Week 14 ⭐

[mrpickem]

After seeing the Bangles play last night and what Browning can do, I cant help but get down on Cincy now as a small home dog, I would expect this line will move.

Sunday​

• 5/4.76 BENGALS +1 -105

updated...

 

[B.A.R.]

Makes sense

 

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
4/3.81 Bengals +10 -105
7/6.67 Jaguars u40 -105

SEASON [158-142 +39.98u]
WEEK 13 [12-12 -5.13u]
LAST [1-1 -3.19u]

THURSDAY​

• 6/5.77 STEELERS -6 -104
• 4/1.45 STEELERS -275

randoms....

• In the last 5 years of AFC conference games lined from 4-14, in 245 games no total was less than 36! Only 15 or 6.1% were less than 40 points. Tonight's game is at 30 points. In the same 245 games: UNDERS were 128-11-6 53.6% but with an average total of 46.1 ... normally I would be on the under but I think the books are really squeezing the totals lately. Overs went 9-4 last week, only the 4th week of 13 with more overs, but the 2nd in a row. The average total last week was 42.6, week 1 was 44.2, and this week 37.6
• PIT home games this year have had an average total of 39.5 and cashed 5 of 7 under
• NE is 1-4 SU & ATS on the road this year while averaging a pathetic 11.8 points (about half their 22.6 PPG avg in 2021-22)
• 

 

[mrpickem]

Mike Tomlin @home after a home loss 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS



Tomlin in PrimeTime after a loss 21-8 SU / 19-9 68% ATS

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
6/5.77 STEELERS -6 -104
4/1.45 STEELERS -275

SEASON [158-144 +29.98u]
WEEK 14 [0-2 -10u]
LAST [0-2 -10u]

Pending from earlier in the week(added a little today)

• 5/4.76 BENGALS +1 -105

SUNDAY (early window)​

• 5/4.72 BROWNS -2½ -106
• 5/4.63 BROWNS u34½ -108
• 5/5.00 RAVENS -7½ +100
• 5/4.90 RAVENS u39½ -102
• 5/4.76 BEARS u43 -105
• 5/4.76 PANTHERS +6 -105
• 5/4.76 SAINTS u39½ -105
• 5/4.81 FALCONS u41 -104
• 2/1.90 BENGALS -2½ -105
• 5/4.76 COLTS o44 -105
• 6/5.71 JETS u33 -105

randoms...

• FAVS 49-21-4 70% ATS when total >44 this season (10-2 LAST 2 WEEKS)
• BEST ATS @HOME 2021-23: DAL 16-8 / SF 16-8 / MIA 14-8
• WORST ATS @HOME 2021-23: NO 6-15 / ATL 8-15
• BEST ATS AWAY 2021-23: DET 15-8 / MIN 13-7-2 / IND 13-9
• WORST ATS AWAY 2021-23: DEN 7-13-1 / CAR 9-15
• HOME TOTALS SINCE 2021: DAL 15-9 / NYG 4-16-2 / CLE 4-14-2

Sorted by rush defense per play


Efficiency in RZ, sorted by average points per trip to RedZone

 

[mrpickem]

...the rest of the story

• 5/4.81 49ERS -13½ -104
• 5/4.67 49ERS u46½ -107
• 5/5.05 VIKINGS -3 +101
• 5/4.76 RAIDERS u40½ -105
• 5/5.25 BRONCOS +2½ +105
• 5/4.76 CHARGERS u44 -105
• 5/4.72 CHIEFS u49-106
• 7/7.35 COWBOYS -3½ +105

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
5/4.76 BENGALS +1 -105
5/4.72 BROWNS -2½ -106
5/4.63 BROWNS u34½ -108
5/5.00 RAVENS -7½ +100
5/4.90 RAVENS u39½ -102
5/4.76 BEARS u43 -105
5/4.76 PANTHERS +6 -105
5/4.76 SAINTS u39½ -105
5/4.81 FALCONS u41 -104
2/1.90 BENGALS -2½ -105
5/4.76 COLTS o44 -105
6/5.71 JETS u33 -105
5/4.81 49ERS -13½ -104
5/4.67 49ERS u46½ -107
5/5.05 VIKINGS -3 +101
5/4.76 RAIDERS u40½ -105
5/5.25 BRONCOS +2½ +105
5/4.76 CHARGERS u44 -105
5/4.72 CHIEFS u49-106
7/7.35 COWBOYS -3½ +105

SEASON [170-151 +51.15u]
WEEK 14 [12-9-1 +11.17u]
LAST [12-7-1 +21.17u]

MONDAY​

• 7/6.73 DOLPHINS -14 -104
• 8/7.27 DOLPHINS u46½ -110
• 5/4.95 PACKERS -6 -101
• 8/7.62 GIANTS u37 -105

randoms...

• MIA 14-5 73.7% ATS IN LAST 19 AS HOME CHALK (4-1 THIS YEAR)
• TEN AWAY GAMES HAVE CASHED UNDER 11-4 73.3% LAST 2 YEARS (7-1 last 8)
• NYG AS HOME DOG: 15-24-1 38.5% ATS ANN UNDER 29-9-2 76.3% LAST 7 YEARS
• MONDAY GAMES WITH TOTAL <=46 ARE 70% TO UNDER (48-21-2) OVER L7 YEARS
• 
• It's quite laughable that the G-men are a rediculous 3-24 SU in PrimeTime for the last 7 years :shocked:

​