Week 11 Discussion Thread

Everyone knows how I feel bout Drinkowitz but holy shit, mizzou +7? This line makes no freaking sense, Aggies 3rd straight road game and they were freaking -1 against lsu sorry asses last week. In what freaking world is lsu 6 points better than Mizzou this year? Mizzou d is legit, I do not think Aggies gonna have a lot of success on the ground which I think will be interesting to see if Reed can carry the offense with only his arm. Mizzou 2 losses by 3 at home to bama and super close losing at Vandy by a foot. Honestly think Aggies could very well eat their 1st L here but give me the 7 all day, think this probably an under also but like the points more.
 
is Houston dropping that game the other day why they only laying -1 vs ucf Friday night? That redic game by them non withstanding they clearly been a better team than ucf. They have injury problems or something coming out the wvu game?
 
Dunno how I won’t be on cal with all those points. I mean they been kinda shit but still think they can stay within freaking 20 of ville who hasn’t really beat anyone outside the perpetually underachieving canes and havnt beaten any real team by this kind of margin.

Before seeing wake get taken apart I was thinking I be on them here. Still not a big buyer in uva, nothing against them, I don’t buy any the good looking records in acc.
 
2daBank said:
Dunno how I won’t be on cal with all those points. I mean they been kinda shit but still think they can stay within freaking 20 of ville who hasn’t really beat anyone outside the perpetually underachieving canes and havnt beaten any real team by this kind of margin.

Before seeing wake get taken apart I was thinking I be on them here. Still not a big buyer in uva, nothing against them, I don’t buy any the good looking records in acc.
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Louisville RB out too
 
I’ve enjoyed some the ucla upsets as much the next guy but I dunno bout them being favored over Nebraska? Last I checked they not ranked so rhule outta be able to win, more damning is how terrible bruins are against the run and they don’t generate much in way of pressure so think corn offense will be able to totally dictate here despite the constant struggle blocking can be for them, shouldn’t be as big a issue in this one. Keep the points I’ll take the ml. Maybe the over cause 44 feels awful freaking low when I have no doubt ucla offense will be able to run, if Nebraska does lose I don’t think it be because the offense in this one.
 
I assume Vandy tt gonna be at or close to 27, gotta like that under. Auburn hasn’t given up 27 to anyone and damn sure don’t think the offense Vandy runs gonna be the 1st. Pretty sure texas d stopped playing last week with the huge lead in 4th, can’t picture Aub d having that luxury. There a reason outside that 4th Vandy offense been trending way down in sec play, pavia a gamer but nothing about him is all that special (other than being tough and a winner) and his style simply ain’t one that scares many sec defenses.
 
As that ducks/Iowa total drops I get more freaking tempted to play the over. Someone gonna have to talk me off that ledge. Both defenses are really good but I think Iowa can score 20ish and I don’t see ducks not scoring 20+.
 
2daBank said:
Everyone knows how I feel bout Drinkowitz but holy shit, mizzou +7? This line makes no freaking sense, Aggies 3rd straight road game and they were freaking -1 against lsu sorry asses last week. In what freaking world is lsu 6 points better than Mizzou this year? Mizzou d is legit, I do not think Aggies gonna have a lot of success on the ground which I think will be interesting to see if Reed can carry the offense with only his arm. Mizzou 2 losses by 3 at home to bama and super close losing at Vandy by a foot. Honestly think Aggies could very well eat their 1st L here but give me the 7 all day, think this probably an under also but like the points more.
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Mizzou is a live dog here. This is a crazy line because of the adjustment to Mizzou's qb injury.
 
2daBank said:
Dunno how I won’t be on cal with all those points. I mean they been kinda shit but still think they can stay within freaking 20 of ville who hasn’t really beat anyone outside the perpetually underachieving canes and havnt beaten any real team by this kind of margin.

Before seeing wake get taken apart I was thinking I be on them here. Still not a big buyer in uva, nothing against them, I don’t buy any the good looking records in acc.
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C-MAN said:
Louisville RB out too
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My hard core Cards friend has a nickel on Cal, fwiw.
 
MaineEvent said:
Mizzou is a live dog here. This is a crazy line because of the adjustment to Mizzou's qb injury.
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Honestly forgot he left the Vandy game, lol. That said the kid who came in threw it pretty well I thought, now he will have had the bye to prepare and not even sure pribula gonna be out? plus I think the defense and whether or not they can run the ball gonna be a much bigger factor. Not having pribula rushing ability might hurt but im ok with whoever starts. I don’t think Aggies offense been tested vs many good defenses, outside Auburn where they wernt very effective and that was at home. Monster gm for mizzou and Aggies 3rd straight on road, def think it a spot they could drop a game. I think They gonna lose at least one between this week and at Texas to close the year .
 
Two Utes said:
I am in no way condoning that, just that he couldn't believe the open and slammed it immediately.
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Yea I’m with him it seems redic, only reason I didn’t bet it today cause it looks like 20 may pop and saw no point playing +19.5. I have no clue why it being pushed that way, I understand cal nothing special but ville has played several not special teams and couldn’t get this kind of margin.
 
BYU is due to trip as they've gotten every imaginable break so far this year. That being said, until they do trip up it would be hard not to take the points here. I'd even consider them a very live dog.
 
Two Utes said:
BYU is due to trip as they've gotten every imaginable break so far this year. That being said, until they do trip up it would be hard not to take the points here. I'd even consider them a very live dog.
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Love me some tech but i was really hoping it be lower than this.
 
2daBank said:
I’ve enjoyed some the ucla upsets as much the next guy but I dunno bout them being favored over Nebraska? Last I checked they not ranked so rhule outta be able to win, more damning is how terrible bruins are against the run and they don’t generate much in way of pressure so think corn offense will be able to totally dictate here despite the constant struggle blocking can be for them, shouldn’t be as big a issue in this one. Keep the points I’ll take the ml. Maybe the over cause 44 feels awful freaking low when I have no doubt ucla offense will be able to run, if Nebraska does lose I don’t think it be because the offense in this one.
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Assume u know Raiola broke his tibula. Im assuming he's out for rest of year.
 
lvmike32 said:
Welcome. Yeah the backup didn't look too good either. Of course that was a tough situation.
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Think I was watching WS during that game so really didn’t pay attention. That would explain the 20.5 tt, I thought they were just dying to give me money 🤣. Kinda makes it tougher for Johnson rush prop also.
 
2daBank said:
Think I was watching WS during that game so really didn’t pay attention. That would explain the 20.5 tt, I thought they were just dying to give me money 🤣. Kinda makes it tougher for Johnson rush prop also.
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Yeah they might fade without him like Baltimore did without Lamar. They're not that great with him lol
 
lvmike32 said:
Yeah they might fade without him like Baltimore did without Lamar. They're not that great with him lol
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Yea not really. Mostly cause the oline is freaking terrible and everyone can run on them. That why I did like them this week tho, terrible blocking vs a ucla d that doesn’t get to the qb or stop the run seemed like a wash at worst and I like Raioli and johnson. Without Raioli all that goes out the window tho.
 
2daBank said:
As that ducks/Iowa total drops I get more freaking tempted to play the over. Someone gonna have to talk me off that ledge. Both defenses are really good but I think Iowa can score 20ish and I don’t see ducks not scoring 20+.
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total is 40.5 now, a disgusting 24-17 gets there now lol. Oregon has some explosive players, I'll be on this over,
 
Was shocked to see Clemson favored over FSU. We're up to nine straight ATS losses in Death Valley. This should make 10.
 
austinhous said:
coming off bye tho
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Dunno wtf wrong w my brain, I woulda swore they played lsu last Saturday but then I was thinking I was pretty sure Kelly got fired after and I’ve known he was fired all last week 🤣.. so the 3rd straight on road less relevant but even with the bye it still a tough task to keep winning sec road games. Most important to me is just the fact I think Mizzou d will be the only 2nd really good d they have faced and they scored all of 16 on aub at home. Something that might help more than anything is the weather, the problem is the timing gonna be close, cold front coming thru Missouri this weekend, there a chance it gets chilly, windy, maybe little rain during game but I’m not sure on timing so not counting on it.
 
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austinhous said:
same. it is a lot to process and every little detail. that was a important bit so wanted to say something because i am trying to crack this game too
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Appreciate it bro. I havnt bet mizzou yet but I been sticking Aggies tt under 27.5 on end of Mac and nba props all week. Think it a 2:30 kick which is good cause I think later in day we get the more likely Columbia sees that cold front come thru, certainly not counting on it but figure if it does hit pre-kick I’ll be happy to be getting the team total under now. Mizzou d been pretty freaking good and while I don’t love Drinkowitz one thing bout his game plans is they not gonna give the opposing offense a lot of chances, long as it a game they gonna keep trying to run the ball and shorten it.
 
Does the Memphis line dropping have anything to do with Lewis injury? Last I saw he practiced and they think he play. I thought Tulane was tempting at 6.5 but closer it gets to 3 the more I lean Memphis.
 
twinkie13 said:
The weather is supposed to be bad and it’s a terrible spot for Oregon.
I like the dog
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Yep. I woulda been all bout the over at 41 but weather looks pretty shit. Def has me off the over but I like iowa for sure in this kind of game. Ducks offense pretty much lives off explosives in the run game and not sure anyone in the country is better limiting explosive runs than Iowa? Make conditions where they don’t have to invest extra guys to coverage and think it a recipe for ducks offense to struggle. Not sure crappy weather effects Iowa offense much? It could even help if the footing bad for ducks defenders.
 
Fuhrman was on TNR today and said he's heard that LJ Martin will be limited at best tomorrow. I love this BYU team - disciplined, well coached and executes on both sides of the ball. I especially love Bear, tremendous upside as a true freshman. But I think Tech rolls in the game to the tune of 37 - 17.
 
Frank Costanza said:
Fuhrman was on TNR today and said he's heard that LJ Martin will be limited at best tomorrow. I love this BYU team - disciplined, well coached and executes on both sides of the ball. I especially love Bear, tremendous upside as a true freshman. But I think Tech rolls in the game to the tune of 37 - 17.
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Think tech rolls too, not anything against byu I just been super high on the tech d and them all year. Still having a hard time bringing myself to lay 10 tho. Dd favs ain’t exactly my wheelhouse, mfers tend to lose outright when I like them 🤣
 
twinkie13 said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/1986902749330743460
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This shit so annoying, like they don’t know. I read he freaking practiced earlier in week and looked good. Now dunno if they playing games or he woke up not feeling so great after a practice? Seems to me if he practiced whether he sore or not he prob give it a go in a game this big. Of course dunno how limited he be or how long he could go so guess doesn’t matter.
 
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