• PICK CLUB Starts WEEK 2. Please pick ALL games for this year's contest!

***Week 2 Lex***

give me the commanders to score the same as they have in 10 of last 12 games played. Lions looked lost and I give GB their credit, but Jayden & co should have their chances to score.

Lean wash+3.5 as well especially with two olineman out but I think they’ll need 23 to cover anyway so here we go!
 
Credit to GB D I did not respect them enough. Updated record after 0-2 start to the week....


nfl 9-14 -6.22


I am

4-1 straight player props

4-1 straight Bills plays

horrible with the rest so far. Card won't be huge this week- Back with Bills thoughts and plays....
 
Bills thoughts-

Game was insane last week and Bills couldn't stop Henry to save their lives. Jets come in off shredding the Steelers D and still losing. I would have to think they try and run a similar playbook to the Ravens & get the Dline off balance.... problem is their personnel is not in the same category as the Ravens by a long shot. Garrett is a beast but the Bills will scheme to keep him blanketed. After facing off vs Lamar and getting ripped by coaching about execution I think we see a much better defensive effort from the Bills. Fields gonna have to make some huge throws to keep them in this one not just runs. No oliver hurts but enough to drop the line? NO. Taron J is the bigger loss should he not go as I would expect him to help aid vs the runa bunch. I'm seeing a TON of Breece Hall love and yes I can understand why. I really think if you love Hall to go off you consider adding in the rec yds as well. If the Bills are up two scores (could be a likely scenario) the Jets will abandon the run but still look to Hall in the passing game. Could totally see him with a 54/40 stat line & everyone getting hosed.

Offensively Allen had struggled historically vs the Jets in the past but that's not a narrative I am willing to entertain right now. Allen is playing light years better than his early seasons and the offense is humming. Hesitant to love any single player prop as I think it could come from anywhere but Rodgers got sacked 4x and still carved up the Jets. Allen might make them look silly if the Jets can't sustain drives offensively. I would think Sauce is on Palmer just because Keon is big, could be a day Shakir gets a td but I won't wager on it. Playing the Braelon Allen yds/TD on a hunch that they may want to pound the big back and wear out the Bills line. Originally was just yds over and hopefully I don't regret adding the TD.

I remember there being a great trend of playing an under after two teams previous had each had huge overs. Would be wary of the over but I have not seen enough to play an under here.
 
Taron J is out I thought he would be a go. Will evaluate at the half but I'm sticking with it


Bills tt o13.5+105 1sth

Jags/Bengals o49-108

JChase rec yds o85.5 & TD+165

2 units each
 
Bills game going how I had hoped. Dline getting after it and took Breece away early.

Burrow injury could kill the crazy parlay as Gibbs, cook & chase already scored. We shall see. Already hit an unposted td parlay but if Chase gets a 2ndh td and the bills can score 7 more I hit a crazy parlay. small but really fun!


If Bosa stays healthy this d is going to be a problem
 
Lexington 125 said:
Sunday

Bills-5.5

Patriots tt o20.5

Gibbs TD/Lions ML -103

3 units each


Jax Smith Njigba TD+155

Braelon Allen rush yds o18.5 &TD+440

J Chase & Bengals ML+145

1.5 units each


+2005 (boosted)
Click to expand...

Lexington 125 said:
Lions ML & Gibbs TD
Bills ML & Cook TD
Bengals ML & JChase TD

half unit
Click to expand...
Boosted parlay was gas. Sadlay, i already had sizable position on Jamaar to score so when DK suggested I add Chase Brown I altered that one piece of your gem. The Browning sneak cost me. I know CSB.
Thanks for sharing your incredible and unique NFL book slaying methodologies.
Kick their ass Bro!
 
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