card...
Houston Texans +7 @ Jacksonville Jaguars
2.3 to win 2
This is a bit rougher one to take since The Jags seemed to finally find their running game and Houston hasn't been able to stop the run for shit. What's weird, is I think this is going to be one of those ugly games where the defenses come up big for both... and I don't normally mind getting a td worth of points when I see that type of game in store.
San Francisco 49ers +4 @ New Orleans Saints
2.2 to win 2
With David Patten iffy and less than 100% and Marques Colston and Jeremy Shockey out, the 49ers should have a good shot at winning this one. The Saints have a leaky defense... they gave up 336 passing yards two weeks ago to Jason Campbell and then 264 yards and 2 TDs last week to Cutler. The Saints are bit better at stopping the run, but Gore should still be able to get things done.
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers -7
2.2 to win 2
So Atlanta pounded on Detroit and KC and now they are considered a decent team?... They got beat by Tampa by double digits and I see the same thing happening here. Turner should get shut down in this one.
Green Bay @ Tampa Bay -1.5
2.2 to win 2
The Bucs rushed for over 300 yards in their first two games combined and passed for more than 400 yards last week. Now they are at home against a Green Bay defense that has some problems right now, against the run and the pass. Against the run, they gave up 217 yards against Dallas last week and 187 to the Vikings in week 1... Tampa Bay was shut down on the ground against the Bears last week... with that said, they should get back on track and do pretty much what they want against this Green Bay defense on the ground. And when Tampa is able to run, the game usually goes their way.
Leans for later and may add...
Buffalo
Oakland
Them Boys
Da Bears
The G-Men are bye this week... shame considering I'm 4-1 with them. My only play that lossed was the UNDER last week. What sucked about that one was that it was a 16-13 (29 total pts) game with under 5 minutes to play... then all hell broke loose. Oh well, no sense it adding up the ones that should've won unless I plan on counting those that should've lost... those can add up too... Anyway.. on to this week...
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs +9.5
4.4 to win 4
I don't normally like puting my money down on bad teams, but Kansas City is playing a Denver defense that really sucks.. specially against the pass. They are 4th worst in pts allowed, 3rd worst in yards allowed, and dead last in passing yards allowed. With that said, Damon Huard should be a plus for the Chiefs. He's nothing fancy, but he gives them a better chance than Croyle or Thigpen. He's averaged over 200 passing yards as a starter the last two years with 19 TDs in 18 games. There's no reason why he shouldn't be able to get things rolling against the worst passing defense in the league. Denver has given up 798 passing yards and 70 points the last two weeks to the Chargers and Saints. That should give him something to smile about.
Denver @ KC OVER 46
1.1 to win 1
As much as I think KC will be able to put up points against a Denver defense that has given up 70 pts the last two weeks, I also think KC will have problems slowing down a Denver offense that is averaging a league best 38 pts a game. I see this one going over.
here's the rest of my card...
Houston Texans +7 @ Jacksonville Jaguars
2.3 to win 2
This is a bit rougher one to take since The Jags seemed to finally find their running game and Houston hasn't been able to stop the run for shit. What's weird, is I think this is going to be one of those ugly games where the defenses come up big for both... and I don't normally mind getting a td worth of points when I see that type of game in store.
San Francisco 49ers +4 @ New Orleans Saints
2.2 to win 2
With David Patten iffy and less than 100% and Marques Colston and Jeremy Shockey out, the 49ers should have a good shot at winning this one. The Saints have a leaky defense... they gave up 336 passing yards two weeks ago to Jason Campbell and then 264 yards and 2 TDs last week to Cutler. The Saints are bit better at stopping the run, but Gore should still be able to get things done.
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers -7
2.2 to win 2
So Atlanta pounded on Detroit and KC and now they are considered a decent team?... They got beat by Tampa by double digits and I see the same thing happening here. Turner should get shut down in this one.
Green Bay @ Tampa Bay -1.5
2.2 to win 2
The Bucs rushed for over 300 yards in their first two games combined and passed for more than 400 yards last week. Now they are at home against a Green Bay defense that has some problems right now, against the run and the pass. Against the run, they gave up 217 yards against Dallas last week and 187 to the Vikings in week 1... Tampa Bay was shut down on the ground against the Bears last week... with that said, they should get back on track and do pretty much what they want against this Green Bay defense on the ground. And when Tampa is able to run, the game usually goes their way.
Leans for later and may add...
Buffalo
Oakland
Them Boys
Da Bears
