WEEK 1 PICKS

Andy

Pretty much a regular
Season record: 0-0

all my bets come from one of 5 places...BAS, Heritage, BOL, Looselines, and a local. Generally will post widely available lines though the local sometimes adds a half point off of consensus.

JAX -3@-115
PITT +7
CAROLINA -3.5@-105


I generally back teams with defenses and so-so offenses, like to look at individual matchups, like how well does the defense stop qbs, rbs, wrs, tes and does the opposing team have the talent to take advantage of a good matchup or at least compete in a bad one.
The steelers game is way too many points for a team with that level of defense. I'll be shocked if the bills score a bunch. Pitt should be able to run it a bit. Jax is a fade of that garbage houston team but lawrence will need to show he is for real for this to hit. if he comes out slow this will be a game. Texas just awful defensively though. I would expect houston to score some, run it, slow it down, jax def isn't great. Its an interesting game. Carolina offense clearly better esp at skill positions, neither team plays much def though wilson in his first start on road here. hopefully the hook doesnt bite me.
 
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