Week 12 Football

RambleOn

The Law of Winning
Record is in the sig.

7-4 last week, hitting mostly doggies. I really don't like the card this week so I'm going to stay light.

Ohio -4 (1 unit) (WINNER)

NCState -3 (2 units)

Auburn/Tide Over 40.5 (1 unit)

Wake Forrest +2 (1 unit)

Central Michigan -4 (1 unit)



Writeups below..........:shake:
 
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Ohio -4

I'm just taking the better team here in (7-3) Ohio. Ohio has won their last 5, and covered 4 of those (only missing the last one by the hook). Power Ratings say Ohio should be laying 7 here, so I'll take the 4. Akron playing for bowl eligibility, and anything can happen in this league, so I'm keeping it small.

NCState -3 (buy)

This is NC State's year to win this thing. Both NCState and North Carolina have had rough years. However, NC State has two quality (I think) wins over Boston College and Florida State. North Carolina has had a tough schedule, but they don't have that signature win that saves their season yet. Will this be the game? They've beaten NC State for the past two years, and I think it's time for them to lose one. NC State actually covered last week against a admittedly struggling Clemson, and I think they can do it again.

Auburn/Tide Over 40.5 (1 unit)

Pretty much a tail of FADE on this one, although I had looked at it before. Tide has nothing to lose, as he said, and Auburn has a LOT to prove after last game. I see points.
 
Wake Forrest +2

Anyone have a glaring reason for me not to bet this? I loved Wake last week as 10 Pt dogs to FSU, and they won SU by 30! They have been undervalued all season, and I don't want to be sitting around next year looking at their ATS record and cursing myself for now believing in them. They just do a lot of things well, on both sides of the ball. They held FSU to like 30 yards rushing. They forced 4 interceptions. Again, they didn't turn the ball over. QB play favors Wake. ATS record favors Wake. They've won SU as a dog EVERY game this year but 1. I can't NOT bet this team, LOL.
 
No Ramble you didn't, I'm behind this week as usual. I need to hire a couple of interns. I'm hoping to get some work done tonight.
 
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Central Mighigan -4

Not sure why this line is so low. Central Michigan has covered on the road, and at home. Barring a last minute touchdown by Temple, they would have covered every single damn game this year. I guess the question is whether CMU can shut down Garret Wolfe. Well, NIU averaging 2.2 yards per rush the last 3 games is not wholly impressive, and CMU has only allowed 3.4, down from their season average of 4.4. QB play also favors CMU. Power rankings show Central Michigan as a -6.5 pt favorite, so I'll lay the -4. Throw in a little revenge, and we've got ourselves a 10 pt. victory tonight.
 
Like CM, hard to go against the Covering Machine..

Wolfe banged up, NIU QB sucks. I like CM to handle business tonight but I have read that CM RB , name slips my mind right now, is banged up with an ancle injury so he could be resting for the Ohio showdown..

Anyway, still have to side with the MAC's best team..

CM -4

GL!
 
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