Week 15 ~ πŸš€πŸˆ πŸ“’ β­’ΰΉ‹

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
MONDAY
❌3.15/3 Cowboys +5½ -105
❌1/2.10 Cowboys +210
βœ…4.20/4 Cowboys u49Β½ -105

SEASON [152-166 -72.52u]
WEEK 14 [11-7-1 +17.18u]
LAST [1-2 -0.15u]

THURSDAY​

  • 4/3.70 RAMS +3 -108
  • 5/4.55 49ERS u49 -110
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randoms...
DOGS OVER 6 ARE 35-23-1 60.3% ATS IN 2024
ROAD TEAMS 107-91-5 54.0% ATS IN 2024
ROAD FAVS 44-33-2 57.1% ATS IN 2024
ROAD FAVS UNDER +6 ARE 35-22-2 61.4% ATS IN 2024
RAMS 9-2 ATS L11 DIV GAMES
SF 3-9 ATS L12 DIV GAMES
SF 1-9 ATL L11 VS TEAMS W/WINNING RECORD
DOG 16-5 ATS L21 MEETINGS
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  • Tough divisional matchup off a short week...and it matters. The Rams have been owned by the Niners for quite some time, but overcame a 4Q deficit of 14-24, to beat them 27-24 in Week 3 despite being out-yarded 425-296 Since both Puca Nacua and Cooper Kupp were out for the Rams in first game, I can see them doing it again as short road dogs.

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PRIME TIME RECORD L7 YEARS (2018-24)
LAR ATS 21-16 56.8% / SU 22-18 / TOT 14-25
SF ATS 24-19 55.8% / SU 27-16 / TOT 20-22


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NFL Week 15 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:
  • The Seahawks could flatten out hosting Green Bay after leading the division.
Get Up Spots:
  • The Packers need to get up at Seattle after the Lion’s loss.
  • The Bills need to win at the Lions after the rough loss in LA.
  • The Falcons need a slump buster in Las Vegas.
  • The Chargers need to get up after rough Chiefs loss.
Look Ahead Spots:
  • The Vikings could look past the Bears to the Seahawks.
Short Rest:
  • The Cowboys after Monday Night at the Panthers.
  • The Bengals after Monday Night at the Titans.
Long Rest:
  • The Lions after Thursday Night hosting the Bills.
  • The Packers after Thursday Night at the Seahawks.
  • The Ravens after the bye at the NY Giants.
  • The Texans after the bye hosting the Dolphins.
  • The Patriots after the bye at Cardinals.
  • The Commanders after the bye at Saints.
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THURSDAY
βœ…4/3.70 RAMS +3 -108
βœ…5/4.55 49ERS u49 -110

SEASON [154-166 -64.27u]
WEEK 15 [2-0 +8.25u]
LAST [2-0 +8.25u]

SUNDAY​

  • 4/3.81 Commanders -7Β½ -105
  • 5/5.25 Jaguars +3 +105
  • 4/3.81 Jaguars u41 -105
  • 4/3.81 BENGALS -5Β½ -105
  • 4/3.81 TITANS u46Β½ -105
  • 4/3.81 RAVENS -16Β½ -105
  • 5/4.76 GIANTS u42Β½ -105
  • 4/3.81 Browns +4Β½ -105
  • 4/3.81 Browns u41Β½ -105
  • 4/3.64 PANTHERS u43 -110
  • 6/5.71 STEELERS +5Β½ -105
  • 4/3.81 LIONS -2 -105
  • 4/3.81 LIONS u54Β½ -105
  • 4/3.81 Broncos -4 -105
  • 4/3.40 CHARGERS -2Β½ -118
  • 4/3.81 BUCCANEERS o45Β½ -105
  • 5/4.76 CARDINALS u46Β½ -105
  • 5/4.76 SEAHAWKS u46 -105
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randoms...
DOGS OVER 6 ARE 35-23-1 60.3% ATS IN 2024
ROAD TEAMS 108-91-5 54.3% ATS IN 2024
ROAD FAVS 44-33-2 57.1% ATS IN 2024
ROAD FAVS UNDER +6 ARE 35-22-2 61.4% ATS IN 2024

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Could not ride with the model this week...

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SUNDAY
❌4/3.81 Commanders -7½ -105
❌5/5.25 Jaguars +3 +105
❌4/3.81 Jaguars u41 -105
βœ…4/3.81 BENGALS -5Β½ -105
❌4/3.81 TITANS u46½ -105
βœ…4/3.81 RAVENS -16Β½ -105
❌5/4.76 GIANTS u42½ -105
❌4/3.81 Browns +4½ -105
βœ…4/3.81 Browns u41Β½ -105
❌4/3.64 PANTHERS u43 -110
❌6/5.71 STEELERS +5½ -105
❌4/3.81 LIONS -2 -105
❌4/3.81 LIONS u54½ -105
βœ…4/3.81 Broncos -4 -105
❌4/3.40 CHARGERS -2½ -118
βœ…4/3.81 BUCCANEERS o45Β½ -105
❌5/4.76 CARDINALS u46½ -105
βœ…5/4.76 SEAHAWKS u46 -105

SEASON [160-178 -93.46u]
WEEK 15 [8-12 -20.94u]
LAST [6-12 -29.19u]

MONDAY

  • 5/1.60 Vikings -312
  • 5/4.76 Vikings u44 -105
  • 5/3.88 Falcons -4 -129
  • 5/4.76 Raiders u44Β½ -105
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randoms...

DOGS OVER 6 ARE 35-23-1 60.3% ATS IN 2024
ROAD TEAMS 108-91-5 54.3% ATS IN 2024
ROAD FAVS 44-33-2 57.1% ATS IN 2024
ROAD FAVS UNDER +6 ARE 35-22-2 61.4% ATS IN 2024
ONLY THE PANTHERS HAVE FEWER PRIME TIME APPEARANCES THAN ATL SINCE 2019(CAR 3-5 / ATL 4-6)
BUF WAS THE FIRST TEAM SINCE 1966 THAT WAS IN TWO STRAIGHT GAMES WHERE BOTH TEAMS SCORED AT LEAST 40
BUF 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS IN LAST 9
BUF HAS SCORE AT LEAST 30 IN 8 STRAIGHT
Road chalk from 2-6' pts in 2H of season @night is cashing over 61%
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Bears are a disappointing 4-9, and now face a hot Viking team in their 3rd straight roadie. They have punted in 9 of 10 scoreless 1H possessions in L2 games...the interim coach they’ve promoted was their passing game coordinator previously this season lol...they are 3-20 SU as a road dog since the 2022...#1 draft choice started 4-2 but has gone 0-7 since while getting sacked left, right and up the middle.
VIKES should roll 31-6.
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