Week 12 NFL

[smh212]

YTD: 24-18-1 +7.38

2-1 last week, breaking the streak. MAC charts below. Denver is responsible for 4 losses by themselves.


MAC Plays begin Week 6 in the NFL:

Mac Fades
Week 6: KC (+41) Play on PITTSBURGH +4 – W (SU)
Week 7: NO(+61.5) Play on GREEN BAY +4 – L
Week 8: NO (+66.5) Play on CHICAGO +10 - W
Week 8: HOU (+50.5) Play on SEAHAWKS – 6 –L
Week 9: PHI (+44.5) Play on DENVER +7 -L
Week 9: NO (+40.5) Play on TB +7 – L
Week 10: LAR (+66) Play on Hou +13 -L
Week 10: JAX (+50.5) Play on LAC +5 – W
Week 11: LAR (+89.5) Play on MIN -2 - W
Week 11: NO (+53.5) Play on WAS +9 - W


MAC Play On
Week 6: (-50) ARIZONA +2.5 – W (SU)
Week 7: (-43) OAKLAND +3 – W (SU)
Week 7: (-42) CLEVELAND +5.5 W
Week 8: (-46) DENVER +7 L
Week 8: (-44) ATLANTA -6 L
Week 8: (-45) INDY +10 W
Week 9: (-47) ARIZONA -2.5 – W
Week 9: (-49) DENVER +7 – L (Play on / Fade)
Week 10: (-72.5) DENVER +7.5 - L
Week 11: (-71) DENVER -2.5 - L

MAC Week 12:

PLAY ON
Week 12: (-56.5) BUFFALO +9.5
Week 12: (-54.4) MIAMI +17
Week 12: (-55) DENVER +4.5

PLAY AGAINST

Week 12: BALT (+55) - PLAY ON HOUSTON +7
Week 12: LAC (+45.5) - PLAY ON DALLAS +115

 

[ksimpsc]

Smh just curious about Denver and how that all played out. Is that a scenario that the numbers on them were just off for your MAC or is that the variance of them underperforming expectations? Happy Thanksgiving BOL this week.

 

[smh212]

Updated the play on and play against for week 12.

Ksimpsc: The oddsmakers have been way off on Denver. The MAC has been pretty accurate over the past 3.5 years w/ regards to predicting market corrections. Denver is the single largest outlier in the data set. I honestly don't know what the hell to do with them. They have set the bar for MAC futility.

 

[smh212]

11/23/17

COWGIRLS +115 (1.25)
My line: PK

MAC play on Dallas. Pinnacle opened this one at Dallas -3.5, +111. Game was quickly corrected, but I believe we have an over-correction. I believe the right price is PK.

LIONS +130 (1.25)
My line: PK

Minnesota very close to being a MAC plays this week (+36). Minny has covered 6 straight, outperforming the closing number by an avg of 8.75 pts (better than a TD a game).

 

[Metallica]

BOL today and Happy Thanksgiving SMH.

 

[smh212]

Thanks Metallica.

0-2 on Thanksgiving. The Cowgirls looked worse on Thursday then they did against Phila. On to the rest of the card:

DOLPHINS +17, -115 (1.25)
My line: NE -13
Dolphins are a MAC play, and trending in the right direction on the MAC chart. NE posted B2B MAC scores of 25 and 18.....public is going to like that. Matt Moore starting for Miami, probably a good thing.

49ERS +7, -115 (1.25)
My line: Sea -5.5
Situation favors 49ers. Home off a bye facing a team in Seattle, coming off short week and not healthy. 49ers gave them a fight earlier this year, and I expect the same.

BUFFALO +9.5 (1.25)
My line: KC -7

Good Luck!

 

[Lexington 125]

GL today SMH!

 

[chancedog]

BOL smh