Week 17 ~ ⛈

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
⛈ My worst week this year, thankfully it's behind me. ⛱ LFG!
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MONDAY
✅6/5.71 RAIDERS +10½ -105
✅5/4.76 CHIEFS u40½ -105
❌5/4.55 EAGLES -13½ -110
❌6/5.83 EAGLES u43 -103
❌5/2.00 49ers -250
❌6/5.71 49ers u46½ -105

SEASON [196-182 +2.63u]
WEEK 16 [8-18 -58.17u]
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LAST [2-4 -11.53u]

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THURSDAY

  • 8/7.92 BROWNS -7½ -101
  • 5/4.35 BROWNS u35 -115

randoms...

☭CLE @HOME 17-8 SU & 13-11-1 ATS L3 YEARS
☭UNDERS 15-8-3 IN CLE L3 YEARS
☭NYJ AWAY: SU 7-16 / ATS 8-14-1 / TOT 9-14 L3 YEARS
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Wow, shocked at how low you have Jacksonville. Are you accounting for Lawrence not being healthy the last few weeks?
 
Wow, shocked at how low you have Jacksonville. Are you accounting for Lawrence not being healthy the last few weeks?
It's more so considering how bad he has played. Interesting stat; in the 48 games he has started, he has been responsible for 3 or more turnovers 8 times, or 3 more than any other QB in that timeframe. I've been in Jacksonville most of my life and am almost ready to label T-Law a bust.
:shake:
 
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THURSDAY
✅8/7.92 BROWNS -7½ -101
❌5/4.35 BROWNS u35 -115

SEASON [197-183 +5.55u]
WEEK 17 [1-1 +2.92u]
LAST [1-1 +2.92u]

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SATURDAY​

  • 6/5.66 COWBOYS -5 -106
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It's more so considering how bad he has played. Interesting stat; in the 48 games he has started, he has been responsible for 3 or more turnovers 8 times, or 3 more than any other QB in that timeframe. I've been in Jacksonville most of my life and am almost ready to label T-Law a bust.
:shake:
I thought he was a bust prior to last year when he seemed to have proven me to be in error. This year is different. I cannot remember the stats I heard within the last week, but they placed him near the bottom of efficiency and near the top of turnover worthy throws. I have a preseason wager on Jax to win their division and am not very positive on the outcome. I am going to sprinkle some $$ on Panthers ML to help soften the blow.
 
I wouldn’t give up on him yet. Jack was surging until TL and Kirk both got injured in that game vs Cincy. They had just curb stomped Tennessee and exercised their Houston demons and - given their remaining schedule - had a legit chance to take the one seed in the AFC. Those injuries and the loss at home to Cincy have significantly changed the trajectory of their season. Hindsight I know, but they probably should have just rested TL a couple games and let him get healthier.
 
The Boys are really tough on me, back em and lose, fade em and lose :doh:

SATURDAY
❌6/5.66 COWBOYS -5 -106

SEASON [197-184 -0.45u]
WEEK 17 [1-2 -3.08u]
LAST [0-1 -6u]

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SUNDAY

  • 6/5.26 RAVENS -3 -114
  • 5/4.76 BILLS -14 -105
  • 5/4.72 BILLS u40 -106
  • 6/5.45 BEARS -2½ -110
  • 5/4.55 BEARS u38½ -110
  • 5/4.81 TEXANS -4 -104
  • 5/4.76 TEXANS u44 -105
  • 4/3.81 COLTS -4 -105
  • 7/6.67 COLTS u42½ -105
  • 4/3.92 JAGUARS -4 -102
  • 4/3.81 PANTHERS o36½ -105
  • 6/5.77 RAMS -6 -104
  • 6/5.71 GIANTS u43½ -105
  • 5/4.39 EAGLES -12 -114
  • 5/4.67 BUCCANEERS -2 -107
  • 5/4.76 BUCCANEERS u42½ -105
  • 5/4.76 49ERS -14 -105
  • 5/4.76 COMMANDERS u49½ -105
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randoms...

  • UNDERS 12-4 ON SUNDAY NIGHT THIS SEASON
  • LAST 3 YEARS(2021-23)
  • BEST HOME TEAMS ATS% THAT GO TODAY
    • PHI 12-10-2, NYG 12-10-1
  • BEST AWAY TEAMS ATS% THAT GO TODAY
    • CIN 16-8, LAC 14-10, AZ 14-10-1, PIT 13-10
  • BEST HOME TEAM TOTAL% THAT GO TODAY
    • UNDERS-NYG 5-16-2, KC 7-17, WA 8-15, JAX 8-15, BUF 9-14, DEN 10-15, BAL 10-14
    • OVERS-PHI 18-6, MIN 13-11, IND 13-11
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few more in late window

  • 6/5.71 CHIEFS u44 -105
  • 4/6.40 CHARGERS +160
  • 5/4.85 BRONCOS u36½ -103
  • 5/4.76 PACKERS +1½ -105
  • 7/6.73 VIKINGS u43 -104
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