Week 13 ~ 🏈 📢 ⭒๋࣭ ⭑

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
2.10/2 CHARGERS +3 -105
5/4.76 CHARGERS u51 -105

SEASON [133-148 -82.38u]
WEEK 12 [8-11 -19.98u]
LAST [0-2 -7.1u]

THURSDAY​

...pending
leans DET -10, MIA +3 & *u47, DAL u37


randoms...

• DOGS OF 6 OR MORE 36-25-1 59% ATS IN 2024
• ROAD TEAMS 92-77-4 54.4% ATS IN 2024
• ROAD CHALK 41-28-2 59.4% ATS IN 2024
• ROAD CHALK UNDER 6 IS 32-18-2 64% ATS IN 2024
• DET 17-2 ATS AFTER DD WIN L7 YEARS
• OVERS 52.1% (94-83-2) THIS SEASON
  • WEEK 12 10-3
  • WEEK 11 8-6
  • WEEK 10 4-10
  • WEEK 9 7-8
  • WEEK 8 12-4
  • LAST 5 WEEKS 41-31 56.9% OVERS

I consider any non-Sunday game Prime Time as well as Sunday night

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

SEASON [133-148 -82.38u]
WEEK 12 [8-11 -19.98u]
LAST [0-2 -7.1u]

THURSDAY​

• 4/3.64 LIONS -9½ -110
• 4/3.81 Cowboys u37½ -105
• 5/4.76 DOLPHINS +3½ -105
• 5/4.65 PACKERS u47½ -108

🍽 HAPPY TURKEY DAY TO ALL!

 

[mrpickem]

JARED GOFF HAS THE BEST ATS WIN % OF ANY NFL STARTING QB SINCE 2020 ALTHOUGH THE LEAST PLAYOFF WINS.



This list was generated by AI and is subject to error, but I had read that Goff was 34-19-2 ATS over last 55 games, so I asked AI to generate a table with the extra columns. Burrow and Hebert are best at TD-INT rate per this lisy and Mahomes is obviously the best at playoff wins and salary.

 

[mrpickem]

For grins, I told AI to make it top 15 and some odd names came up. lol



...but the highest paid QB did not make the list. WTG Browns!

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
4/3.64 LIONS -9½ -110
4/3.81 Cowboys u37½ -105
5/4.76 DOLPHINS +3½ -105
5/4.65 PACKERS u47½ -108

SEASON [134-151 -90.73u]
WEEK 13 [1-3 -8.35u]
LAST [1-3 -8.35u]

That Lions game sure looked like it was meant to be a Bears cover.

FRIDAY​

• 4/3.81 CHIEFS -13 -105
• 3.15/3 CHIEFS u42½ -105

randoms...

DOGS OF 6 OR MORE 37-25-1 59.7% ATS IN 2024​

ROAD TEAMS 93-79-4 54.1% ATS IN 2024​

ROAD CHALK 41-28-2 59.4% ATS IN 2024​

ROAD CHALK UNDER 6 IS 32-18-2 64% ATS IN 2024​

​

Earlier season result:

 

[mrpickem]

ARI @ MIN

• Non-divisional conference HOME favorites with Bill Vinovich as lead official:
  • SU: 49-26-1
    • ATS: 33-41-2
    • OU: 37-37-2

HOU @ JAX

• DIV AWAY favorites with Land Clark as lead official:
  • SU: 8-7-1
    • ATS: 6-9-1
    • OU: 8-8

IND @ NE

• Non-divisional conference AWAY favorites with Adrian Hill as lead official:
  • SU: 15-16-1
    • ATS: 10-19-2
    • OU: 15-16

LAC @ ATL

• Non-conference AWAY favorites with Clete Blakeman as lead official:
  • SU: 8-15
    • ATS: 6-17
    • OU: 11-12

PIT @ CIN

• DIV HOME favorites with Shawn Hochuli as lead official:
  • SU: 19-20
    • ATS: 13-26
    • OU: 13-25-1

SEA @ NYJ

• Non-conference AWAY favorites with Carl Cheffers as lead official:
  • SU: 27-6
    • ATS: 21-10-2
    • OU: 17-16

TEN @ WSH

• Non-conference HOME favorites with Ron Torbert as lead official:
  • SU: 17-3
    • ATS: 7-12-1
    • OU: 7-13

LAR @ NO

• Non-divisional conference AWAY favorites with Brad Allen as lead official:
  • SU: 13-8
    • ATS: 9-11-1
    • OU: 12-9

TB @ CAR

• DIV AWAY favorites with Tra Blake as lead official:
  • SU: 5-5
    • ATS: 5-5
    • OU: 4-6

PHI @ BAL

• Non-conference HOME favorites with Craig Wrolstad as lead official:
  • SU: 32-22
    • ATS: 22-31-1
    • OU: 20-34

SF @ BUF

• Non-conference HOME favorites with Alex Kemp as lead official:
  • SU: 18-7
    • ATS: 14-11
    • OU: 15-10

 

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY
4/3.81 CHIEFS -13 -105
3.15/3 CHIEFS u42½ -105

SEASON [133-149 -91.70u]
WEEK 13 [2-4 -9.35u]
LAST [1-1 -1.00u]

SUNDAY
(1pm)​

• 4/3.81 Commanders -5½ -105
• 3/2.86 Commanders u44½ -105
• 3/2.86 Falcons +1 -105
• 5/4.76 FALCONS u47½ -105
• 5/4.59 STEELERS +3 -109
• 3/2.86 Bengals u46½ -105
• 6/6.30 Patriots +2½ +105
• 4/3.81 Patriots u42½ -105
• 4.64/4 JAGUARS +4 -116
• 5/4.76 JAGUARS u44 -105
• 4/3.57 SEAHAWKS +1 -112
• 4/3.81 Jets u41½ -105

(4pm)

• 5/4.63 Buccaneers -6 -108
• 4/4.20 Saints +2½ +105
• 4.20/4 RAVENS o51 -105

randoms...

DOGS OF 6 OR MORE 37-25-1 59.7% ATS IN 2024​

ROAD TEAMS 93-79-4 54.1% ATS IN 2024​

ROAD CHALK UNDER 6 IS 32-18-2 64% ATS IN 2024​

​

lol, good thing Josh dissed her ass.


Upgrading, the bears way...

 

[mrpickem]

Jax has only managed 7 and 6 points in their L2 games, w/Mac Jones @QB. Blame the
GM who acquired Mac Jones. Lawrence is expected back today along with RB Tank Bigsby, and they’re off a bye week. They didn’t fire Doug Pederson either. As a home dog with a revenge angle after close Week 4 loss in Houston (24-20). Their D didn’t allow a score in the 2H of that game until 18 seconds remained. Lawrence’s return may not spark the offense that much, with his shoulder likely needs surgery sooner or later, WR issues (Gabe Davis on IR & Christian Kirk out for the season), and they can’t stretch the field all that much. But Bigsby and Travis Etienne offer a nice one-two punch to play a ball control game @home and they have the edge rushers to pressure Stroud effectively. Plus, Stroud has fallen off the pace after week 5 with much lower yardages and has been roughed up quite a bit with 25 sacks in L7 games. JAGS with 20-16 upset!

 

[2daBank]

I been thinking bout jags all week, Houston has protection issues so I agree with you jags should be able to get pressure think the lack of protection has stroud seeing ghost. Little scared of Nico Collins tho, he roasted them in that 1st game and most likely will again, also mixon didn’t play the 1st game, just not sure we getting enough points but then again that could be telling. Gl today bro

 

[mrpickem]

added

• 3/3.00 Ravens -3 +100

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
4/3.81 Commanders -5½ -105
3/2.86 Commanders u44½ -105
3/2.86 Falcons +1 -105
5/4.76 FALCONS u47½ -105
5/4.59 STEELERS +3 -109
3/2.86 Bengals u46½ -105
6/6.30 Patriots +2½ +105
4/3.81 Patriots u42½ -105
4.64/4 JAGUARS +4 -116
5/4.76 JAGUARS u44 -105
4/3.57 SEAHAWKS +1 -112
4/3.81 Jets u41½ -105
5/4.63 Buccaneers -6 -108
4/4.20 Saints +2½ +105
4.20/4 RAVENS o51 -105
3/3.00 Ravens -3 +100

SEASON [140-158 -93.11u]
WEEK 13 [11-13 -10.76u]
LAST [7-9 -1.41u]

MONDAY​

• 8/7.41 Broncos -6 -108
• 4/3.81 Broncos u42 -105

Had a great day going, until dropping last 5 straight.