Sunday
Didn't have the time to properly cap this week. Small card.
MAC –Top teams >40 Bottom 10<40 mac score
RED = Did Not Cover
GREEN = Covered
GREY = Bye Week
ORANGE -= PUSHED
MAC = Margin Against Close: Metric measures how a team performed against the closing pointspread.
Negative numbers = underperformance against closing number.
Negative numbers indicate did not cover.
Positive numbers equal out-performing the closing number.
Positive indicate did cover.
Teams entering the week with a MAC of -40> AND a non-cover are 9-2 ATS
Teams entering the week with a MAC of +40> and a cover are 8-2 ATS
Week 10 candidates: MAC of -40>: SD (-49 mac L4)*. CAR (-44 mac L4). NYG (-50 mac L4). CHI ( -64 mac L4)
Week 10 candidates: MAC of +40> (listed teams should be faded): NE (+55.5 mac L4)*. PHI (+46.5 L4)
‘* Team mac score includes a bye week. NE and SD were both on bye in week 10.
Notes:
- SD was a fade candidate in week 6. Entered week 6 +53.5. Week 6: SD -7 vs Oak. Final: SD 31-28. Registered a -4. Since week 6: SD -49 mac. Weeks 1 -5 +55 mac. SD 0-4 ATS L4.
- Since week 5, NE is a +89 mac. Highest in the league YTD.
Week 11 under the radar Injury Report – Pos/Neg Impact
Atlanta at Carolina (Sunday): Panthers defensive tackle Star Lotulelei is out with an ankle injury – According to PFF Lotulelei is not the best DT on his own team (Kawann Short is +16.1). However, he is 19[SUP]th[/SUP] in the league with a 7.9 rating, and with Lotulelei out, CAR will turn to
Colin Cole the 72[SUP]nd[/SUP] ranked DT in the league with a -7 grade. Not good. NEGATIVE IMPACT
Seattle at Kansas City (Sunday): Seahawks nose tackle Brandon Mebane is out for the season after suffering a hamstring injury this past Sunday against the Giants. Mebane ranks 45[SUP]th[/SUP] at DT this year according to PFF. The bad news? Jordan Hill is 44[SUP]th[/SUP] and Kevin Williams is 46[SUP]th[/SUP]. Mebane is the topped ranked Seattle DT. The DL depth that helped define Seattle’s defense last year, is no were to be found this year.
NEGATIVE IMPACT.
