Odds
Week 14 Discussion Thread
- Thread starter VirginiaCavs
- Start date
Spurrier's Brain
Fun ‘n’ Gun
The lines look pretty solid, outside of the teams that I am wary to touch at this point. Titans - 3 1/2 is the best looking one to me at this moment.
Mac Jones and Jacksonville secondary. How could this team possibly beat anybody? Levis has also been playing much better and Tenny defense is great. Given Trevor‘s regular struggles against good pass defenses (as evident last week before concussion), I would still take Tits if it were him at QB. His OC is also complete garbage, his favorite WR is hurt, his pass pro is subpar, and his rush attack is so inefficient.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Only week of year other than week 1 I don’t hate the thu game since it not a short week (I’ve actually done really well w thu game this year so maybe I should stop knocking it!). Kinda feel like over the way to go, again since they both on reg rest this more viable to play over imo. Will packers be able to run? 1st thought lions jump out to a lead even tho lefluer really good w his scripted plays, then packers have to throw to get Back in Game which it seems like teams are having success against lions in that regard.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Can’t believe it but think I’ll be on bears+3.5 at niners, just fired retard coach usually gives teams a boost, like the way Caleb playing under new oc, and Niners are just a broken team that just got worse with cmc news from last night. Bears feel live to me. Hard to say bout Purdy arm cause conditions but I don’t think that shoulder close to 100%.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Tackles props galore!
Spurrier's Brain
Fun ‘n’ Gun
After that win over the Ravens it's hard to think that Philly wouldn't be overvalued, and since Bryce Young's improvement, it's hard to think that Carolina isn't undervalued. But as easily as I can see a 7-10 point margin, I could also see Philly sledgehammer them by 21.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Oh yea. Philly brings a game they roast them, but what the odds they get up for this? Probably not good. Horn has become a pretty solid corner and has the length to bother brown. Think both teams prob be able to run a bit, panthers will have to find a way to get Carter blocked or scheme runs to take adv his aggressiveness cause he a game wrecker, they gotta get Hubbard going to shorten the game. Seems like a total flat spot for Philly, biggest worry is Barkley on this mvp push so he could go HAM trying to hang big eviugh numbers to state his case. I love Barkley and while I think he deserves to be in the discussion it comical to put him of Allen. Last year at this time Philly was 10-2 without him, so how valuable is he? I know what bills record bs without Allen, prob be right there w the jets! I hate that it basically a qb award but facts are facts, Philly had same damn record without him last year at this point, obviously they not gonna collapse and I think bringing him in fixed all the demons from
Last year but there just no chance he more valuable to his team than Allen is bills. Nothing to do with this game other than the fact they might keep pounding him even with a lead trying to bolster those stats, which would be a total mistake imo, don’t wear him down trying to get him mvp, the ring is the thing, if he wore out in playoffs cause they run him 30x vs shitbag panthers they doing themselves a huge disservice for the ultimate goal imo. That d is scary good so it a tough bet, just seems like a spot you get a lead and get guys out the game, who cares if they win by 10 or 21? Panthers or nothing but way too early for me to decide. Let the lemmings bet it yo to 14 then I’ll buy!
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
I don't like betting dogs I don't think are gonna win straight up and both panthers and bears have six road wins the last four seasons combined they are 12-50 su on the road L4 seasons 21-41 ats
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Yes but those were with shitbag qbs and poor coaching. Times are a changing. Niners are just fade city imo and think the coach firing gives bears an extra boost. Panthers not as easy a play cause Philly is rolling but this a very easy game for them to take for granted and be t thing ya know they in a 1 score game in ;4th. To me bears a must, they have played last 2 games within a fg vs much better teams than niners, I already thought niners were in a death spiral, losing cmc for season should be enough to push them over the edge. Their season is all but over, so is bears but they have hope which a powerful thing. If we being honest and line up roster to roster with all the injuries beats simply better right now imo. I don’t think Purdy healthy and no matter how well he plays he will never be the talent Caleb Williams is. I don’t think he healthy, wouldn’t shock me if he ended up not playing in which case I’d prefer to get out iin front the line. I don’t really care if he plays or not, I’ll take Caleb and bears offense with little extra motivation after coach firing.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
with that defense eagles can beat you by 20 easy also saquan can easily house one in the 4Q like he did against the rams to backdoor front door whatever door is i don't know how that works saquan is still housing TDs for 6 in the 4Q. even so funny enough how bears play road games and how pissed SF is gonna be after 3 straight losses I hate them both but 100% panthers over bears if I had to pick
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Oh I think niners past the point of pist and have moved to the realization this isn’t their year. CMC news has to be the final crushing straw for them imo. Don’t underestimate the boost teams get from firing a crappy coach! And seriously with all the injuries if you look at the healthy players on both rosters bears are seriously more talented than the Niners right now. Maybe if CMC wasn’t lost for year I’d say there bounce back potential but I think it more likely Niners are demoralized that their season is over for all intensive purposes and while true bears not making playoffs either they playing for their future. Bears win this game imo.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
both mason and cmc on ir now
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
respect bro
DOUBLEUP4LIFE
Pretty much a regular
Brutal spot for the BILLS after huge snow bowl Sunday night win. Could see the players getting caught up I the glitz and glamor of LA with a monster TV rated game and possible SB preview Lions on deck
For sure.
Bills finish with NE twice and the Jets.
Two great tuneups here vs the NFC.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
last 5 years bills 18-4 vs nfc three of the four losses came in ot 13 of 18 wins were by dd
scoring 30 or fewer 1-7 ats
scoring 31+ 12-2 ats
scoring 30 or fewer 1-7 ats
scoring 31+ 12-2 ats
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Don’t think it a great spot for Philly either. I have no doubt they win but panthers have gotten fiesty, +12.5 a huge number off the big ravens win.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
chargers have played two consecutive road games twice this season 0-2 su and ats in the 2nd game. last week was short thanksgiving week. tried to find out if they flew home or stayed east this week. couldn't find anything
Frank Costanza
You are what your record says you are
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Anyone else think this feels like a tough week?? I feel pretty decent fish will bury jets
, think I like bears just cause I been fading the state of the Niners but don’t love it by any stretch.
Not sure I can actually lay points w titans although I’d think their d comes out strong after last week.
It chargers have their wr suppose gotta take the points cause kc will prob win by 3!
I can’t lay 7 w Steelers, I’d think they get revenge but a full 7?
I guess panthers? They could get crushed but they been fiesty. I just hate this card., gonna have to find some props!
, think I like bears just cause I been fading the state of the Niners but don’t love it by any stretch.
Not sure I can actually lay points w titans although I’d think their d comes out strong after last week.
It chargers have their wr suppose gotta take the points cause kc will prob win by 3!
I can’t lay 7 w Steelers, I’d think they get revenge but a full 7?
I guess panthers? They could get crushed but they been fiesty. I just hate this card., gonna have to find some props!
C-MAN
Grass Observer
Agree it’s tough to lay 7 with Steelers, but this is a great spot for them. Absolutely a must win home game with their remaining schedule. Cleveland is 8-30-1 vs Steelers over past 20 years and I believe only 2 of those wins were in Pittsburgh. Cleveland coming off an emotional MNF loss, so on short rest. It’s Steelers or nothing here IMO. Might look at their team total as well.
Steelers TT's been so good to me.
Multiple ones last week.
Vs Washington
Few others as well.
Pickens expected to play but has to test the hammy.
Cleveland kept him in check in the snow bowl.
dg84
Inside Mike Tomlin‘s Mind
Also, the Browns haven't swept a season series against the Steelers since Bubby Brister led the offense (1988).
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I didn’t know bout the hammy, he was kinda mouthy after that game and blaming weather, kinda pussy move but he was def on my list of plays, he damn sure better come out and roast them in what finna be a lovely day. Don’t like hearing hammy tho.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Under but I don't like the game in general. Just gonna be a fan. Beak2Beak
I'm more interested in where ISU ends up tomorrow than the NFL. Lots going on...Cards get the 6 seed because they're just better than the Rams and Niners is likely, not sure I care about a road game in the upper Midwest more than I care about who and where ISU play
And it's basketball season. I can't explain how happy I am about that.
DOUBLEUP4LIFE
Pretty much a regular
This is the ugliest slate I've seen in a decade + ...
Outside of these 3 , who cares???
Chiefs v Chargers
Cards v Hawks
Bills at Rams
Outside of these 3 , who cares???
Chiefs v Chargers
Cards v Hawks
Bills at Rams
Brewers888
Potential 2028 V.P. Selection
I might have to take the Panthers ML just to root against that idiot.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
So if Philly is gonna blow panthers out, which im not totally sold on, thinking more like a 10 point game give or take, gainwell prop could be good, id think they give him a few carries if the game in hand, unless they hell bent on trying to get Barkley mvp but that seems pretty dumb in the big picture
2daBank
Voice of Reason
lol. Been talking bout this all week. Not only lack of good games they also seem incredibly tough to pick!
Brewers888
Potential 2028 V.P. Selection
Its hard to have many good games when there are around 10 teams that have totally packed it in with more than a month left in the season.
Brewers888
Potential 2028 V.P. Selection
I've got to think this is the week the Jets get blown out. Sauce and Breece are out and they've already quit on the season. Most likely the players were all out in South Beach last night and won't even be awake for the game.
Brewers888
Potential 2028 V.P. Selection
If I read one more "Arthur Smith" is a darkhorse for the Jets job story I will probably have to hunt down the author of such a stupid article.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
And sooner than later we will be playing 18 games! Gotta love the NFL, long as ppl keep eating them they are happy to serve up shit sandwiches!
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
overrrrrrrrrrr
DOUBLEUP4LIFE
Pretty much a regular
DOUBLEUP4LIFE
Pretty much a regular
Just a trash league imo , and as 2dabank mentioned they want to play 18 games lol ....
They should have just given the Chiefs the 1 seed , it's obvious the refs will help them when needed .
Regular season is almost pointless
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Titans- Jags fade train all aboard!
Jets/Fins over- Jets d is bad and Poyer is still the SS for Miami. Bombs away!
Panthers tt/Panthers+pts- likely one game over too but I think Panthers could be live
Pitt-6 Every time I back them they lose so I likely won't pull the trigger but Pitt is not taking the day off on defense like Denver did.
Bills-3.5- Gonna put the ML in a parlay but Bills aren't sleepwalking through any games. Kyren will get his (Puka might as well) but the Rams D will have to play out of their minds to win this one. I see a ton of Rams picks out there and I just don't understand. Bills run game has been dominant don't see it changing vs a bad run D
Jets/Fins over- Jets d is bad and Poyer is still the SS for Miami. Bombs away!
Panthers tt/Panthers+pts- likely one game over too but I think Panthers could be live
Pitt-6 Every time I back them they lose so I likely won't pull the trigger but Pitt is not taking the day off on defense like Denver did.
Bills-3.5- Gonna put the ML in a parlay but Bills aren't sleepwalking through any games. Kyren will get his (Puka might as well) but the Rams D will have to play out of their minds to win this one. I see a ton of Rams picks out there and I just don't understand. Bills run game has been dominant don't see it changing vs a bad run D
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I thought after rams run d got embarrassed on national tv by Barkley they would prob show more life last week and while they pulled out the win kumara had little trouble running right thru them. This week was so tough at one point I did consider rams w the points but it not enough and I agree bills run game should control things.
DOUBLEUP4LIFE
Pretty much a regular
Poyer is so bad , was shocked when Miami signed him...He's lost like 3 steps. His low brow wife Rachel Bush trashed Buffalo on the way out the door , hilarious seeing her back tracking tweets now...
While it might be a rough spot for the BILLS off the snow bowl and Kc wins, the Rams RUN d as you mentioned stinks ...Anyone who like the Rams should be playing their TT over , BILLS might dominate both lines of scrimmage thou ...
Sweep your slate Brother
