Week 1

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
OK, they are back, the absolute hardest league to profit on (since I gave up the association), but the one you can't resist since the NFL is the most popular bet in the world...or at least the USA.

Thursday
  • 3/2.86 Rams +2½ -105
  • 2/1.90 Rams u52 -105
  • 2/2.36 Rams +118
  • 2/1.90 1H Rams u25½ -105

Looking at the line, you would think the game's in Buffalo...newsflash, it is not. Rams open at home as reigning champs catching 2½ even with most of its star talent back. Most folks know the Rams are 6-0 in Week 1 under Sean McVay and were 3-0 ATS as DOGS last year. Additionally, Super Bowl champs are 13-6-1 ATS in week one(17-3 SU). Allen may have a great season, but this defense will be one of the toughest he faces. The wrong team is favored tonight imho, and even though most of us would want action in the kickoff game anyways, I honestly see considerable value with the Rams.

Since 2000 and team that won at least one playoff game the previous season and is a home dog is 5-0 SU and ATS!
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But but but, everyone has already crowned the bills, we don’t even need to play the season, just give them the trophy!

Go rams!
 
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NFL
LAST [2-2 -1.2u]


SUNDAY
  • 3/2.73 Jets +7 -110
  • 3/2.86 Panthers u42 -105
  • 3/2.86 Browns +1 -105
  • 3/2.86 Bears +6½ -105
  • 3/2.94 BEARS u40-102
  • 3/2.88 LIONS +5½-104
  • 3/2.86 JAGUARS +3-105
  • 3/2.86 Giants +5½ -105






ROAD DOGS OF LESS THAN 4 HAVE WON SU 55.8% AND COVERED 64.3% OF ALL GAMES IN THE FIRST 6 WEEKS LAST 7 YEARS
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sUNDAY NIGHT
  • 3/2.86 Cowboys +2½ -105
  • 2.10/2 Cowboys u50 -105

Both teams are dealing with injuries to the o-line and WR. Brady doesn't like pressure up the middle and that's where his line is hurting. The Boys D has performed much better at home in recent years and this is a showcase game for them in prime time...I gotta think they get up and most likely win SU. I took the small plus number and under based on injuries on offense. Started with a decent 7-4 day earlier(+7.26u), so let's fucking go!

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NFL
LAST [8-5 +6.26u]
YEAR [10-7 +5.06U]

MONDAY
  • 3/2.61 Seahawks +7 -115

DEN HAS BEEN ONE OF THE WORSE PRIME-TIME TEAMS OVER THE LAST 7 YEARS GOING 6-14 SU AND 6-12-2 ATS WHILE SEA IS 18-8-1 SU & 17-7-3 ATS. OF COURSE, WE WILL BEGIN THE RUSSELL WILSON ERA IN DEN TONIGHT. SEA IS LIKELY A LOWER-TIER TEAM THIS SEASON, BUT EARLY ON THEY STILL HAVE HOPE AND WILL BE UP TO SPOIL RUSS'S DEBUT.
EVERYONE'S ON DEN, SO JUST REMEMBER, THERE ARE NO GIFTS FROM THE BOOK
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