Week 14 ~

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
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MONDAY
✅8/7.41 Broncos -6 -108
❌4/3.81 Broncos u42 -105

SEASON [140-158 -93.11u]
WEEK 13 [11-13 -10.76u]
LAST [7-9 -1.41u]

THURSDAY
  • 4/4.00 Lions -3½ +100
  • 5/4.76 Lions u51½ -105

randoms...

DOGS OVER 6 33-22-1 60.0% ATS IN 2024
ROAD TEAMS 101-85-4 54.3% ATS IN 2024
ROAD FAVS 43-31-2 58.1% ATS IN 2024
ROAD FAVS UNDER 6 IS 34-20-2 63.0% ATS IN 2024
DET 11-4 ATS IN DIVISION 2022-24 (4-3 @HOME)
DET 19-8 70.4% ATS AS FAV 2023-24 (10-6 @HOME)
DET 11-2 84.6% ATS AS FAV OF 4 OR LESS 2023-24
DET 23-9 71.9% ATS ALL GAMES 2023-24 (LEAGUE BEST)
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THURSDAY
❌4/4.00 Lions -3½ +100
❌5/4.76 Lions u51½ -105

SEASON [140-160 -102.11u]
WEEK 14 [0-2 -9.00u]
LAST [0-2 -9.00u]

SUNDAY​

  • 4/3.81 VIKINGS -6 -105
  • 5/4.76 GIANTS +5½ -110
  • 5/4.76 GIANTS u41 -105
  • 4/3.64 TITANS -3 -110
  • 4/3.81 BUCCANEERS u47 -105
  • 3/2.68 STEELERS -6½ -112
  • 4/3.81 EAGLES -13½ -105
  • 5/4.76 EAGLES u45½ -105
  • 5/4.76 DOLPHINS -6 -105
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randoms...
  • DOGS OVER 6 ARE 33-22-1 60.0% ATS IN 2024
  • ROAD TEAMS 101-85-5 54.3% ATS IN 2024
  • ROAD FAVS 41-31-2 58.1% ATS IN 2024
  • ROAD FAVS UNDER 6 ARE 34-20-2 63.0% ATS IN 2024
  • ATL 6-13 ATS L19 ON ROAD & 9-19 L28 OVERALL
  • NYG HAS CASHED UNDER 66.7% (52-26-3) L6 YEARS (8-4 IN 2024)
  • SAINTS' UNDERS 11-2 IN DEC L13
  • TEN UNDERS 19-7-1 L27 @HOME & 15-3 L18 AS FAV
  • JAX 6-14 ATS L20 VS TEAMS W/LOSING RECORD, LAWRENCE IS BAD BUT JONES IS WORSE
  • -13½ CHALK IS ONLY 3-14 ATS L7 YEARS (PHI)
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late games...

  • 5/4.35 SEAHAWKS +3 -115
  • 3/2.86 RAMS +3½ -105
  • 4/3.81 RAMS u50 -105
  • 3/2.73 49ERS -3 -110
  • 4/3.81 CHARGERS +4 -105
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THURSDAY
❌4/4.00 Lions -3½ +100
❌5/4.76 Lions u51½ -105

SUNDAY
✅4/3.81 VIKINGS -6 -105
✅5/4.76 GIANTS +5½ -110
✅5/4.76 GIANTS u41 -105
❌4/3.64 TITANS -3 -110
✅4/3.81 BUCCANEERS u47 -105
✅3/2.68 STEELERS -6½ -112
❌4/3.81 EAGLES -13½ -105
✅5/4.76 EAGLES u45½ -105
⛅5/4.76 DOLPHINS -6 -105
✅5/4.35 SEAHAWKS +3 -115
✅3/2.86 RAMS +3½ -105
❌4/3.81 RAMS u50 -105
✅3/2.73 49ERS -3 -110
✅4/3.81 CHARGERS +4 -105

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MONDAY​

  • 3.15/3 Cowboys +5½ -105
  • 1/2.10 Cowboys +210
  • 4.20/4 Cowboys u49½ -105
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randoms...
The Boys have won/covered L2 vs WAS & NYG. Even though they were out-scored 68-16 by PHI and HOU, both were one-score games late third quarter. DAL seemingly embraces its spoiler role, and they've had extra prep time for this one after last Thursday's game. Burrow is only the 5th QB with 30 TD passes and less than 6 INTs after 12 games. The previous four: Mahomes 11-1, Rodgers 12-0, Brees 10-2 and Brady 12-0...while Cincy is 4-8 w/Burrow. Seems like the cats are really wasting a great year from number 9. The CIN pass defense has allowed the most yards in the NFL entering week 14 and only CAR has allowed more points per game. DAL has one of the best pass rushes in the league, while CIN is bottom 10 in QB pressures. Has Dallas really been THAT bad in the last month? I'll back the Boys tonight and wouldn't be surprised if they won SU in this battle of underachievers.​

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