Week 10: Strictly Fading Public Dogs
- Thread starter nbafan88
- Start date
greatcapping
Member
Is this a system you've used for a while? How's it doing this year?
piperdog188
Well-Known Member
Good stuff. TCU, Cuse, and Indiana are my three favorite plays this week.
TCU -13.5 Very similar to UNC/BC last week (trappy). Big number out there, public will load up on the road dog (looks like they will from early early %s) and TCU wins by 3 scores. Public saw a TCU team get throttled and they want to fade them. They forgot what happened last year when WVU had back to back road trips. @Texas, next week had to go to Lubbock, was favored/trappy line public loaded up on them, TT rolled. Around 3600 miles of travel in the last week for the Mounties. WVU will be gassed.
Syracuse -3. Like them for similar reasons. Public will be on Wake because "hey look they almost beat the mighty Hurricanes of course they will beat a lowly Syracuse team and you are going to give me 3 points, no brainer!" They will fail to realize that's two long back to back road trips, Syracuse is rested off a bye and will be wondering what happened when the Orange wins and covers.
Indiana -10 Minnesota just beat NW and Nebraska back to back and they are 10 point dogs to a 3-4 Indiana team? Another public dog for sure for the biggest trap of week 10.
TCU -13.5 Very similar to UNC/BC last week (trappy). Big number out there, public will load up on the road dog (looks like they will from early early %s) and TCU wins by 3 scores. Public saw a TCU team get throttled and they want to fade them. They forgot what happened last year when WVU had back to back road trips. @Texas, next week had to go to Lubbock, was favored/trappy line public loaded up on them, TT rolled. Around 3600 miles of travel in the last week for the Mounties. WVU will be gassed.
Syracuse -3. Like them for similar reasons. Public will be on Wake because "hey look they almost beat the mighty Hurricanes of course they will beat a lowly Syracuse team and you are going to give me 3 points, no brainer!" They will fail to realize that's two long back to back road trips, Syracuse is rested off a bye and will be wondering what happened when the Orange wins and covers.
Indiana -10 Minnesota just beat NW and Nebraska back to back and they are 10 point dogs to a 3-4 Indiana team? Another public dog for sure for the biggest trap of week 10.
KowboyKarl
Live. Breathe. Blue.
What was the final tally on this last week, nba?
gps_3
Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
Going off of memory, aTm and UNC covered and Rutgers did not. Think there were some more, but can't remember and haven't looked for the thread yet. I like this thread and we should continue the rest of the season
nbafan88
Pretty much a regular
these were the qualified plays... i didnt play them all and i went big on rutgers because i was expecting them to actually come out and compete...
BYU -7
Rutgers -7
A&M -17
UNC -7
Tulsa -2.5
Mich State -10
Oklahoma -8
USC -6.5
TCU -2
CSU -4
D
dilaudid8
Guest
nba bol
Elbutre88
Pretty much a regular
this makes me feel a lot better about bettin on the hoosiers. even though that defense has me spooked. GL.
nbafan88
Pretty much a regular
Brandin Byrd has played in dozens of games over the course of four seasons at North Texas — games against national powers and in-state rivals, games with some meaning early in the season and games with nothing on the line at the end of disappointing years.
None comes anywhere close to stacking up to the Mean Green’s showdown today with Rice, at least not in terms of their importance — a fact players like Byrd, a senior running back, are well aware of.
UNT is riding a three-game winning streak and can become bowl-eligible for the first time since 2004 by knocking off the Owls.
And that’s just for starters.
The game will be televised nationally on Fox Sports 1, giving the school a chance to showcase its rapidly improving program against a Texas rival.
For a team that has suffered through eight straight losing seasons, today’s game is — simply put — huge.
“This is the first time we have played in a game like this,” Byrd said. “It means a lot because we have never sniffed a bowl game.”
UNT (5-3, 3-1 Conference USA) is on the verge of doing more than just sniffing the postseason; it’s on the verge of securing one of C-USA’s six bowl slots.
That seemed like a distant goal when, after the 2010 season, Dan McCarney took over a program that hadn’t won more than three games in a season in six years.
A little more than two years of rebuilding later, UNT is right where it has dreamed of being ever since a tough era in program history began after its four-year run as Sun Belt Conference champion ended in 2004.
“The neat thing is that we are playing a game with a lot of meaning,” McCarney said. “When people told me not to take the job at North Texas and wait for this job or that one, this is exactly what I dreamed about.”
UNT has heavily promoted today’s game in the hope that a big crowd will show up on Halloween night to lend a hand. The school is selling blackout T-shirts and has posters hung up across campus.
“I feel like there will be a big crowd on Thursday with students and alumni,” UNT linebacker Zach Orr said. “Just being around campus, there is a feeling that I’ve never felt before. The whole university is really excited.”
A win tonight not only would give UNT six wins, it would keep the Mean Green in the hunt for the C-USA West Division title. Rice (6-2, 4-0) and Tulane (6-2, 4-0) are the only unbeaten teams left in the division. UNT’s only conference loss came at Tulane.
The challenge for UNT is to capitalize on what the Mean Green’s players and coaches readily acknowledge is a monumental opportunity. And they are all keenly aware of the fact that reaching that goal will be a challenge.
Rice has dropped just two games all season, falling to Texas A&M, which is 12th in the BCS standings, and Houston, which is 6-1 on the year.
“Rice is a heck of a football team,” McCarney said. “They don’t beat themselves and are smart, tough and physical. They have a good system and a hell of a coach in David Bailiff.”
Rice has been on a tear, just like UNT. The Owls have won five straight since falling to Houston and have beaten New Mexico State and UTEP by a combined score of 90-26 in their last two games.
Rice running back Charles Ross leads C-USA with an average of 116.2 rushing yards per game, while Taylor McHargue is throwing for 169.6 yards an outing.
Quarterback Derek Thompson has powered UNT during its recent run and enters today’s game off his school-record seventh 300-yard game last week in the Mean Green’s win over Southern Mississippi.
Thompson’s performance has overshadowed a solid run by UNT’s defense, which has allowed 34 points in the Mean Green’s last three games combined.
Orr has played a key part in those performances, which have helped make tonight’s game a special one for a variety of reasons for UNT.
“It seems like it was destined to happen,” Orr said. “We felt that way coming into the year — that we had a good squad that was going to play in some meaningful games. We looked at this Rice game as potentially one of the biggest since North Texas last played in a bowl game. This is our biggest game since 2004.”
None comes anywhere close to stacking up to the Mean Green’s showdown today with Rice, at least not in terms of their importance — a fact players like Byrd, a senior running back, are well aware of.
UNT is riding a three-game winning streak and can become bowl-eligible for the first time since 2004 by knocking off the Owls.
And that’s just for starters.
The game will be televised nationally on Fox Sports 1, giving the school a chance to showcase its rapidly improving program against a Texas rival.
For a team that has suffered through eight straight losing seasons, today’s game is — simply put — huge.
“This is the first time we have played in a game like this,” Byrd said. “It means a lot because we have never sniffed a bowl game.”
UNT (5-3, 3-1 Conference USA) is on the verge of doing more than just sniffing the postseason; it’s on the verge of securing one of C-USA’s six bowl slots.
That seemed like a distant goal when, after the 2010 season, Dan McCarney took over a program that hadn’t won more than three games in a season in six years.
A little more than two years of rebuilding later, UNT is right where it has dreamed of being ever since a tough era in program history began after its four-year run as Sun Belt Conference champion ended in 2004.
“The neat thing is that we are playing a game with a lot of meaning,” McCarney said. “When people told me not to take the job at North Texas and wait for this job or that one, this is exactly what I dreamed about.”
UNT has heavily promoted today’s game in the hope that a big crowd will show up on Halloween night to lend a hand. The school is selling blackout T-shirts and has posters hung up across campus.
“I feel like there will be a big crowd on Thursday with students and alumni,” UNT linebacker Zach Orr said. “Just being around campus, there is a feeling that I’ve never felt before. The whole university is really excited.”
A win tonight not only would give UNT six wins, it would keep the Mean Green in the hunt for the C-USA West Division title. Rice (6-2, 4-0) and Tulane (6-2, 4-0) are the only unbeaten teams left in the division. UNT’s only conference loss came at Tulane.
The challenge for UNT is to capitalize on what the Mean Green’s players and coaches readily acknowledge is a monumental opportunity. And they are all keenly aware of the fact that reaching that goal will be a challenge.
Rice has dropped just two games all season, falling to Texas A&M, which is 12th in the BCS standings, and Houston, which is 6-1 on the year.
“Rice is a heck of a football team,” McCarney said. “They don’t beat themselves and are smart, tough and physical. They have a good system and a hell of a coach in David Bailiff.”
Rice has been on a tear, just like UNT. The Owls have won five straight since falling to Houston and have beaten New Mexico State and UTEP by a combined score of 90-26 in their last two games.
Rice running back Charles Ross leads C-USA with an average of 116.2 rushing yards per game, while Taylor McHargue is throwing for 169.6 yards an outing.
Quarterback Derek Thompson has powered UNT during its recent run and enters today’s game off his school-record seventh 300-yard game last week in the Mean Green’s win over Southern Mississippi.
Thompson’s performance has overshadowed a solid run by UNT’s defense, which has allowed 34 points in the Mean Green’s last three games combined.
Orr has played a key part in those performances, which have helped make tonight’s game a special one for a variety of reasons for UNT.
“It seems like it was destined to happen,” Orr said. “We felt that way coming into the year — that we had a good squad that was going to play in some meaningful games. We looked at this Rice game as potentially one of the biggest since North Texas last played in a bowl game. This is our biggest game since 2004.”
nbafan88
Pretty much a regular
[TABLE="class: tableOdds"]
<tbody id="oddsBody">[TR="class: row-odd"]
[TD="class: team"] 10/31
7:30 PM
[TD="class: pct"] 60%
40%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 67%
33%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 85%
15%
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
more and more action coming in on unt
<tbody id="oddsBody">[TR="class: row-odd"]
[TD="class: team"] 10/31
7:30 PM
307 Rice
308 North Texas
[/TD]308 North Texas
[TD="class: pct"] 60%
40%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 67%
33%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 85%
15%
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
more and more action coming in on unt
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