mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
NFL
I did finish off last week strong going 2-0 on Monday plus I posted 5-0 bowl picks by accident. :bong:
LAST - [2-0 +8.85u]
2021 - [156-159 -16.21u]
Parlays [1-2-1 +5.05u]
SUNDAY:
I did finish off last week strong going 2-0 on Monday plus I posted 5-0 bowl picks by accident. :bong:
LAST - [2-0 +8.85u]
2021 - [156-159 -16.21u]
Parlays [1-2-1 +5.05u]
SUNDAY:
- 5.25/5 Raiders +8½ -105
- 5.10/5 BEARS -6½ -102
- 5.10/5 BUCS / JETS UNDER 46 -102
- 5.05/5 BILLS -14½ -101
- 5.40/5 FALCONS / BILLS UNDER 45½ -103
- 5.75/5 Cardinals +7 -115
- 5.25/5 Panthers / Saints UNDER 37½ -105
- 5.40/5 CHIEFS -3½ -108
- 5.25/5 Jaguars / Patriots UNDER 41½ -105
- 5.15/5 LIONS +7½ -103
- 5.25/5 Titans -3 -105
- 5.25/5 Rams -6 -105
- 5.05/5 PACKERS -13 -101
- 5.25/5 Vikings / Packers UNDER 42½ -105
- RAIDERS +8½ ...I know the Colts are the hottest team in the NFL right now, but getting 8 points as a team who’s fighting to make the playoffs seems like a gift. Wentz is questionable to play, which would be great if he didn’t, but even if he does I still believe the Raiders keep it close. LV has recently activated several defensive starters including Perryman, Littleton, Wright, Casey Heyward and DT Darius Philon. Nassib and Waller are still out. With the addition of these defensive starters eager to get back out and contribute on the field, and with Wentz not being able to practice, I see this Colts offense at less than full strength, especially if Ehlinger, who is a rookie, has to start instead of Wentz. Colts get most of their yards from JT and the run game which LV has been very good against recently allowing 3.4 yards per carry in their last 3 and only 79 yards rushing per game in that span. On top of this LV has had a great passing attack while Indianapolis is allowing a 2nd to worst 1.9 passing touchdowns a game and almost 235 yards passing. Looking for Raiders to keep it with an outside shot to shock the Colts SU in Indy.
- Jets/Bucs u46 ...The Jets offense was almost entirely rushing vs Jags, but won’t have that same success against the Bucs defense. Meanwhile, the Bucs have held L2 opponents below double digits. Antonio Brown is a GTD and Mike Evans "?" as well, so Brady’s top receivers may be Gronk and Tyler Johnson. Expect the Bucs to be run a lot and take 2-3 plays for most first downs. This game also falls under the trend of NFL DD spreads staying under(41-23 64.1% since 2020) which has been one of my favorites to tail.
- Bears -6½
- Run offense: Bears(8th overall) > Giants (27th)
- Pass offense: Bears ( Andy dalton 32nd overall on the season but will have their weapons and assist from run game) > Giants ( #2 qb will most likely play and only one starting receiver remains)
- Rush defense: Bears (25th) > Giants(26th and have covid and injuries across the dline)
- Pass defense: Bears (4th) > Giants( 18th and injuries across the board)
- Giants season is over and they're acting like it. Bears have their pride on the line and NY holds the Bears 1st round pick so they have no reason to even thinking about losing..
- Giants are ravaged by injuries, covid, and personal matter. They will be missing nearly all their WRs (Toney, Ross, Shepherd, Slayton, Pettis). The starting center is out for personal reasons and their D-line is disgustingly thin. Like practice squad players only. No real options for either shitty NY QB to throw to other than Golladay. They'll be playing 2 QBs (Fromm and Glennon). Jake Fromm Was 6 of 17 for 25 yards with an int before being benched in the 3rd quarter. In Glennon's three starts, NY averaged 26 points. Fromm put up 3 points in two-plus quarters. Both are terrible and if we even see Fromm for a quarter the defense will feast on him.
- Bears coming off a thrilling win over Seattle to make their season a little more tolerable. Eddie Jackson has spoken highly of Matt Nagy and they are continuing to fight for him. A pros pro in Andy Dalton is starting. He will be ready every start he gets because he might never start again. The bears go to run game (8th in total rush yards) will have success vs this depleted NY run D. Dalton can move the ball but overall is an avg QB at 6 TDs and 6 ints over 4 games started and 6 games played. However he had a full week to prepare and was already named starter despite Fields listed as "?". He’s good enough to win properly managed NFL games. He knows he’s not a star. Robert Quinn is having a career year and should look to pad his stats against this poor Giants O-line. Akeem Hicks may be back to help this defense that is already ranked 11th. I fully expect him to be back because he was out for CONDITIONING.
Final thoughts: Bears have some sneaky talent on offense so I do expect them to put up points but not cause they are great but because NY is so bad. NY will have practice squad members trying to stop a top 10 rushing offense. Also I would much rather have Dalton a vet QB playing with a group of more talented wideouts than Glennon/Fromm with only Golliday. Whether it’s Jake Fromm or Mike Glennon one of them will make a mistake with pressure in their face. The Bears are playing hard and veteran Eddie Jackson even stuck up for Matt Nagy. The Bears also have an explosive return man which could make a difference if this turns into a field position battle of two struggling offenses. It’ll be interesting to see exactly how Nagy calls this game. We’ve seen coaches fall in love with their backups and end up trusting them more than the expected starter. I expect Dalton will get some chances and make some play and YES, I'm backing da BEARS -6½
- Titans -3 ...Red hot MIA coming to town and it’s going to be freezing cold instead of that beach weather they’ve been used to. The Titans are looking to solidify their playoff position. TEN is also getting key pieces of their line back as well. The Fish have been winning vs mostly bums and although the Titans sometimes play like bums, they shouldn’t be today. Derrick Henry’s ghost will come haunt that field and bring Tenny a W and cover.
