well fuck the nfl...another big play loss in the making in the phins...otherwise a .500 day looks pretty probably...slow starts usually happen for me in the nfl, oh well. was trying to stay away, but the line kept climbing, and now it's ridiculous. probably have the same result as yesterday's "value" that i pointed out with the bucks (although i def didn't have this much dough on them), but fuck it. in my browns season write up i thought this was a bad spot for them, but that was when i thought they'd upset the boys. obviously that did not happen, and i had planned to take the steelers as a pkem or steelers -2.5...we now have browns +7, which is ridiculous. on paper it's about steelers -1, and when you add their dominance maybe -3.5 tops. 7 wayyy too many, and the browns looked very focused this week in practice. they were even given a day off after their horrible performance on tuesday, something that will not happen again if they get waxed here. sean jones is AWFUL, and i have no idea why cleveland media thinks otherwise...so that's addition by subtraction. no doubt the biggest game of the year for them and the fans and the entire organization...maybe even the biggest game of the decade. had a terrible saturday in college football, a terrible saturday as a bucks fan, not so great of a sunday with the phins getting wacked, i'm going down swinging. my big play is 3 units, i don't think i've ever had more than three 5 unit plays in any sports' season. rarely play props; usually just on the championship games but some of these are worth the stupidity of taking a prop imo. alt line decent value; i will always count alt lines as ml dogs in my record.
good luck guys, and go fuckin browns!
5 units Cleveland Browns +7 (-120)
Cleveland Browns ML +245
Cleveland Browns -3.5 +360 (alt line thegreek)
Props (all props for .5 units and from thegreek):
browns to reach redzone first +130
special teams or defensive score will occur +160
person to score first td of the game j lewis +500
browns first score will be rushing td +400
