mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| Week 11 - [8-15 -18.72u] Season - [85-108 -40.36u] | |
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Week 12
- Thread starter mrpickem
- Start date
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| THURSDAY - [5-1 +10.56u] | |
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Last edited:
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Would love to play Keenan Allen over receptions and yardage and maybe D.Henry over rush yards too, but they aren't posted yet at my book(s).
It may be time to get a draftkings account
ondering:
@erin__margaret
It may be time to get a draftkings account
ondering:@erin__margaret
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| Well, BAS finally added some more props... | |
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Boy is this an amazing spot for Allen. Since week 2 (when Herbert took over) and Allen plays the full game, he averages 12 targets a game, and has only 1 game with fewer than 7 catches. Bills are middle of the pack in pass defense in DVOA, and the Chargers have increased their passing % in recent weeks. I also know the Chargers will not stop the Bills, and the Chargers will be throwing all game playing catch up. These props should both hit with ease.
Wanted Henry over the yards but still not posted, dropped a small piece on scoring a TD as I think Tenny scores at least 3 times and Derrick's bound to get one. :cowboy:
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
one more prop...
5645 N.Chubb rushing yards Over 84½ -125
3/2.4
Jags are giving up 129.1 rushing yards per game (9th worse). Chubb has ran for over 100 yards in 4 out of 6 games he has played this season including his last 2 since returning from injury. Not only over but well over. Plus, the Browns should be up big most of the game and that makes it so Nick gets more carries as they look to run out the clock and make the game quick. I think Nick easily runs for around 100 so 85 yards should be a walk in the park here in J-ville where the weather is great with small chance of light rain at worse.
5645 N.Chubb rushing yards Over 84½ -125
3/2.4
Jags are giving up 129.1 rushing yards per game (9th worse). Chubb has ran for over 100 yards in 4 out of 6 games he has played this season including his last 2 since returning from injury. Not only over but well over. Plus, the Browns should be up big most of the game and that makes it so Nick gets more carries as they look to run out the clock and make the game quick. I think Nick easily runs for around 100 so 85 yards should be a walk in the park here in J-ville where the weather is great with small chance of light rain at worse.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| SUNDAY - [9-10 -5.5u] WEEK 12 - [14-11 +5.05u] | |
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Plus I still have under pending from yesterday
The SEA defense has finally seemed to find a little rhythm w/addition of DE Carlos Dunlap. Even though they still ranks near the bottom in most stats, the D has only given up 44 points against two tough divisional foes in Zona and the Rams. It'll help even more that they are getting back a couple starters from injury. They will finally get RB Chris Carson back, who was sorely missed. After ranking second in the NFL, averaging 5.3 yards per carry, the Seahawks dropped to 4.04 yards per carry in the span without Carson—good for 20th in the league. He will definitely help to take away attention from Russ, and it could get ugly fast. The Eagles have been the definition of a hot mess express. Wentz leads the NFL with 14 INTS and 18 total turnovers. Philly also has some key injuries to its offensive line, have failed to cover 5 straight vs Seattle at home and are not good as home dog: 4-11 SU / 3-12 ATS in L15.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| adding a couple more... | |
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- Wilson over 27½ yards rushing ...Russ has hit this mark 6 times this year. The o-line is struggling and he has had to scramble and make plays with his legs all year. Philly has been getting good QB pressure this year so expect that to continue. Missed tackles have been a big issue for the Eagles this year and they have given up serious numbers to mobile QBs this year. Daniel Jones (64 and 92) Lamar Jackson (108). Russ has been turning the ball over more lately and should be looking to slow that trend by keeping the ball more and running when the play isnt there. Pete Carroll has also alluded to the end of the “let russ cook” era in an interview so expect the run game on display with even a few designed QB runs. I also like Chris Carson over yardage but I dont with the depleted SEA o-line going up against an tough Eagles run defense...plus 1st game back for Carson. I'll take my chances with Wilson.
- Wentz throws an INT -160 ...Wentz plays kinda like Bret Farve, but without the excitement or touchdowns. I'm pretty damn sure there's no way he's getting benched tonight without at least one pick.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
fwiw, over the last 10 years, SEA is the best prime time(Monday, Thurs or Sunday night) team against the spread and it's not even close.
SEA is 29-7-1 SU and 26-9-2 ATS or 74.3%!!! The number 2 team over that stretch is KC at 21-13-2 ATS or 61.8%...not even close. Eagle are 25-19 SU but only 22-22 ATS in same time frame
SEA is 29-7-1 SU and 26-9-2 ATS or 74.3%!!! The number 2 team over that stretch is KC at 21-13-2 ATS or 61.8%...not even close. Eagle are 25-19 SU but only 22-22 ATS in same time frame
wiseplayer
Pretty much a regular
This thread is insane
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| MONDAY - [3-2 +0.7u] WEEK 12 - [17-13 +5.76u] | |
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Really not understanding the Big Ben 1.5 TDs line. With Conner out, they won’t lean on Snell too much, so I think it points to a pass-heavy game. pit running game is already pretty low key with Conner, so I don’t expect Snell to do much...maybe 75 yards, on the high end. Ben probably throws 2-3 TDs with relative ease.
Ravens COVID-19 list
QB: Lamar Jackson
RBs: Mark Ingram, JK Dobbins, Patrick Ricard (FB)
WR: Willie Snead
TE: Mark Andrews
O-line: Patrick Mekari, Matt Skura, Will Holden
D-line: Calais Campbell, Justin Madubuike
LBs: Matthew Judon, Parnell McPhee, Jihad Ward
CBs: Terrell Bonds (IR)
Long snapper: Morgan Cox
