Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
nfl 7-13 -13.44
Colts-3
Saints+2.5
Lions pk
Barkley rush yds o78.5-112
3 units each
Colts-3
Saints+2.5
Lions pk
Barkley rush yds o78.5-112
3 units each
***Week 2 Lex***
- Thread starter Lexington 125
- Start date
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Bit of a poster's jinx going on but it's early in the season.
Colts- Jax kept the Colts out of the playoffs last year with a week 17 blowout win. Give me Taylor to plow through the Jags d and get a win here. Ryan a bit of a concern here with no Pittman but I think the Colts will look much better this week. Indy by 7
Saints- Hate to go against TB but NO has the BUcs number. Thomas is every bit as good as before and Winston should be able to find him today. Low # because of Kamara but I think Landry & Mike with a little Hill sprinkled in gets it done. Worry is that Fournette goes off but Brady ain't mobile and I think NO looks to shore up the run D in this one. Saints in an ugly one.
Lions pk- Favored (barely) for the first time in a billion games. Both offenses looked great lw but this is Wentz so I expect regression sooner rather than later. Scary Terry is my main concern but I think Detroit is primed for a nice home win. Commander were lucky to escape with a win vs the Jags, not so lucky this time. Motor city lfg
Barkley- while I nearly opted to combine rush & rec, I just think this number is silly low. Maybe perception is NYG can't win twice or the Panthers D will shore up this week. I see quite a few wagers on the Panthers and I just don't think it's going to work out. I'm more confident in Barkley than the NYG as a wager so I'm rolling with it. He needs 16 carries @ 5ypc???? I trust Daboll to get the ball in his playmaker's hands often. Hoping he rips offa nice 60+ yd td early so I don't have to worry haha.
Colts- Jax kept the Colts out of the playoffs last year with a week 17 blowout win. Give me Taylor to plow through the Jags d and get a win here. Ryan a bit of a concern here with no Pittman but I think the Colts will look much better this week. Indy by 7
Saints- Hate to go against TB but NO has the BUcs number. Thomas is every bit as good as before and Winston should be able to find him today. Low # because of Kamara but I think Landry & Mike with a little Hill sprinkled in gets it done. Worry is that Fournette goes off but Brady ain't mobile and I think NO looks to shore up the run D in this one. Saints in an ugly one.
Lions pk- Favored (barely) for the first time in a billion games. Both offenses looked great lw but this is Wentz so I expect regression sooner rather than later. Scary Terry is my main concern but I think Detroit is primed for a nice home win. Commander were lucky to escape with a win vs the Jags, not so lucky this time. Motor city lfg
Barkley- while I nearly opted to combine rush & rec, I just think this number is silly low. Maybe perception is NYG can't win twice or the Panthers D will shore up this week. I see quite a few wagers on the Panthers and I just don't think it's going to work out. I'm more confident in Barkley than the NYG as a wager so I'm rolling with it. He needs 16 carries @ 5ypc???? I trust Daboll to get the ball in his playmaker's hands often. Hoping he rips offa nice 60+ yd td early so I don't have to worry haha.
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
I feel like if I don't play the Fins/Ravens o44.5 I'm going to be kicking myself all week. Both teams gonna score 21 i just know it. Both D overrated- Miami d line can be had
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Bills thoughts-
Buffalo cruised to an easy road victory and put the league on notice week 1. Many may look and think this is an inflated number (i know I did when I first looked). Again I ask where should the line be set? has to be over 7. The Bills offense had games last season where they started slow, got behind etc. then Allen improved as the game went on. But this team is different. This is their revenge tour and the Titans have had their number. Allen getting stopped on the goalline ly for the win loomed large in the playoff seeding. I don't think Buffalo is coming out flat in the first home game on primetime MNF
Concerns- Outside of turnovers (which were a bit flukey last week) only one that I can think of and it's run D. Buffalo looked great vs the run last week but they got hit with some injuries on the line. Oliver is out & Settle is doubtful, which thins out the DT position. Not what you want when going up against a monster. The Bills really benefit from being able to rotate in multiple d lineman so this potentially could wear them down should Henry get going early. I still think they will be able to slow down Henry, but if he's going early it will turn into a major concern down the stretch.
Offense
They looked unstoppable lw but they also never got punched in the mouth. Rams just didn't look as physical and Buffalo was shot out of a cannon. I don't think it's different this week.
Really missed on Gabe props as I thought they all just looked so easy haha. McKenzie+340 td saved the props though he played less of a part than I thought. I'll be looking into the numbers a little closer but offensively I think KNox is more involved this week so his props are worth a look- anytime td +150 prob getting played. Wish I knew what the plans at rb were because it could be a huge part of the game. Too many moving parts with Moss performing well to take any of the rds yds over..... though td props might be worth a look. This is a team that is now good enough offensively to find mismatches with multiple players.
Defense
Both rookie corners played well and it looks like they both may be playing quite a bit. Dane Jackson is questionable but not as questionable as the Titans pass game. Buffalo generated a ton of pressure from everywhere lw, and without a huge downfield threat, I'd expect pressure to come again. I think even with the injuries the Bills defense is a little underrated, but Henry will be a true test. No wagers for me yet but it's Bills- pts or nothing.
Buffalo cruised to an easy road victory and put the league on notice week 1. Many may look and think this is an inflated number (i know I did when I first looked). Again I ask where should the line be set? has to be over 7. The Bills offense had games last season where they started slow, got behind etc. then Allen improved as the game went on. But this team is different. This is their revenge tour and the Titans have had their number. Allen getting stopped on the goalline ly for the win loomed large in the playoff seeding. I don't think Buffalo is coming out flat in the first home game on primetime MNF
Concerns- Outside of turnovers (which were a bit flukey last week) only one that I can think of and it's run D. Buffalo looked great vs the run last week but they got hit with some injuries on the line. Oliver is out & Settle is doubtful, which thins out the DT position. Not what you want when going up against a monster. The Bills really benefit from being able to rotate in multiple d lineman so this potentially could wear them down should Henry get going early. I still think they will be able to slow down Henry, but if he's going early it will turn into a major concern down the stretch.
Offense
They looked unstoppable lw but they also never got punched in the mouth. Rams just didn't look as physical and Buffalo was shot out of a cannon. I don't think it's different this week.
Really missed on Gabe props as I thought they all just looked so easy haha. McKenzie+340 td saved the props though he played less of a part than I thought. I'll be looking into the numbers a little closer but offensively I think KNox is more involved this week so his props are worth a look- anytime td +150 prob getting played. Wish I knew what the plans at rb were because it could be a huge part of the game. Too many moving parts with Moss performing well to take any of the rds yds over..... though td props might be worth a look. This is a team that is now good enough offensively to find mismatches with multiple players.
Defense
Both rookie corners played well and it looks like they both may be playing quite a bit. Dane Jackson is questionable but not as questionable as the Titans pass game. Buffalo generated a ton of pressure from everywhere lw, and without a huge downfield threat, I'd expect pressure to come again. I think even with the injuries the Bills defense is a little underrated, but Henry will be a true test. No wagers for me yet but it's Bills- pts or nothing.
wiseplayer
Pretty much a regular
Barkley finally has his legs back. I could see late last season he was falling a lot while starting to show flashes of his top flight ability. If he stays healthy he’ll have a monster season. GL
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Jets+6.5
Dolphins/Ravens o44
3 units each
Jets ML/49ers-9/Bills tt o28.5 (+1050)
1 unit
Dolphins/Ravens o44
3 units each
Jets ML/49ers-9/Bills tt o28.5 (+1050)
1 unit
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Fins/Ravens o20.5-125 2ndh
2 units
2 units
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
picking all the wrong leans
Mixon scores a td-113
Texans/Broncos o45.5
Cardinals/Raiders o51.5-112
3 units each
Mixon scores a td-113
Texans/Broncos o45.5
Cardinals/Raiders o51.5-112
3 units each
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Broncos-10
Broncos tt o27.5-117
3 units each
Broncos tt o27.5-117
3 units each
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
real close to adding the Cards but naw
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Late but bills cover line
