Week 2 ML Dogs...
- Thread starter B.A.R.
- Start date
2daBank
Voice of Reason
My life so crazy my party started 4 hours ago, 1st time seeing card! lol. I at least been listening to some pods so had few ideas at places I wanted to look.
Pains me to say it (not really) but think Gtech for sure on upset alert here. I liked it better when that was my little prop team ppl thought sucked last year! Now everyone loves Gtech, I get it, they have a very good offense. Thing is they played cuse last year and despite the fact cuse couldn’t pass on a high school team last year they still made this a game! I know we only have Ohio game to look at but I promise cuse couldn’t have put up any kind of passing game like vs Ohio or any little sister of the poor, there no question they at least have a respectable passing attack and you can throw all over Gtech, they gave up leads all the time. I don’t think much has changed other than the fact DJ U was in new offense with all new players so couldn’t do it consistently, he still moved it pretty easily at times tho, Gtech rushing attack does scare me after seeing Ohio rb go for 200+ gotta think Haynes having a big day. King prob will also I just like king more from a prop standpoint, like some of cuse passing game as well, I could see Gtech coming out strong as they usually do but cuse passing game should figure out they can move the ball all over this d. Might be more props for me than side but think ppl should avoid the hell out of Gtech. Just look at last year and how close cuse kept it when everyone knew they couldn’t throw a forward pass!
Pains me to say it (not really) but think Gtech for sure on upset alert here. I liked it better when that was my little prop team ppl thought sucked last year! Now everyone loves Gtech, I get it, they have a very good offense. Thing is they played cuse last year and despite the fact cuse couldn’t pass on a high school team last year they still made this a game! I know we only have Ohio game to look at but I promise cuse couldn’t have put up any kind of passing game like vs Ohio or any little sister of the poor, there no question they at least have a respectable passing attack and you can throw all over Gtech, they gave up leads all the time. I don’t think much has changed other than the fact DJ U was in new offense with all new players so couldn’t do it consistently, he still moved it pretty easily at times tho, Gtech rushing attack does scare me after seeing Ohio rb go for 200+ gotta think Haynes having a big day. King prob will also I just like king more from a prop standpoint, like some of cuse passing game as well, I could see Gtech coming out strong as they usually do but cuse passing game should figure out they can move the ball all over this d. Might be more props for me than side but think ppl should avoid the hell out of Gtech. Just look at last year and how close cuse kept it when everyone knew they couldn’t throw a forward pass!
Pittsburgh looks pretty good. Up-tempo attack can put up a lot of points. Lots of reasons to dislike Cincy defense, especially seeing them gashed by Towson rush attack, and their QB who i’m low on will have a much tougher test this week
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Soon as I read @Br@ssknux was on cincy overt pitt, I didn’t even read write up I thought good cincy program fading one my fav whipping boy coaches that had to check still had his job narduzzi, but then i remembered I don’t trust cincy anymore for same reasom I never trusted Ville, Satterfield there coach! I ain’t betting that dude as a small home fav! He way do smart for his own good and only time his offense works when athletic qb bails him out! The worst part is he goes into game with a plan, doesn’t matter if it works he just keeps w the same dumb shit!
I generally hate narduzi (or actually love him, to fade) cause the only time he ever had an offense was when he accidentally got Pickett and had no choice! His defensive front 7s were always nasty but the better offense got more corners got roasted,, soon as picket left he went back to as much ball control and garbage as possible. They have an offense now? I’ll say this much, I think getting plus money he can come up with a defensive scheme easy for Satterfield, if not he should be fired!! Tell me bout their offense? He still have nasty front 7 lplayere? I could get down with Pitt as dogs. Im totally blind on the actually talent tho, guess I gotta look at shit. Or you could just tell me!! I wanna believe cause I know im right when it comes to schemes and how these 2 run programs and I like Pitt as dogs in that regard.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
It was pretty close last year after Cincy jumped all over pitt. Pitt had that god awful qb you had to feel bad for, dude arm snapped off years ago at BC? despite not being able to throw still was out there! Cincy ran for over 200 tho, there was a time pitt wasn’t letting that happen!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Pitt d scares me, that supposed to be narduzzi strength he got lazy? Nothing I’m reading super flattering, if the offense really good I trust they figure satterfiekd out but I’d feel way better if they had one those defenses and grinded. Not sure I want either side now. If I’m gonna bang heads w @Br@ssknux I gotta be more confident. I really don’t need this game on card, I have no clue who wins think it be up in air late so certainly have no issue with you taking the plus, if cincy like got bet up all morning I’d prob think bout Pitt w 3 or better.,,
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Cuse appears very popular. I like them also but kinda been debating if I prefer side or couple props cause i do think it a last possession kind of game. If I can find a way I think I can have my money by half and not care what happens I’ll def jump on that! Lol. Of course I’ll kick myself if miss prop and cuse pulls it out, I do feel like a certain thing be a must for cuse fo win, but could easily cash if they come up short also.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Quit with the props unless you're just here to antagonize me. They aren't relevant here.
CPA-hole
Good night, Duke, and sweet dreams!
This seems like a spot to fade Georgia Tech. Not as good traditionally on favorite spots. They are ranked for the 1st time in ages and people down here are talking playoff (lol). Can totally see them peeing down their leg here in the strange environment that is the Carrier Dome or whatever they call it now.
Having said that, I'm on Syracuse under 7.5 wins for the season. I just didn't see 8 wins on that schedule.
Having said that, I'm on Syracuse under 7.5 wins for the season. I just didn't see 8 wins on that schedule.
JROCK1966
Pretty much a regular
Posted YTD: -$116.50
Played this longshot. Stock is low in each of these dogs and/or stock is high in the favs with exception of Tulane and Arkansas. I'm a believer in those coaches. John Sumrall has been on a roll for a while now and, as much as I despise him, Bobby Petrino is calling the offense for the Hogs. I'm not sure anyone is better at play-calling than BP?? Maybe Lane Kiffin?? I'll take my chances with the Hogs getting points.
2, 3, 4, 5, & 6-teamer RR with...
Colorado +190
Temple +450
Tulane +285
Arkansas +290
FIU +164
Michigan +220
Risked $30 ($0.50 per parlay except the 6-teamer...put $2 on that one) to Win $7,598.39
BOLTA!!
Played this longshot. Stock is low in each of these dogs and/or stock is high in the favs with exception of Tulane and Arkansas. I'm a believer in those coaches. John Sumrall has been on a roll for a while now and, as much as I despise him, Bobby Petrino is calling the offense for the Hogs. I'm not sure anyone is better at play-calling than BP?? Maybe Lane Kiffin?? I'll take my chances with the Hogs getting points.
2, 3, 4, 5, & 6-teamer RR with...
Colorado +190
Temple +450
Tulane +285
Arkansas +290
FIU +164
Michigan +220
Risked $30 ($0.50 per parlay except the 6-teamer...put $2 on that one) to Win $7,598.39
BOLTA!!
JROCK1966
Pretty much a regular
S. Houston St. @ UCF: Gus Malzahn is 1-2 SU and 1-2 ATS in home games in which his team is coming off a victory of greater than 50pts. See pic 1. The only one he won SU & ATS was the Auburn home game vs. Bama in 2019.....I don't have to explain to anyone what that meant in terms of motivation for his Auburn team that day. Furthermore, home favs that have won 4 out of their last 10 vs. teams that have won 4 out of their last ten, coming off a victory of >50pts, and vs. and opponent coming off a victory of 15-25pts are 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS. This trend is active on UCF and Auburn today and these favs have lost before! Actually twice so it is possible! See pic 2. Let's assume for a second that either UCF or Auburn loses their game today at home. Which one do you choose? I am not betting against Hugh Freeze and his numbers back up my POV. His teams are 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS coming off of victories of >40pts. Therefore, if one of these dogs hit, I'm thinking the ingredients might be there for S. Houston St. to build it's road winning streak. Currently S. Houston St. has +1030 odds @ FD. This has to be worth putting some lunch money on! Pick: S. Houston St. +1030
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JROCK1966
Pretty much a regular
Nice!
Chea!
JROCK1966
Pretty much a regular
This one sums up my day in a nutshell...I was smellin' an upset in this trend...either Cal or SHSU but I chose the loser. It's the Ole 50-50-90 rule again biting me in the arse....I had a 50% chance of being right and a 50% chance of being wrong but 90% of the time whatever I choose is wrong.
.... anyway, I did manage a measly $9.81 returned on a 2-teamer from post #23 but overall another losing day. YTD: -$202.69. 
JROCK1966
Pretty much a regular
Last vent and then I'm moving on....trying to figure out what happened yesterday so I ran some queries about the situation South Carolina was in yesterday. Away dog in a conference game, coming off a home win where they did not cover ATS by >10pts, previous game vs. a non-divisional opponent....I know I know it's a lot. I got it around 50% but then noticed some recent SU wins so I toyed with the date. I put in season>2021 and voila....5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS. I remember reading something on here, forgot who wrote it, about how all the portal acquisitions were going to change how we have to cap. That all started basically in 2021 season, correct? Something for me to think about in the future....if you made it this far then thanks for listening. 
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