Week 10 in the FCS

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Thursday, October 30

Matchup​	Time (ET)​	TV/Mobile​
Norfolk State at Delaware State	7:00pm	ESPNU

Friday, October 31

Matchup​	Time (ET)​	TV/Mobile​
Brown at Penn	7:00pm	ESPNU
Idaho at Northern Arizona	10:30pm	ESPN2

Saturday, November 1

Matchup​	Time (ET)​	TV/Mobile​
Wagner at Saint Francis U.	12:00pm	NEC Front Row
New Haven at Sacred Heart	12:00pm	ESPN+
LIU at CCSU	12:00pm	NEC Front Row
Towson at North Carolina A&T	12:00pm	FloSports
Georgetown at Lehigh	12:00pm	ESPN+
Columbia at Yale	12:00pm	ESPN+
Robert Morris at Stonehill	1:00pm	NEC Front Row
Lafayette at Holy Cross	1:00pm	ESPN+
Princeton at Cornell	1:00pm	ESPN+
Valparaiso at Presbyterian	1:00pm	ESPN+
Drake at Butler	1:00pm	FloSports
Davidson at Morehead State	1:00pm	ESPN+
Gardner-Webb at Tennessee Tech	1:00pm	ESPN+
Stony Brook at Maine	1:00pm	ABC7/FloSports
Merrimack at Colgate	1:00pm	ESPN+
Monmouth at Bryant	1:00pm	FloSports
Samford at Wofford	1:30pm	ESPN+
Charleston So. at Southeast Missouri	2:00pm	ESPN+
Montana State at Northern Colorado	2:00pm	Scripps/ESPN+
Marist at St. Thomas	2:00pm	FOX9+/MidcoSports+
Mercer at Furman	2:00pm	ESPN+
Morgan State at SC State	2:00pm	ESPN+
VMI at The Citadel	2:00pm	ESPN+
Fordham at Richmond	2:00pm	ESPN+
North Dakota at South Dakota	2:00pm	ESPN+
Montana at Weber State	3:00pm	Scripps/ESPN+
MVSU at Bethune-Cookman	3:00pm	SWAC TV
Southern at UAPB	3:00pm	SWAC TV
Alabama A&M at Grambling State	3:00pm	SWAC TV
Lamar at UIW	3:00pm	ESPN+
Northern Iowa at Illinois State	3:00pm	MSN/ESPN+
Alcorn State at Texas Southern	3:00pm	HBCU GO
UT Martin at Eastern Illinois	3:00pm	ESPN+
Alabama State at Prairie View A&M	3:00pm	SWAC TV
Indiana State at South Dakota State	3:00pm	ESPN+
Dartmouth at Harvard	3:00pm	ESPN+
Youngstown State at North Dakota State	3:30pm	ABC ND/ESPN+
UAlbany at William & Mary	3:30pm	MASN/FloSports
NC Central at Howard	3:30pm	ESPN+
Sacramento State at Eastern Washington	4:00pm	SWX/ESPN+
Idaho State at UC Davis	4:00pm	CW Sac/ESPN+
Dayton at San Diego	4:00pm	ESPN+
HCU at Nicholls	4:00pm	ESPN+
Western Carolina at Chattanooga	4:00pm	ESPN+
Tarleton State at Abilene Christian	4:00pm	ESPN+
North Alabama at Utah Tech	4:00pm	ESPN+
Lindenwood at Tennessee State	4:30pm	ESPN+
Southern Illinois at Murray State	5:00pm	ESPN+
Eastern Kentucky at Central Arkansas	5:00pm	ESPN+
Portland State at Cal Poly	5:00pm	ESPN+
Jackson State at Florida A&M	7:00pm	ESPN+
East Texas A&M at Southeastern La.	7:00pm	ESPN+
Northwestern State at McNeese	7:00pm	ESPN+
UTRGV at Stephen F. Austin	7:00pm	ESPN+
Austin Peay at Southern Utah	8:30pm	ESPN+

 

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Here's a good one

Team A on the road as a small favorite had 199 ttl yards (2.9) with just 30y rushing, converted 2 of 15 on 3rd down and had FIVE 3-outs in the 2H (10 punts total)
Team B at home had 345 ttl yards (5.7) with 205y rushing, converted 33.3% 3rd down and had 4 sacks and 12 TFLs. Only 5 punts but were - 3 TOs
Team A won

Any guesses?

 

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Massey

Date	Team	Standing	Scr	Pred	Pwin	Margin	Total
Sat 11.01 12:00.PM.ET	Georgetown @ Lehigh	# 86 (5-3) # 11 (8-0)	0 0	13 35	4 % 96 %	-21.5	50.5
Sat 11.01 12:00.PM.ET	Lafayette @ Holy Cross	# 51 (5-3) # 68 (1-7)	0 0	24 29	36 % 64 %	-4.5	55.5
Sat 11.01 12:00.PM.ET	Towson @ NC A&T	# 64 (3-5) # 106 (2-6)	0 0	31 23	77 % 23 %	-8.5	54.5
Sat 11.01 1:00.PM.ET	Drake @ Butler	# 56 (5-2) # 85 (5-3)	0 0	27 21	68 % 32 %	-6.5	49.5
Sat 11.01 1:00.PM.ET	Stony Brook @ Maine	# 57 (4-4) # 54 (4-4)	0 0	25 28	41 % 59 %	-3.5	54.5
Sat 11.01 1:00.PM.ET	Monmouth NJ @ Bryant	# 18 (7-1) # 93 (2-6)	0 0	41 28	77 % 23 %	-12.5	68.5
Sat 11.01 1:00.PM.ET	Davidson @ Morehead St	# 127 (1-7) # 123 (4-5)	0 0	28 34	35 % 65 %	-5.5	59.5
Sat 11.01 1:00.PM.ET	Valparaiso @ Presbyterian	# 128 (1-7) # 79 (7-1)	0 0	16 35	9 % 91 %	-18.5	53.5
Sat 11.01 1:00.PM.ET	Merrimack @ Colgate	# 77 (3-5) # 70 (3-5)	0 0	20 24	35 % 65 %	-4.5	48.5
Sat 11.01 2:00.PM.ET	Charleston So @ SE Missouri St	# 71 (3-6) # 45 (3-5)	0 0	20 31	17 % 83 %	-10.5	51.5
Sat 11.01 2:00.PM.ET	VMI @ Citadel	# 117 (1-7) # 63 (3-5)	0 0	14 31	7 % 93 %	-17.5	47.5
Sat 11.01 2:00.PM.ET	Morgan St @ S Carolina St	# 112 (3-5) # 53 (5-3)	0 0	21 38	12 % 88 %	-16.5	55.5
Sat 11.01 2:30.PM.ET	Gardner Webb @ Tennessee Tech	# 34 (5-3) # 9 (8-0)	0 0	24 38	20 % 80 %	-13.5	62.5
Sat 11.01 3:00.PM.ET	Alcorn St @ TX Southern	# 120 (2-6) # 109 (4-3)	0 0	21 27	32 % 68 %	-5.5	48.5
Sat 11.01 3:00.PM.ET	Dartmouth @ Harvard	# 24 (5-1) # 8 (6-0)	0 0	21 31	22 % 78 %	-10.5	54.5
Sat 11.01 3:00.PM.ET	Southern Univ @ Ark Pine Bluff	# 122 (1-7) # 125 (2-5)	0 0	28 24	62 % 38 %	-3.5	53.5
Sat 11.01 3:00.PM.ET	Northern Iowa @ Illinois St	# 39 (2-6) # 22 (5-3)	0 0	21 28	28 % 72 %	-6.5	50.5
Sat 11.01 3:00.PM.ET	MS Valley St @ Bethune-Cookman	# 126 (1-6) # 100 (4-4)	0 0	21 41	11 % 89 %	-19.5	58.5
Sat 11.01 3:00.PM.ET	TN Martin @ E Illinois	# 35 (3-5) # 81 (3-5)	0 0	28 17	84 % 16 %	-10.5	48.5
Sat 11.01 3:30.PM.ET	SUNY Albany @ William & Mary	# 103 (1-7) # 44 (4-4)	0 0	20 31	19 % 81 %	-10.5	54.5
Sat 11.01 4:00.PM.ET	Tarleton St @ Abilene Chr	# 3 (9-0) # 19 (4-4)	0 0	32 28	63 % 37 %	-4.5	60.5
Sat 11.01 4:00.PM.ET	Dayton @ San Diego	# 94 (6-2) # 74 (4-4)	0 0	21 28	28 % 72 %	-6.5	49.5
Sat 11.01 4:00.PM.ET	W Carolina @ Chattanooga	# 32 (5-3) # 36 (4-4)	0 0	33 35	47 % 53 %	-1.5	67.5
Sat 11.01 5:00.PM.ET	Portland St @ Cal Poly	# 90 (0-8) # 40 (3-5)	0 0	24 31	30 % 70 %	-7.5	59.5
Sat 11.01 7:00.PM.ET	Northwestern LA @ McNeese St	# 121 (1-7) # 84 (2-6)	0 0	14 35	6 % 94 %	-21.5	52.5
Sat 11.01 7:00.PM.ET	East Texas A&M @ SE Louisiana	# 88 (2-6) # 16 (6-2)	0 0	20 41	10 % 90 %	-20.5	61.5
Sat 11.01 8:00.PM.ET	Norfolk St @ Delaware St Philadelphia PA	# 119 (1-7) # 87 (5-3)	0 0	28 35	30 % 70 %	-7.5	62.5
Sat 11.01 8:30.PM.ET	Austin Peay @ Southern Utah	# 20 (5-3) # 33 (3-5)	0 0	35 34	50 % 50 %	-0.5	68.5
Sat 11.01 10:30.PM.ET	Idaho @ Northern Arizona	# 26 (3-5) # 12 (5-3)	0 0	28 27	52 % 48 %	-1.5	57.5
Sat 11.01	Alabama St @ Prairie View	# 61 (5-2) # 82 (6-2)	0 0	28 21	75 % 25 %	-7.5	49.5
Sat 11.01	CS Sacramento @ E Washington	# 27 (4-4) # 30 (4-4)	0 0	31 29	53 % 47 %	-2.5	62.5
Sat 11.01	North Alabama @ Utah Tech	# 72 (2-6) # 69 (1-7)	0 0	28 31	44 % 56 %	-2.5	56.5
Sat 11.01	E Kentucky @ Cent Arkansas	# 38 (3-5) # 50 (3-5)	0 0	24 27	45 % 55 %	-2.5	53.5
Sat 11.01	Mercer @ Furman	# 15 (6-1) # 52 (5-3)	0 0	34 21	85 % 15 %	-13.5	51.5
Sat 11.01	Alabama A&M @ Grambling	# 107 (4-4) # 105 (5-3)	0 0	29 31	47 % 53 %	-2.5	61.5
Sat 11.01	Houston Chr @ Nicholls St	# 108 (2-6) # 62 (2-6)	0 0	14 28	10 % 90 %	-14.5	45.5
Sat 11.01	Idaho St @ UC Davis	# 48 (2-6) # 7 (6-1)	0 0	24 38	20 % 80 %	-13.5	63.5
Sat 11.01	Lamar @ Incarnate Word	# 25 (7-1) # 46 (2-6)	0 0	24 31	28 % 72 %	-7.5	54.5
Sat 11.01	Indiana St @ S Dakota St	# 73 (2-6) # 2 (7-1)	0 0	7 42	0 % 100 %	-35.5	53.5
Sat 11.01	Jackson St @ Florida A&M	# 60 (5-2) # 104 (3-4)	0 0	31 23	76 % 24 %	-8.5	55.5
Sat 11.01	Marist @ St Thomas MN	# 115 (3-5) # 83 (5-3)	0 0	14 33	7 % 93 %	-19.5	49.5
Sat 11.01	NC Central @ Howard	# 55 (5-3) # 92 (4-4)	0 0	31 21	79 % 21 %	-10.5	54.5
Sat 11.01	Youngstown St @ N Dakota St	# 21 (5-3) # 1 (8-0)	0 0	14 42	4 % 96 %	-27.5	60.5
Sat 11.01	Montana St @ N Colorado	# 4 (6-2) # 58 (3-5)	0 0	38 10	99 % 1 %	-28.5	51.5
Sat 11.01	Robert Morris @ Stonehill	# 113 (2-6) # 96 (3-5)	0 0	21 24	44 % 56 %	-2.5	41.5
Sat 11.01	Wagner @ St Francis PA	# 118 (2-6) # 124 (0-7)	0 0	21 24	45 % 55 %	-2.5	44.5
Sat 11.01	Samford @ Wofford	# 101 (1-7) # 66 (2-6)	0 0	20 28	20 % 80 %	-7.5	44.5
Sat 11.01	North Dakota @ South Dakota	# 6 (6-2) # 17 (5-4)	0 0	29 24	65 % 35 %	-4.5	55.5
Sat 11.01	Lindenwood @ Tennessee St	# 67 (3-5) # 98 (2-6)	0 0	26 24	53 % 47 %	-1.5	49.5
Sat 11.01	Brown @ Penn	# 65 (3-3) # 42 (4-2)	0 0	24 31	31 % 69 %	-6.5	57.5
Sat 11.01	UTRGV @ SF Austin	# 37 (6-2) # 13 (6-2)	0 0	26 33	34 % 66 %	-6.5	59.5
Sat 11.01	LIU Post @ Central Conn	# 102 (3-5) # 78 (5-3)	0 0	21 27	31 % 69 %	-6.5	49.5
Sat 11.01	S Illinois @ Murray St	# 10 (5-3) # 110 (0-8)	0 0	42 21	91 % 9 %	-21.5	63.5
Sat 11.01	Montana @ Weber St	# 5 (8-0) # 41 (3-5)	0 0	38 26	79 % 21 %	-12.5	64.5
Sat 11.01	Princeton @ Cornell	# 59 (3-3) # 80 (2-4)	0 0	28 25	58 % 42 %	-3.5	54.5
Sat 11.01	Columbia @ Yale	# 91 (1-5) # 29 (4-2)	0 0	13 35	4 % 96 %	-21.5	45.5
Sat 11.01	Fordham @ Richmond	# 97 (1-7) # 49 (4-4)	0 0	17 35	7 % 93 %	-17.5	48.5
Sat 11.01	New Haven @ Sacred Heart	# 116 (4-4) # 75 (5-3)	0 0	17 31	13 % 87 %	-14.5	51.5

Massey Ratings - CF Games

CF,College Football,FCS, game scores, schedules, and predictions

masseyratings.com

 

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Sagarin

HOME ADVANTAGE= 4.31 4.14 4.39 4.41 4.41

FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL

7 @ Delaware State 17.67 13.92 18.40 23.54 34.23 Norfolk State 590 86% 48.39 22.03 70.42

11 @ Northern Arizona 4.00 0.99 8.25 2.52 2.99 Idaho 155 61% 31.38 29.88 61.26

12 @ Pennsylvania 10.17 7.67 11.54 12.39 14.24 Brown 292 74% 32.06 26.30 58.36

56 Tarleton State 10.05 10.92 11.01 10.48 13.15 @ Abilene Christian 288 74% 23.20 39.17 62.37

57 @ Ark.-Pine Bluff 4.55 3.52 2.88 8.62 14.23 Southern U. 164 62% 29.85 16.97 46.82

58 @ Bethune-Cookman 19.18 16.15 19.63 25.13 34.65 Miss. Valley State 675 87% 41.32 21.20 62.52

59 Monmouth-NJ 14.52 12.53 17.80 16.44 22.88 @ Bryant 442 82% 29.64 45.10 74.73

60 Drake 0.97 1.01 -0.52 3.51 9.36 @ Butler 111 53% 19.35 28.44 47.79

61 @ Cal Poly-SLO 15.60 14.31 15.91 18.76 25.53 Portland State 489 83% 39.29 13.16 52.45

62 @ Central Arkansas 6.57 5.28 6.66 8.27 11.48 Eastern Kentucky 203 67% 24.71 22.07 46.78

63 @ Central Connecticut 7.25 6.56 8.66 6.82 9.07 LIU Post 218 69% 23.55 19.87 43.41

64 @ Chattanooga 2.55 2.72 2.17 2.46 0.87 Western Carolina 133 57% 43.24 37.62 80.86

65 @ The Citadel 16.75 15.47 18.07 18.86 24.56 VMI 543 84% 30.50 9.80 40.30

66 @ Colgate 7.78 6.12 7.16 10.97 13.78 Merrimack 230 70% 26.16 16.03 42.19

67 Princeton 1.52 1.23 4.41 -0.56 -1.73 @ Cornell 118 54% 23.38 25.30 48.68

68 Tennessee-Martin 1.81 2.95 3.02 0.03 -1.58 @ Eastern Illinois 122 55% 19.85 18.94 38.79

69 Sacramento State 0.57 3.14 -0.45 -0.31 -2.01 @ Eastern Washington 107 52% 27.20 35.09 62.29

70 Jackson State 9.75 9.55 9.45 12.87 18.05 @ Florida A&M 280 74% 14.82 38.22 53.04

71 Mercer 11.21 13.59 8.36 14.69 19.03 @ Furman 323 76% 18.65 35.28 53.93

72 @ Grambling State 8.60 8.62 8.18 9.94 11.82 Alabama A&M 250 71% 37.77 28.48 66.25

73 @ Harvard 12.85 13.33 12.96 13.60 16.48 Dartmouth 378 79% 38.52 18.42 56.95

74 @ Holy Cross 2.68 4.31 1.74 1.57 -1.98 Lafayette 134 57% 30.74 27.23 57.97

75 NC Central 6.31 7.28 5.61 7.93 9.57 @ Howard 198 66% 20.12 27.91 48.03

76 @ Illinois State 12.01 10.71 13.48 13.08 16.26 Northern Iowa 349 78% 29.11 17.79 46.90

77 @ Incarnate Word 0.39 2.91 -2.39 0.23 -8.67 Lamar 104 51% 22.95 25.10 48.04

78 @ Lehigh 21.06 20.20 22.70 23.28 28.64 Georgetown 796 89% 36.28 9.07 45.35

79 @ Maine 5.49 4.73 4.95 7.14 8.85 Stony Brook 182 65% 27.07 24.20 51.26

80 @ McNeese State 13.67 13.64 12.39 17.16 19.80 Northwestern State 408 80% 35.44 17.21 52.65

81 @ Morehead State 9.92 7.86 10.53 13.15 21.37 Davidson 285 74% 38.39 25.22 63.61

82 Southern Illinois 17.79 18.67 20.24 17.97 20.47 @ Murray State 596 86% 23.63 45.77 69.41

83 @ Nicholls State 14.40 12.78 14.15 18.35 22.72 Houston Christian 437 81% 21.59 11.47 33.06

84 Towson 3.34 3.86 4.12 3.23 1.60 @ NC A&T 144 59% 22.22 32.18 54.41

85 @ North Dakota State 25.60 25.99 27.31 26.77 29.31 Youngstown State 1162 92% 46.05 17.17 63.21

86 Montana State 18.26 18.59 20.21 19.69 19.16 @ Northern Colorado 622 86% 12.92 32.74 45.66

87 Alabama State 6.75 8.31 2.20 12.32 15.30 @ Prairie View A&M 207 67% 22.08 28.00 50.09

88 @ Presbyterian College 23.20 18.71 24.82 30.82 46.38 Valparaiso 955 91% 44.08 10.25 54.34

89 @ Richmond 13.62 12.26 14.59 15.62 18.22 Fordham 406 80% 29.65 14.45 44.10

90 @ Sacred Heart 14.87 11.25 15.91 19.72 28.84 New Haven 457 82% 38.60 18.42 57.02

91 Wagner 1.03 -0.38 -0.34 5.52 13.08 @ Saint Francis-Pa. 112 53% 11.01 19.86 30.87

92 @ St. Thomas-Mn. 18.07 18.43 15.02 23.18 29.49 Marist 611 86% 33.07 12.96 46.03

93 @ San Diego 1.63 2.17 3.28 -1.39 -3.82 Dayton 120 55% 26.45 21.14 47.60

94 @ SC State 14.00 12.47 17.49 13.78 18.32 Morgan State 421 81% 39.98 20.82 60.80

95 North Dakota 10.00 10.10 5.98 17.28 25.31 @ South Dakota 287 74% 17.37 34.14 51.51

96 @ South Dakota State 28.09 28.68 32.85 26.66 26.27 Indiana State 1410 93% 43.66 12.60 56.27

97 @ SE Missouri State 10.05 10.13 9.81 11.21 10.22 Charleston Southern 288 74% 26.28 19.37 45.65

98 @ SE Louisiana 18.53 19.00 19.23 19.69 23.89 East Texas A&M 637 86% 47.56 20.93 68.49

99 @ Southern Utah 1.21 0.57 1.69 0.80 0.33 Austin Peay 114 53% 39.23 39.58 78.81

100 @ Stephen F. Austin 12.13 11.71 13.17 12.74 9.75 UTRGV 353 78% 31.92 28.49 60.41

101 @ Stonehill College 6.49 5.15 8.09 6.47 9.32 Robert Morris 202 67% 22.51 6.80 29.32

102 @ Tennessee State 0.52 0.83 -0.92 1.48 0.55 Lindenwood 106 51% 15.63 21.88 37.52

103 @ Tennessee Tech 15.70 17.18 14.46 17.47 22.91 Gardner-Webb 493 83% 49.44 26.04 75.48

104 @ Texas Southern 10.12 8.84 12.78 9.80 12.41 Alcorn State 290 74% 30.54 14.20 44.75

105 @ UC Davis 19.32 16.34 23.42 20.74 22.81 Idaho State 684 87% 36.58 27.17 63.75

106 @ Utah Tech 5.11 6.06 3.89 5.44 6.72 North Alabama 175 64% 33.27 19.56 52.83

107 Montana 13.92 13.94 15.47 15.49 18.81 @ Weber State 418 81% 26.60 44.73 71.32

108 @ William & Mary 15.39 14.43 18.02 15.36 17.46 Albany-NY 479 83% 34.02 16.38 50.39

109 @ Wofford 15.13 14.62 13.03 19.81 26.89 Samford 468 82% 27.12 2.47 29.59

110 @ Yale 23.20 22.51 21.30 29.72 39.95 Columbia 956 91% 35.27 2.59 37.85

College Football Ratings Page

 

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Reddit

10/30: Norfolk State vs. Delaware State -15.5 (O/U 58)

10/31: Brown @ Penn -6.5 (O/U 52.5)

10/31: Idaho -0.5 @ Northern Arizona (O/U 55.5)

11/1: Alabama A&M @ Grambling -5 (O/U 57)

11/1: Alabama St -10.5 @ Prairie View A&M (O/U 53.5)

11/1: UAlbany @ William & Mary -16.5 (O/U 52.5)

11/1: Alcorn State @ Texas Southern -10.5 (O/U 50)

11/1: Austin Peay -4 @ Southern Utah (O/U 60)

11/1: Charleston Southern @ SEMO -6 (O/U 52.5)

11/1: Columbia @ Yale -26.5 (O/U 48.5)

11/1: Dartmouth @ Harvard -16.5 (O/U 52.5)

11/1: Davidson @ Morehead State -10 (O/U 56)

11/1: Dayton @ San Diego -5 (O/U 52)

11/1: Drake -7.5 @ Butler (O/U 50.5)

11/1: East Texas A&M @ Southeastern -21 (O/U 58)

11/1: EKU @ Central Arkansas -2 (O/U 52.5)

11/1: Fordham @ Richmond -14 (O/U 50.5)

11/1: Gardner-Webb @ Tennessee Tech -18.5 (O/U 59.5)

11/1: Georgetown @ Lehigh -24 (O/U 51.5)

11/1: HCU @ Nicholls -12 (O/U 47.5)

11/1: Idaho State @ UC Davis -13 (O/U 59.5)

11/1: Indiana State @ South Dakota State -29 (O/U 54.5)

11/1: Jackson State -16 @ Florida A&M (O/U 54.5)

11/1: Lafayette @ Holy Cross -0.5 (O/U 53)

11/1: Lamar -4.5 @ UIW (O/U 53.5)

11/1: Lindenwood -4.5 @ Tennessee State (O/U 50.5)

11/1: LIU @ CCSU -3.5 (O/U 48.5)

11/1: Marist @ St. Thomas -15.5 (O/U 51.5)

11/1: Mercer -15.5 @ Furman (O/U 52.5)

11/1: Merrimack @ Colgate -6 (O/U 50.5)

11/1: MVSU @ Bethune-Cookman -24 (O/U 57)

11/1: Monmouth -15.5 @ Bryant (O/U 59)

11/1: Montana -21.5 @ Weber State (O/U 59.5)

11/1: Montana St -22 @ Northern Colorado (O/U 51.5)

11/1: Morgan State @ South Carolina State -20 (O/U 54)

11/1: New Haven @ Sacred Heart -17 (O/U 53.5)

11/1: North Alabama @ Utah Tech -6.5 (O/U 55.5)

11/1: NCCU -11.5 @ Howard (O/U 52.5)

11/1: North Dakota -14 @ South Dakota (O/U 53.5)

11/1: Northern Iowa @ Illinois State -9.5 (O/U 50.5)

11/1: Northwestern State @ McNeese -15.5 (O/U 52)

11/1: Portland State @ Cal Poly -19.5 (O/U 54.5)

11/1: Princeton -6 @ Cornell (O/U 53)

11/1: Robert Morris @ Stonehill -10.5 (O/U 45.5)

11/1: Sacramento St -7.5 @ East Washington (O/U 56)

11/1: Samford @ Wofford -18.5 (O/U 49.5)

11/1: Southern Illinois -24 @ Murray State (O/U 58.5)

11/1: Southern @ UAPB -1 (O/U 52.5)

11/1: Stony Brook @ Maine -1 (O/U 51.5)

11/1: Tarleton -11.5 @ Abilene Christian (O/U 56.5)

11/1: UT Martin -1 @ Eastern Illinois (O/U 50)

11/1: Towson -9.5 @ North Carolina A&T (O/U 54.5)

11/1: UTRGV @ Stephen F. Austin -5.5 (O/U 54.5)

11/1: Valparaiso @ Presbyterian -26.5 (O/U 54)

11/1: VMI @ The Citadel -20.5 (O/U 51.5)

11/1: Wagner -7.5 @ St. Francis (O/U 47.5)

11/1: Western Carolina -0.5 @ Chattanooga (O/U 60)

11/1: Youngstown St @ North Dakota State -27 (O/U 56)

/r/FCS Sportsbook - 2025

docs.google.com

 

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S&P+

Delaware State 39.5, Norfolk State 21.5

Idaho 30.1, Northern Arizona 27.3

Penn 30.6, Brown 19.9

Alabama A&M 29.9, Grambling 26.9

Alabama State 27.0, Prairie View A&M 24.3

Bethune-Cookman 38.2, MVSU 20.1

Cal Poly 37.9, Portland State 19.0

Central Arkansas 29.5, Eastern Kentucky 23.2

Central Connecticut 25.6, Long Island 12.9

Colgate 25.2, Merrimack 20.3

Dayton 28.9, San Diego 20.8

Drake 28.6, Butler 21.8

Harvard 30.8, Dartmouth 17.5

Illinois State 34.5, Northern Iowa 17.3

Jackson State 37.4, Florida A&M 18.4

Lafayette 28.1, Holy Cross 24.7

Lamar 27.5, Incarnate Word 23.3

Lehigh 37.2, Georgetown 13.6

Lindenwood 25.7, Tennessee State 24.5

McNeese State 32.0, Northwestern State 15.9

Mercer 35.1, Furman 16.7

Monmouth 41.5, Bryant 22.2

Montana 43.6, Weber State 20.0

Montana State 38.3, Northern Colorado 13.7

Morehead State 31.7, Davidson 23.1

NC Central 31.2, Howard 21.4

Nicholls State 22.1, Houston Christian 18.3

North Alabama 29.5, Utah Tech 26.6

North Dakota 32.4, South Dakota 20.2

North Dakota State 44.6, Youngstown State 14.4

Presbyterian 41.3, Valparaiso 9.4

Princeton 25.4, Cornell 23.7

Richmond 35.4, Fordham 12.8

Robert Morris 17.4, Stonehill 16.0

Sacramento State 34.9, Eastern Washington 25.8

Sacred Heart 27.5, New Haven 18.2

SC State 31.7, Morgan State 22.7

SE Missouri State 32.2, Charleston Southern 20.6

South Dakota State 43.2, Indiana State 10.2

Southeastern Louisiana 42.1, East Texas A&M 14.7

Southern Illinois 45.1, Murray State 15.5

Southern Utah 32.0, Austin Peay 31.7

St. Thomas 35.3, Marist 13.0

Stephen F. Austin 29.3, UTRGV 18.3

Stony Brook 26.1, Maine 25.9

Tarleton State 40.5, Abilene Christian 20.9

Tennessee Tech 43.0, Gardner-Webb 14.1

Texas Southern 25.5, Alcorn State 21.0

The Citadel 32.0, VMI 16.4

Towson 31.2, NC A&T 22.2

UAPB 27.7, Southern U. 22.9

UC Davis 42.1, Idaho State 20.5

UT Martin 26.3, Eastern Illinois 24.4

Wagner 21.4, Saint Francis-PA 14.7

Western Carolina 32.8, Chattanooga 30.2

William & Mary 35.4, Albany-NY 15.9

Wofford 32.3, Samford 14.1

Yale 32.8, Columbia 10.3

https://twitter.com/x/status/1982569566179115148

 

[carolinablue]

Here’s what is on my radar screen this week…

Tenn Tech ha
Morehead
Presby
St Thomas
S Dakota St
N Dakota St
SELA
B Cookman
Mercer
Monmouth

 

[s--k]

Lines involving ranked teams and Thursday, Friday are up at Fan Duel

 

[s--k]

From what I first saw to now

UC Davis was -17.5 to 13.5
Monmouth was -20.5 to 16.5
Not sure what NAU line was but I took -166 now -205

 

[s--k]

Tarleton from -21.5 to 17.5

 

[s--k]

Penn from -9.5 to 13.5

 

[s--k]

Del st from -17.5 to 20.5

 

[carolinablue]

Looking now

 

[carolinablue]

Took over 57.5 113 with Tenn Tech v GWU but limited to 127.12 ugh

 

[s--k]

I like it. Hadn’t thought of it. Still limited. I asked a couple weeks back about raising them.

 

[s--k]

I did good in all the moves except I got Brown wrong.

 

[s--k]

So looks like they are doing 4 pt jumps on sides now. A few weeks ago I noticed the default move was a 3 pt jump. They did 3 on DSU/NSU but the others were 4

 

[carolinablue]

Took Weber State +27.5 113

 

[carolinablue]

Took over 57.5 113 with Youngstown v NDSU again limited 127.12 max wager. Tried to double dip but no luck.

 

[carolinablue]

Will wait for Presby St Thomas Morehead and SELA

 

[s--k]

I wanted to go back and look on the Brown - Penn game and I pulled the trigger too soon or in error on Brown +9.5. It's not an ideal matchup for Brown, but historically it's not necessarily always a bad one. Consider vs what I'd call the big 3 in the Ivy: Harvard, Yale and Dartmouth. Brown generally doesn't compete with those teams well. Brown has won only 1 out of the last 14 vs Havard. Brown has won only 3 of the last 14 vs Yale and just 2 of the last 14 vs Dartmouth. Brown has won 5 of the last 14 vs Penn including 2 of the last 3.

The biggest thing for this Penn team vs Brown is going to be the WRs Penn has and if O'Brien plays good enough that is going to be a touch matchup.

I was on Penn last week vs Yale, and liked it quite a bit partially for some reasons I thought Yale had shown up to the Stonehill game and partially for some expectations I had for this Penn team. Watching in disbelief Penn play like shit against Yale made me realize that I had been ignorning red flags in all the Penn games up to this point.

The week prior Penn played Columbia and while they won 35-21, what I thought was a fluke, Columbia had their best offensive game of the year...21 pts when Columbia avg 10.6 in their other 5 games this year. 366y (5.2) allowed when Columbia avg 279 (4.38) in their other games. 40% 3rd down when Columbia previous avg vs everyone else is 29%. It was a different QB, I thought maybe Columbia found something on O, but then the next week the Lions reverted back to their norm or worse vs Dartmouth. So this reflects poorly on the Penn D.

I did not see the Marist - Penn game and it looks like a solid enough of a win...28-9 isn't a lot of pts for gaining 463y, in fact it's pretty inefficient. Penn had 12 penalties for 137y hmm. This showed up again last week as Penn was called for 10 penalties 110y. Yale was penalized heavily too, Penn had 7 of their 24 FDs by penalty, a very high rate.

Penn's win vs Dartmouth is a misleading final as Dartmouth led 14-3 before a comedy of errors flipped that game and Penn won by 12 despite being slightly outgained. Lehigh outgained them by 194y in Ivy week 2 and in Ivy opening week Penn barely escaped vs Stonehill needing a FG :09 to escape with the win.

Recreating all of that now, I am upset I was so bullish on Penn last week.

Brown is a bottom Ivy team and almost always is. They still have had some competitive games vs Penn. Last year Penn was -3 at Brown and won by 10. Two years ago, also on Friday night, Brown was +10.5 and won at Penn 30-26 (Penn -3 TOs). 2022 Brown was +13 and beat Penn 34-31 depsite starting QB being knocked out in the 1Q. So Brown has competed with Penn recently as DD dogs.

Brown usually brings some O to the table. First year starting QB and it has been inconsistent this year, they just passed for 471, 9.6ypa 63% 2-1 ratio on Cornell last week. A game they led 17-6 4Q but lost in OT. Princeton handled the Brown O pretty well forcing them into 4 TOs. Brown's O was MIA 1H vs Bryant, but turned in a strong 2H. Brown O was 'good enough' vs URI but that is not the reason they won that game.

Acknowledge if Penn's passing game is hitting on all cylinders this is going to be a tough game for Brown. But the Penn D and Penn running game have been pretty weak and in some categories Brown is actually the better D statistically.

So that is the case for Brown. Don't feel great on it. Penn's ceiling is higher for sure. Maybe I misread Penn one way or the other or maybe I'm overly influenced by what I saw out of them last week. I don't think the official box score stats on QB hurries are accurate and I don't know what the 'pressure rate' was by Yale last week vs Penn (box score only shows 2 hurries and I saw 2 hurries about every possession), but that Penn OL was bad last week. Brown D has 16 sacks on the year although 8 game in 1 game (Gtown).

 

[carolinablue]

I actually had Brown on my short list when I saw the 13.5 but passed because I could see a blow out happening after I crashed and burned with Penn last week. Actually if it hits 14.5 I might take it as I’m not sure Penn should be laying 2 TDs to anyone at this point, but not a fan of 13.5 in general.

 

[s--k]

I actually had Brown on my short list when I saw the 13.5 but passed because I could see a blow out happening after I crashed and burned with Penn last week. Actually if it hits 14.5 I might take it as I’m not sure Penn should be laying 2 TDs to anyone at this point, but not a fan of 13.5 in general.

I would assume it is mostly a fade of Brown off the Cornell loss, but Brown losing to Cornell is nothing new and actually the last 2 times that Brown beat Penn, they lost to Cornell that same year. I just feel bad that I lost money on Penn last week. Yale has really turned a corner on their season and Penn is not living up to what I thought they were or could be. Penn could blow them out. I would not expect this Brown team to beat them, but they were not expected to do so in '23 or '22 either and they did. If a Columbia O that had passed for just 172.8ypg in their other games could pass for 311 on Penn D I think Brown has a chance at succeeding as well in moving the ball.

 

[twinkie13]

Took over 57.5 113 with Youngstown v NDSU again limited 127.12 max wager. Tried to double dip but no luck.

I just hit it

 

[sleepy]

Limits are more like novelty stuff like who will be next Disney CEO or will play Ozzy in bopic. Amazing how FD has destroyed the FCS market in a couple of weeks. Time for these losers to step a side and let some one else give it a go.

 

[s--k]

Limits are more like novelty stuff like who will be next Disney CEO or will play Ozzy in bopic. Amazing how FD has destroyed the FCS market in a couple of weeks. Time for these losers to step a side and let some one else give it a go.

View attachment 103671

Wow that is really rough. I remember you had super low limits at BetRivers too. Now I understand the impact.

Really need some competition. What can we do about this? Obviously not something we control, but is messaging or suggesting to other books a good route? Does anyone actually care? You would think that any book would want more business, more revenue especially if it takes away from a competitor.

And I think you are right, back in September everything was normal, I think? As you have stated before, the higher juice, the limits, the way they move the lines, how they release them, it all sucks.

 

[carolinablue]

I would assume it is mostly a fade of Brown off the Cornell loss, but Brown losing to Cornell is nothing new and actually the last 2 times that Brown beat Penn, they lost to Cornell that same year. I just feel bad that I lost money on Penn last week. Yale has really turned a corner on their season and Penn is not living up to what I thought they were or could be. Penn could blow them out. I would not expect this Brown team to beat them, but they were not expected to do so in '23 or '22 either and they did. If a Columbia O that had passed for just 172.8ypg in their other games could pass for 311 on Penn D I think Brown has a chance at succeeding as well in moving the ball.

Yeah definitely makes sense as I’m not sold on Penn at all and as long as Brown doesn’t hand Penn opportunities I wouldn’t be surprised if it was a one score game either way so anything over 7.5 is solid in that scenario.

 

[carolinablue]

Limits are more like novelty stuff like who will be next Disney CEO or will play Ozzy in bopic. Amazing how FD has destroyed the FCS market in a couple of weeks. Time for these losers to step a side and let some one else give it a go.

View attachment 103671

Yeah it’s getting old fast as I only have so many options at this point given all the limit bs I had to deal with last year at various books. May just start waiting til Saturday and giving BM my money vs splitting between them and FD. Thing is the fcs limits may end up causing me to just do everything at BM not just fcs, but I know FD doesn’t care as they are getting all that casual 10 leg parlay action from randoms.

 

[s--k]

I submitted a thoughtful suggestion to DK to release FCS earlier based off of them being the first to offer NDSU-SDSU last week and the fact they are the only US book I know who will have Championship odds. I know DK in the end is not any better or some will say worse than FD, but it was worth a try especially since they had that marker game last Monday night I think it was. Got a canned response back.

 

[carolinablue]

I submitted a thoughtful suggestion to DK to release FCS earlier based off of them being the first to offer NDSU-SDSU last week and the fact they are the only US book I know who will have Championship odds. I know DK in the end is not any better or some will say worse than FD, but it was worth a try especially since they had that marker game last Monday night I think it was. Got a canned response back.

Appreciate you giving it a shot man. DK cut me off at the knees less than one year after they opened up shop here in NC and wouldn’t engage in a discussion about easing up on my limits so I haven’t used them since March Madness I think.

I would go back to Mybookie if they offered some early competition on fcs, as they took away the bonus option from me but at least didn’t limit me so at least that’s something haha

 

[sleepy]

They're always day to day

I doubt he plays again this year

 

[carolinablue]

More lines coming out now

 

[carolinablue]

Took Morehead -9.5 113 as one of these days they are gonna finally blow out a bottom feeder

 

[carolinablue]

Presby way too high for me at -31.5

 

[carolinablue]

Here are a few that just posted…home team listed

Yale -21.5 113
A&T +11.5 113
Howard +14.5 113

 

[carolinablue]

More that are now up…

CCSU -10.5 113
St Francis +6.5 113
Holy Cross +6.5 113
Cornell +3.5 113

 

[carolinablue]

more…
Butler +7.5 113
Maine +2.5 113
Stonehill -6.5 113
Presby -31.5 113

 

[carolinablue]

Nothing else besides Morehead for me so far. Hoping St Thomas Cookman and SELA are reasonable

 

[s--k]

looking now

 

[s--k]

nothing is motivating to me off the bat without a more thorough review of recent performance

 

[s--k]

Took Morehead -9.5 113 as one of these days they are gonna finally blow out a bottom feeder

best of the worst line of thinking? Davidson was competitive with San Diego last week though? Tied 7-7, 14-14, 28-28... where Morehead struggled to get past Valpo. Valpo had leads of 7-0, 13-7 and 13-10 before MH prevailed 17-13.

 

[s--k]

A lot of teams I would've liked are favored high, like Towson. They put in Kent last week and benched the tFr Indorf. Kent is a former starter going back to 2023. Credit to him for sticking around. Joke would be he isn't good enough to transfer anywhere else. Don't believe that is the case. If I were to bet Towson I would hope they close out the year with Kent at QB. He has limitations, and sure Indorf is the future, but Kent can make this offense better which hasn't performed as good as it should.

A&T is getting better. I benefitted from those kick and punt return TDs last week vs Camel, but not sure A&T was actually the better team.

But they line Towson -11.5, hard to justify laying that even though I'd rather have them than A&T

 

[carolinablue]

best of the worst line of thinking? Davidson was competitive with San Diego last week though? Tied 7-7, 14-14, 28-28... where Morehead struggled to get past Valpo. Valpo had leads of 7-0, 13-7 and 13-10 before MH prevailed 17-13.

Yep, Morehead has under performed every time they have faced a bottom feeder it seems but I think this is a case of right place right time with Davidson coming into town. I told myself I would play this at single digits so don’t want to hesitate as I think it will cross 10 sooner vs later and probably land around 12.5 or so.

 

[carolinablue]

A lot of teams I would've liked are favored high, like Towson. They put in Kent last week and benched the tFr Indorf. Kent is a former starter going back to 2023. Credit to him for sticking around. Joke would be he isn't good enough to transfer anywhere else. Don't believe that is the case. If I were to bet Towson I would hope they close out the year with Kent at QB. He has limitations, and sure Indorf is the future, but Kent can make this offense better which hasn't performed as good as it should.

A&T is getting better. I benefitted from those kick and punt return TDs last week vs Camel, but not sure A&T was actually the better team.

But they line Towson -11.5, hard to justify laying that even though I'd rather have them than A&T

Yeah was hoping for 6.5 but knew it wouldn’t happen so I passed

 

[carolinablue]

SEMO just posted at -13.5 113

 

[s--k]

I took SFU +7.5. RM was -3 at SFU last week and that game was only 17-14 mid 4Q before RM won 24-14. SFU +20y despite losing by 10. It was actually one of the better offensive games for SFU this year. 6.1ypp. SFU -2 TOs including a muffed punt which RM turned into a 3p14y TD drive. Wagner did beat Duquesne last week, and that deserves respect. Rare for Wagner to be a favorite, especially on the road by over a TD? Wagner was favored once this year and lost straight up (Marist).

 

[carolinablue]

SEMO just posted at -13.5 113

Slight lean to Charleston but would prefer a few more points

 

[s--k]

SEMO just posted at -13.5 113

Wanted SEMO but not laying that

 

[carolinablue]

Posted just now

SC State -13.5 113
Wofford-14.5 113

 

[s--k]

Tennessee Tech has outgained every opponent this year to an average of 253ypg. SEMO outgained them 401-299. YPP same. But that is a lot of offense production to put up on TTU.