Week 12 Discussion Thread

Steelers have a lifetime record of just 1-6 in Chicago. ARod’s record vs the Bears is really good but I doubt he plays this week. Reportedly a slight fracture in his wrist.
 
IDC how much you hate Rodgers Mason is a step down. I would be leaning Bears either way but might have bigger lean to over 45
 
Why isn't this line KC-4.5.

At first glance I thought KC tt over/game over might be a bomber. I'm hesitant now thinking Indy will run Taylor non stop keeping the clock moving. Then after thinking about what a dominant KC win would look like I think the D could be the one to bring Danny dimes back down to earth. KC gonna throw everything at JT

KC 1sth tt o13.5-104 money looks like a winner to me also Mahomes to come out pissed 2 straight blah weeks now back at Arrowhead would think o2 passing td-175 is a solid leg.
 
What are we gonna do with this Bengals game? Burrow really gonna play? +6.5 at FD


We playing 🐄 boys ML too right?
 
Lexington 125 said:
Why isn't this line KC-4.5.

At first glance I thought KC tt over/game over might be a bomber. I'm hesitant now thinking Indy will run Taylor non stop keeping the clock moving. Then after thinking about what a dominant KC win would look like I think the D could be the one to bring Danny dimes back down to earth. KC gonna throw everything at JT

KC 1sth tt o13.5-104 money looks like a winner to me also Mahomes to come out pissed 2 straight blah weeks now back at Arrowhead would think o2 passing td-175 is a solid leg.
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I like that Mahomes TD prop in something...

Me? I despise 13.5.

Missed XPs etc. That's just me. I mostly shy away.

KC D is the story here, though.
 
survive&advance said:
Ah i get it now, you saying Rodgers is a 'solid starter' tells me you haven't watched him this season. Not saying Rudolph is good by any means but Rodgers ain't a solid starter
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He's good enough to win with if you have a good team around him while Rudolph would struggle to beat Tennessee.
 
Anybody know why the Houston line went from +3* to +5*?

Was gonna bet the Texans but want to make sure there's nobody hurt that I'm not seeing...
 
inZane said:
Anybody know why the Houston line went from +3* to +5*?

Was gonna bet the Texans but want to make sure there's nobody hurt that I'm not seeing...
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Only thing I can see is wagers and money insanely in favor of Buffalo

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Crossing 4 is a semi-big deal but other than that 3.5-5.5 isn't a crazy move. Obviously 6/6.5/7 is always worth watching if it gets to that.
 
inZane said:
Anybody know why the Houston line went from +3* to +5*?

Was gonna bet the Texans but want to make sure there's nobody hurt that I'm not seeing...
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Not sure but typical volume closer to game time and of course Miles Davis vs Josh Allen is huge.
 
C-MAN said:
Lions off a loss the past 2 seasons have been dominating: 5-0 SU and ATS…avg margin of victory 18.4 pts.
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After getting held down I see no reason not to bet their team total and props against NYG. The number likely can't get high enough to keep me away.
 
The two issues for Detroit this year...

1. Below average OL.

2. As of today, Sam Laporta out for the year.

Laporta being out is big for this offense. Really sucks.

If we had the 2023 OL that was two quarters from probably winning a ship on this team they would be the SB favorites.

Now, this is a lost year. I think they'll make the playoffs but are not a threat to do much.

Bummer with the improvement on defense.
 
Frank Costanza said:
Another great nugget from Fuhrman on Chiefs v. Colts:
- Since 1990 there have been 14 teams at 5-5 or worse favored against a team that is playing .800 football or better.
- The 5-5 or worse team is 14-0 SU and 12-0-2 ATS
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Well guess I'll bet the Chiefs
Careful I'm a jinx with these type of trends 🫣🫣🫣🫣🫣🙃🙃🙃🤣
 
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