Week 3 ~ ⸝⸝🪐༘⋆

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Hope is still there, despite the terrible start out the gate. Don't know if good or bad, but the JETS are my top play of the year so far. 🤞
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MONDAY
❌3/2.88 EAGLES -5½ -104
✅3/2.86 EAGLES U45½ -105

WEEK 2 [10-13-1 -7.21u]
SEASON [18-30 -36.73u]
LAST [10-11-1 -8.67u]

WEEK 3​

THURSDAY​

  • 6.60/6 Jets -6 -110
  • 3/1.13 Jets -265
  • 2.10/2 PATRIOTS o38½ -105
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randoms...
THIS SEASON FAVS ARE 21-12 SU BUT ONLY 14-18-1 ATS 43.8%
ROAD DOGS LESS THAN 7: 199-125 61.4% IN 1ST HALF OF THE SEASON(8 WKS) L7+ SEASONS
PRIME TIME RECORD LAST 7 YEARS
NYJ ATS 5-13 27.8% / SU 3-15 16.7% / TOT 17-7 61.1%
NE ATS 17-19 47.2% / SU 17-20 45.9% / TOT 19-18 51.4%


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Early model ratings

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THURSDAY
❌3/3.30 Reds +1½ +110
❌3/2.73 Reds u8½ -110
✅4/1.94 Dodgers -206
❌3/3.00 Marlins u8 +100
✅5/3.76 METS -133
✅2/2.56 Pirates +128
✅2/1.18 Pirates +1½ -170
✅4.05/3 Nationals +1½ -135
✅5/5.10 Mariners +102
✅4/1.50 Astros -266
✅3/2.56 ASTROS u8½ -117

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FRIDAY​

  • 3/2.31 Nationals +1½ -130
  • 3/2.62 BRAVES o8½ -114
  • 5/4.81 Phillies -104
  • 2/3.10 PHILLIES -1½ +155
  • 3/4.74 JAYS -1½ +158
  • 2.46/2 5inn-Rangers -123
  • 5/11.5 Angels +230
  • 3/1.92 Royals -156
  • 3/2.50 Giants o8 -120
  • 3/2.75 WHITE SOX +1½ -109
  • 4/3.64 Padres u7 -110

randoms...
STREAKS: NA
UNDERS 52-41-4 55.9% FOR +7.8% ROI L7 DAYS
MODEL PLAYS: *LAA KC

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DEGROM HAS AMAZING HOME NUMBERS OVER LAST 4 YEARS ALTHOUGH THIS IS JUST HIS 2ND START OF 2024, FIRST @HOME
LAST 4 YEARS @HOME 18-3 w/1.86 ERA & 0.600 WHIP THRU 196 INN, SINCE JOINING TEXAS 6-1 / 2.38 / 0.794

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WEEK 3​

THURSDAY
✅6.60/6 Jets -6 -110
✅3/1.13 Jets -265
❌2.10/2 PATRIOTS o38½ -105

SEASON [21-32 -31.81u]
WEEK 3 [2-1 +5.06u]
LAST [2-1 +5.06u]

SUNDAY​

  • 2/1.54 Steelers -130
  • 2/2.00 Steelers -2½ +100
  • 3/2.78 Steelers u35½ -108
  • 4/3.70 VIKINGS +2 -108
  • 4/3.88 Vikings u46½ -103
  • 4/3.81 BROWNS -6½ -105
  • 5/4.55 SAINTS -2½ -110
  • 3.36/3 BRONCOS +6½ -112
  • 1/2.35 Broncos +235
  • 4.04/4 Broncos o41 -101
  • 4/3.67 PACKERS o37 -109

randoms...
Best Teams ATS on Sunday afternoon L3 years:
DET 32-17, CIN 33-19, GB 28-18, ARI 27-19, DAL 27-20
Worst:
CAR 16-33, CHI 17-25, ATL 20-29, WAS 19-26, JAX 21-28
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JAGS HAVE PLENTY OF ISSUES, BUT THEY DO HAVE ONE OF THE HOTTEST CHEERLEADERS I'VE SEEN
 

Sunday (Late afternoon)​

  • 5/4.85 Raiders -5½ -103
  • 4/3.64 CARDINALS +3 -110
  • 4.04/4 Cardinals u51½ -101
  • 4/3.81 Cowboys +1½ -105
  • 4/3.81 Cowboys u47½ -105
  • 5/4.76 RAMS +6½ -105
  • 4/3.85 RAMS u44½ -104
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SUNDAY
✅2/1.54 Steelers -130
✅2/2.00 Steelers -2½ +100
✅3/2.78 Steelers u35½ -108
✅4/3.70 VIKINGS +2 -108
✅4/3.88 Vikings u46½ -103
❌4/3.81 BROWNS -6½ -105
❌5/4.55 SAINTS -2½ -110
✅3.36/3 BRONCOS +6½ -112
✅1/2.35 Broncos +235
❌4.04/4 Broncos o41 -101
✅4/3.67 PACKERS o37 -109

❌5/4.85 Raiders -5½ -103
❌4/3.64 CARDINALS +3 -110
✅4.04/4 Cardinals u51½ -101
❌4/3.81 Cowboys +1½ -105
✅4/3.81 Cowboys u47½ -105
✅5/4.76 RAMS +6½ -105
❌4/3.85 RAMS u44½ -104

✅4/3.81 Chiefs -3 -105
✅5/4.67 FALCONS u46½ -107

SEASON [33-40 -25.69u]
WEEK 3 [14-9 +11.18u]
LAST [12-8 +6.12u]

MONDAY​

  • 4/3.81 JAGUARS +5½ -105
  • 4/3.50 BENGALS -7 -114
  • 4/3.81 COMMANDERS o46½ -105
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randoms...
DOGS 25-19-1 ATS THIS SEASON (6-8 WEEK 3)
TOTALS 17-27-1 61.4% THIS SEASON (4-10 WEEK 3)
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