Week 1 Plays

[longshotsws]

I seldom post since it's impractical for me to wager most of the time but will be able to this weekend.

I have an affinity to underdogs and unders. And while week 0's sample size was small, it does seem like the new rules changes aid both (more time the clock is moving and deeper into the play clock between snaps).

Here are my picks:

Under 48.5 - Georgia / Clemson. I think it's best to wait closer to the game as I doubt Etienne will be suspended for this game and the line may move up a bit.
Under 54.5 - Miami FL / Florida. I lean to Florida as a side but like the under better...
Charlotte +9. I wouldn't be surprised if they win outright.
Nebraska -27. Rare chalk bet for me but I think this is a blowout

I suck at in game bets... I blame the beers but may dip my toes in a bit as well

 

[Inspekdah]

GL

 

[Carolina Guy]

I seldom post since it's impractical for me to wager most of the time but will be able to this weekend.

I have an affinity to underdogs and unders. And while week 0's sample size was small, it does seem like the new rules changes aid both (more time the clock is moving and deeper into the play clock between snaps).

Here are my picks:

Under 48.5 - Georgia / Clemson. I think it's best to wait closer to the game as I doubt Etienne will be suspended for this game and the line may move up a bit.
Under 54.5 - Miami FL / Florida. I lean to Florida as a side but like the under better...
Charlotte +9. I wouldn't be surprised if they win outright.
Nebraska -27. Rare chalk bet for me but I think this is a blowout

I suck at in game bets... I blame the beers but may dip my toes in a bit as well

i def blame the beers for my in-game wagers. BOL this weekend!

 

[B.A.R.]

Thanks for posting and GL this weekend!

 

[HUNT]

GL sir

 

[longshotsws]

2-2 on the week; -0.2 units.

I had an enjoyable day watching all the games at the sportsbook. I felt pretty smug on the Georgia under when it was 6-0 at HT and held on for dear life during Clemson’s Clemsoning.

Ancedotally, of the three primetime games, the majority of the crowd seemed to win all three (Georgia, Miami and Notre Dame). I have no idea what the true handle was on those but those three sides seemed most popular where I was.

I find the BC / FSU line polarizing… on one hand, -16 seems like a deal based on sheer talent mismatch, and on the other hand, a much better FSU team barely bested BC last year. No play for me, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the actual result is nowhere near the line.

Initial week 2 impressions:

I’m surprised GT opened on the short side of -3… can lightning strike twice and they cover b2b as a favorite? Given the strength of their run game and Syracuse’s loss of their best LB, I tend to think so.

NCST +7.5 seems like value. Their game plan to sleep walk through WCU didn’t work out. But this seems like two (sic) many points. VT shitting the bed to Vandy may play in to perception in another SEC / ACC matchup.

Miami’s schedule is interesting. Four OOC games followed by eight ACC games. There may be a spot to fade them at the right price this week or next.

 

[longshotsws]

Well I was right about the BC / FSU result being nowhere near the line… just wasn’t sure the direction. Sort of like buying a put and a call as an options straddle, hoping something major happens but just not sure the direction.

Clemson / App St under 52.5 is on my radar.

 

[longshotsws]

Short card for me today…

Florida A&M +44.5 over Miami. I tend to stay away from lopsided matchups, but I like this play. My rationale that recent Miami teams tended to play down opponents and Florida A&M can actually score points. I’m guessing 48-13.

Clemson / App At under 52.5. Simply put, I like Clemson’s defense and don’t like their offense. Trying not to overthink this and believe Clemson will establish solid TOP. I’m guessing something like 30-13.

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Great thoughts. BOL amigo

 

[B.A.R.]

Short card for me today…

Florida A&M +44.5 over Miami. I tend to stay away from lopsided matchups, but I like this play. My rationale that recent Miami teams tended to play down opponents and Florida A&M can actually score points. I’m guessing 48-13.

Clemson / App At under 52.5. Simply put, I like Clemson’s defense and don’t like their offense. Trying not to overthink this and believe Clemson will establish solid TOP. I’m guessing something like 30-13.

GL today