Week 12

TreyDawg

Pretty much a regular
Overall YTD: -21.263u

Sides/ML: 13-26 (33%) -13.26u
Totals: 6-7 (46%) +1.15u
ML Parlays: 4-11 (26%) -4.303u
RR Parlays:
Teasers: 3-9 (25%) -4.10u
Degen Longshots: 0-3 (0%) -0.75u

Fade and get paaiiiiid!!! :tiphat:


Sides
Raiders +7 (1.575/1.5)
Raiders ML +300 (.5/1.5)
Browns +3 (1.575/1.5)

Browns ML +140 (1/1.4)

Texans ML -123 (1.845/1.5)
Bucs +5.5 (1.65/1.5)
Bucs ML +205 (1/2.05)

Rams +4.5 (1.65/1.5)
Rams ML +195 (1/1.95)
Cardinals +7.5 (1.725/1.5)
Cardinals ML +270 (1/2.7)
Live: Dolphins pk +150 (1.5/2.25)


Totals:

Dolphins/Broncos u47.5 (1.65/1.5)
Cardinals/Seahawks u42 (1.65/1.5)
Jags/Colts o50 (1.65/1.5)

Ravens/Saints o50.5 (1.65/1.5)

Parlays:
Raiders +7/Raiders&Chiefs u42.5 (.5/1.361)
Pats ML -325/Packers ML -475/49ers ML -460 (1.5/1.391)
Cowboys ML/Broncos ML (1.5/1.512)


Teasers:

2T 7pt: Packers -.5/49ers -2 (6.5/5.0)
2T 7.5 pt: Bengals +10/49ers -2 (1.5/1)

2T 7.5 pt: Titans +18.5/49ers -2 (1.5/1)
2T 7.5 pt: Bears +3/49ers -2 (1.5/1)
2T 7.5 pt:Falcons +4.5/49ers -2 (1.5/1)
2T 7.5 pt: Packers pk/49ers -2 (1.5/1)
2T 7.5 pt: Pats pk/49ers -2 (1.5/1)

2T 7.5 pt: Cardinals +14.5/49ers -2 (1.5/1)
2T 7.5 pt: Broncos +1/49ers -2 (1.5/1)
2T 7.5 pt: Colts -5.5/49ers -2 (1.5/1)
4T 13pt: Jags +26.5/Titans +25/Lions +20/Bengals +15.5 (1.3/1)

4T 13pt: Colts -.5/49ers +4/Broncos +6.5/Cowboys +9 (1.95/1.5)
4T 13pt: Browns +16/Bucs +17/Cardinals +20/Rams +18.5 (1.3/1)

Will have more :hang:
 
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Adds:

Browns +3 (1.575/1.5)
Browns ML +140 (1/1.4)
Texans ML -123 (1.845/1.5)
Bucs +5.5 (1.65/1.5)
Bucs ML +205 (1/2.05)
Rams +4.5 (1.65/1.5)
Rams ML +195 (1/1.95)
 
Thoughts on the Bucs? Pretty weak secondary and the Bears obviously have a decent Offense when Cutler isn't sucking ass every other quarter, just wondering the angle....
 
Thoughts on the Bucs? Pretty weak secondary and the Bears obviously have a decent Offense when Cutler isn't sucking ass every other quarter, just wondering the angle....

Take this with a grain of salt as I've sucked ass in the NFL so far this year. Lovie returning to Chicago could provide a little emotional lift and his familiarity with some of Da Bears might have an impact in the game plan. Shitty weather prolly leads to more Forte and Lovie knows it maybe he'll game plan to contain the ground game. They're 13th in the league vs the run so they may be able to at least slow it down if nothing else. Bears D is bad and McCown should be motivated coming back to the team that cut him loose after a pretty good showing in Cutler's absence last year. VJax and Evans will be a tough matchup as Evans is playing much better of late. Bucs can get to the QB and I wouldn't trust my money with Cutler at this point without pressure much less with it. If the Bucs an get some pressure and limit the run given the iffy weather I think they can move the ball on the Bears and keep it close with maybe a chance to win late in what would be an emotional one for Lovie. Bucs 4-1 against the number on the road and the Bears 1-3 ats at home (and haven't been all that good ats at home the past couple of years). Bears the more talented team for sure and should win this one but they know it and that could always be a problem when you've got a short week with their game on Turkey Day against the Leo's upcoming. I'll take a chance with the Bucs playing hard for Lovie and a motivated McCown throwing to those big receivers. Especially with the Turkey Day game on deck for Da Bears.

GL today Egg :cheers3:
 
Adds:

Cardinals +7.5 (1.725/1.5)
Cardinals ML +270 (1/2.7)

Dolphins/Broncos u47.5 (1.65/1.5)
Cardinals/Seahawks u42 (1.65/1.5)
Jags/Colts o50 (1.65/1.5)
Ravens/Saints o50.5 (1.65/1.5)

Cowboys ML/Broncos ML (1.5/1.512)
 
Teaser Adds:

2T 7pt: 49ers -2/Packers -.5 (7.0/5.0)
4T 13pt: Jags +26.5/Titans +25/Lions +20/Bengals +15.5 (1.3/1)
4T 13pt: Colts -.5/49ers +4/Broncos +6.5/Cowboys +9 (1.9/1.5)
4T 13pt: Browns +16/Bucs +17/Cardinals +20/Rams +18.5 (1.3/1)
 
Just had a bunch written up on this SF/Was game but it was lost. Ugh....

So in short I don't see this one being very competitive. Don't like laying this many with Kap but he should do enough against the terrible Wash D. SF D top 5 in the league and is a total mismatch against the supposed Wash O. No Trent Williams making matters worse (if that's possible) so RG will be on the run and that never ends well. So may lay the pts smallish and tie the 9ers on the back end of some 2T teasers. Still working on those...

So all that being said, you should go bet the Skins :rofl:
 
All these 1.5/1

2T 7.5 pt: Bengals +10/49ers -2
2T 7.5 pt: Titans +18.5/49ers -2
2T 7.5 pt: Bears +3/49ers -2
2T 7.5 pt: Falcons +4.5/49ers -2
2T 7.5 pt: Packers pk/49ers -2
2T 7.5 pt: Pats pk/49ers -2
2T 7.5 pt: Cardinals +14.5/49ers -2
2T 7.5 pt: Broncos +1/49ers -2
2T 7.5 pt: Colts -5.5/49ers -2
 
The 9ers was waaaaaay more difficult than what it should've been. That'll take years off your life. Holy fucking shit :cheers3:
 
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