Week 1

[mrpickem]

NFL 2023​

• 4/3.74 CHIEFS -4½ -107
• 3/2.86 1H-Chiefs -3 -105

​

• Hard to believe DET finished last season on an 8-2 SU run(9-1 ATS) and KC also finished on a 9-1 run but only 4-5-1 ATS. In week 1 teams that didn't make the playoffs the previous season vs teams that won at least one playoff game have cover 60% (18-12) over last 10 years, 4-1-1 since 2020. Road teams in same situation are 8-4 ATS over 10 years but only 3-2 since '19. Mahomes has never thrown a pick on opening day and even without Jones and likely Kelce, I'll have to back KC as a potential gift from the football gods...since it really looks to good to be true.

​

 

[bones]

NFL 2023​

• 4/3.74 CHIEFS -4½ -107
• 3/2.86 1H-Chiefs -3 -105

View attachment 77383​

• Hard to believe DET finished last season on an 8-2 SU run(9-1 ATS) and KC also finished on a 9-1 run but only 4-5-1 ATS. In week 1 teams that didn't make the playoffs the previous season vs teams that won at least one playoff game have cover 60% (18-12) over last 10 years, 4-1-1 since 2020. Road teams in same situation are 8-4 ATS over 10 years but only 3-2 since '19. Mahomes has never thrown a pick on opening day and even without Jones and likely Kelce, I'll have to back KC as a potential gift from the football gods...since it really looks to good to be true.

​

Holy smokes Batman! good luck

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck Mista

 

[mrpickem]

NFL 2023

THURSDAY
4/3.74 CHIEFS -4½ -107
3/2.86 1H-Chiefs -3 -105


WEEK 1 [1-1 -1.14u]
SUNDAY

• 3/2.86 PANTHERS +3½ -105
• 4/3.74 FALCONS u40 -107
• 3/2.88 TEXANS +9 -104
• 4/3.81 RAVENS u43½ -105
• 4/3.85 BROWNS +1½ -104
• 3/2.86 COLTS +4½ -105
• 4/3.64 COLTS u46½ -110
• 3/2.78 BUCS +5 -108
• 5/5.05 TITANS +2½ +101
• 3/2.83 SAINTS u42 -106
• 3/2.86 COMMANDERS -7 -105
• 5/4.72 COMMANDERS u38 -106

 

[mrpickem]

Road dogs of less than 7 in the first 3 weeks have cashed over 60% last 7 years. 14-6-1 last 21. :bouncing:

 

[mrpickem]

one more game at 1....

• 3/2.86 49ers -1 -105
• 3/2.86 Steelers u1½ -105

 

[mrpickem]

afternoon games

• 5/4.76 PACKERS +1 -105
• 4/3.70 BEARS u41 -108
• 5/4.67 RAIDERS +3 -107
• 4/3.92 BRONCOS u43 -102
• 4/3.81 Dolphins +3 -105
• 3/3.00 EAGLES -3½ +100
• 3/2.91 SEAHAWKS -4½ -103
• 5/4.35 Giants +3½ -115

 

[mrpickem]

NFL 2023

THURSDAY
4/3.74 CHIEFS -4½ -107
3/2.86 1H-Chiefs -3 -105
SUNDAY
3/2.86 PANTHERS +3½ -105
4/3.74 FALCONS u40 -107
3/2.88 TEXANS +9 -104
4/3.81 RAVENS u43½ -105
4/3.85 BROWNS +1½ -104
3/2.86 COLTS +4½ -105
4/3.64 COLTS u46½ -110
3/2.78 BUCS +5 -108
5/5.05 TITANS +2½ +101
3/2.83 SAINTS u42 -106
3/2.86 COMMANDERS -7 -105
5/4.72 COMMANDERS u38 -106
3/2.86 49ers -1 -105
3/2.86 Steelers u41½ -105
5/4.76 PACKERS +1 -105
4/3.70 BEARS u41 -108
5/4.67 RAIDERS +3 -107
4/3.92 BRONCOS u43 -102
4/3.81 Dolphins +3 -105
3/3.00 EAGLES -3½ +100
3/2.91 SEAHAWKS -4½ -103
5/4.35 Giants +3½ -115

WEEK 1 [15-7 +24.42u]
LAST [14-6 +25.66u]

MONDAY

• 3/2.88 BILLS -2 -104

Nice day for me yesterday as tight dogs and unders prevailed. Week 1 home teams were only 3-9 SU and 2-10 ATS in games lined at 4 or less yesterday! Will the Jets follow that trend and shit the bed tonight in their big coming out party at MetLife?

• What a 911 matchup to finish Week 1. Bills off 4 straight playoff trips (5 of 6 under McDermott). The Bills ended last reg season on a 7 game win streak but put up a stinker vs Cincy in Divisionals. Jets finished on a 6 game losing streak. The Jets have lost 10+ games in 6 of last 7 season! But this is a new era with future HOF'er Aaron Rogers along with friend/OC Nathaniel Hackett coming over. Great scenario for a huge game in NY. I do believe the Jets will be much improved this season, but maybe not quite yet, at least not enough to get by the Bills tonight.

 

[twinkie13]

afternoon games

• 5/4.76 PACKERS +1 -105
• 4/3.70 BEARS u41 -108
• 5/4.67 RAIDERS +3 -107
• 4/3.92 BRONCOS u43 -102
• 4/3.81 Dolphins +3 -105
• 3/3.00 EAGLES -3½ +100
• 3/2.91 SEAHAWKS -4½ -103
• 5/4.35 Giants +3½ -115

Looks like some good winners there. I trust your internet skills more than any here. That’s absolutely insane that that is a real GB cheerleader. That’s real right?

 

[mrpickem]

Looks like some good winners there. I trust your internet skills more than any here. That’s absolutely insane that that is a real GB cheerleader. That’s real right?

As far as I know it is, but as good as AI has gotten, you never know for sure :shake7:

 

[inZane]

Good luck tonight Mr. P, looks like there's a good chance for rain at kickoff.

 

[mrpickem]

Good luck tonight Mr. P, looks like there's a good chance for rain at kickoff.

Yeah I was considering the under as well but after its down to 45 I probably wont it. Actually don't much like the game as a play, but it should be a fun watch. Minimal action for me.
:cheers3:

 

[splinter65]

Solid week so far, Mr P. Loves your NFL picks (and pics)