week 2 recap:
well it has been a fucked up year so far. week 1 i was on the browns skins and raiders, and each team i wanted to swear off for the year...then in week 2 i talked myself out of overreaction on 2 of them...the browns for a big play and the raiders spread and ml...couldn't stomach the skins, and that was the closest to not cashing, so i was probably right on that one. jerome harrison falls on the fumble on the kickoff i cash that moneyline. eagles were back and forth all game; could have easily cashed that ml. lions led at home late in the fourth before an epic implosion; i could have easily cashed both the spread and the moneyline. what i can read between the lines of whining is that i did a lot better capping this week, and i actually came out ahead despite some very tough losses. i also learned it never pays to overreact and that you should trust some of the work you did in the offseason. things will even out. find value based on short-term perception...same old thing that has been workin in this league for years, although i've never seen this much turn around in 2 short weeks. makes things tough to cap.
other things i did good was the niners...sticking to my guns again there. cashed the ml (for once) as well. the bengal ARE that bad, maybe worse. kerry collins is just as good or better for the titans, and i'm not a vy hater either. eagles always play division opponents tough...getting a lot of hype right now and rightfully so. we'll see how they bounce back on a short week from a disheartening loss, against a team with momentum the other way after winning a game they easily could have lost against a division foe.
things i did wrong...well i've bet the rams two weeks in a row for one...that is obviously wrong. i still think they can upset the cowboys though, and i'll try to make that one of the only other times i back them this year...because they are terrible. i bet the phins 2 weeks in a row too; they are different than the rams and will come around and be competitive in games. i'm confident of this. and week one they could have easily covered. yet still, i jumped the gun on backing them with 4 units in one week. i've bet against the cards two weeks in a row. not smart. not sure how wrong i was, cuz i still think the bills are a different team away/home, but i underrated the bills nonetheless, which is not something i've done in two years really. love edwards, like their defense, they can run the ball, and then special teams obviously solid as hell. don't tell me the jets are frontrunners over this team in that division to maybe take the place of the pats...bills are a better all around team right now.
browns totals? i'm sure people hopped on the over train, and got burned.
don't get too high on the broncos. it's 2 weeks in and they're relying heavily on a rookie right now offensively. they still have very big defensive flaws and have historically been a different team away from home...lookin at these lines this week, you may be able to substitute buff and the giants in the near future as well.
before the year started would you see lines like this? i'd personally think they'd be set at gmen -10, buff -6.5, den -3...think 2 out of 3 of the other side of those have a good chance of hitting based on value alone
