CollegeKingRex
CTG Regular
Sup fellas... Got a few more today after a decent Monday... Didn't like much yesterday. Back to the grindstone. Action starts at 12:05 Eastern and I should have about a 13-hour sweat. Think I'll go home about noon from work and sweat it all from there with a beer in hand. Hell, I deserve it...
Col/Pitt UNDER 8.5 -120. Also going UNDER 8 -105 for half of this bet; just happened to see it at Pinnacle after I had bet it with Spiro. Francis had a rocky go of it last time but he got good run support. Snell also struggled last time but very rarely does he have two bad outings in a row. I expect a bounce-back today and a low-scoring affair on getaway day.
Reds plus 151. Had them last time, as well, as Arroyo has turned things around in his last three starts. Now they get a 10-2 starter against Smoltz, who hasn't been setting the world on fire as of late. In fact, he actually is coming off a mini stint on the DL, as his last go was on July 3. Price is just too high.
Lean to Washington because Bergmann is better than he showed the last time. Expect the plus-money to go away sometime later this morning - wise guys would only be on WASH.
Giants plus 160. Frisco is going to be without Bonds again today and last night was the first time in 26 games (!) I bet on them (eight times against, won seven)... but Cain might be the best 3-10 pitcher in baseball since 2000. Yes, "Z" has been very impressive since the Barrett incident, but no way does he merit laying this price.
Phi/LA OVER 8.5 -120. How can you not go over with these two? The Phillies just pounded out 26 hits last night, one day after LA had 18. It's a day game. Yes, the two pitchers have decent records, but don't be deceived. Billingsley has yet to put together two straight good starts and teams are starting to figure out Kendrick. This one, like the first two, seem too easy.
Stl/Fla OVER 9.5 -120. Hate laying juice on this short price, so I'll likely wait to go over 10 flat or -105... I've been trying to give Wells a chance all season but he's worn out his welcome, lol; the D-Train has really struggled too, not winning since May. Gotta think one of them is going to get beat around, at least... and then the pens gotta get involved. In fact, I just laid over 10 -105 at Pinny...
Ariz/Milwaukee OVER 9 -116. Davis going at Milk for the first time since last year's trade. Cappy has really been getting beaten around lately. He was 5-0 at one point but hasn't won since; and he might have mechanical problems. Each WHIP (1.73 and 1.54) suggests that this game flies over.
Diego -103. Mad Dog as a slight dog here; despite his problems lately, I still look for him to have a better chance to rebound than Maine, who was clobbered around by the Reds last time out. Perhaps a little All-Star stub disappointment? He has gone through cycles of good starts, then bad ones, then good ones... Perhaps he's at the start of another bad cycle? Mets off impressive win over Peavy last night, so could they be satisfied with one win in Diego? Can't bet under because of the recent struggles of both pitchers, but I would never bet over in a Diego night game - not when it's 8 or more.
ChiSox plus 134. This price is just ricidulous. Buehrle has been one of the best pitchers in baseball all season, with a WHIP inside of 1.10; while Westbrook has admittedly struggled most of the season. He's just 1-4 with a 6.08 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP. The White Sox blew yet another lead last night and that's the only reason why I didn't really bet this one heavily; this team has to be on the verge of quitting by now.
Kansas City/OVER parlay - Don't think Perez is any kind of pitcher to contain the Boston offense but Tavarez has been beat around pretty good as of late, also. KC off an easy win last night and I would not be surprised if they put up a similar offensive output tonight.
Toronto plus 165. Marcum one of the more underrated pitchers on the Jay staff. Despite a rough go of it last time, his 1.17 WHIP is actually better then Clemens's. Rocket was also banged around last time. At this price, it's worth a stab.
Anaheim/Tampa OVER 9 -115. Biggest bet of the day. Not sure how they can make it this low. Last night's game had two better pitchers and an under-leaning ump and it still went over... Yes, Colon is 9-1 vs. Tampa in his career but look at his recent form. Meanwhile, Kazmir continues to throw too many pitches... The 1.62 and 1.56 WHIPs are less than impressive. I might lose this one but I'll take my shot at it.
Leaning to Minnesota RL. Not going to lay the ridiculous price against the young kid for Detroit who has pitched well most of the year. But Johan is nearly unbeatable at home in the second half and is 11-3 vs. DET in his career. Nothing yet but if I can get it at plus money or better it will likely be a bet.
GL!
:cheers:
Col/Pitt UNDER 8.5 -120. Also going UNDER 8 -105 for half of this bet; just happened to see it at Pinnacle after I had bet it with Spiro. Francis had a rocky go of it last time but he got good run support. Snell also struggled last time but very rarely does he have two bad outings in a row. I expect a bounce-back today and a low-scoring affair on getaway day.
Reds plus 151. Had them last time, as well, as Arroyo has turned things around in his last three starts. Now they get a 10-2 starter against Smoltz, who hasn't been setting the world on fire as of late. In fact, he actually is coming off a mini stint on the DL, as his last go was on July 3. Price is just too high.
Lean to Washington because Bergmann is better than he showed the last time. Expect the plus-money to go away sometime later this morning - wise guys would only be on WASH.
Giants plus 160. Frisco is going to be without Bonds again today and last night was the first time in 26 games (!) I bet on them (eight times against, won seven)... but Cain might be the best 3-10 pitcher in baseball since 2000. Yes, "Z" has been very impressive since the Barrett incident, but no way does he merit laying this price.
Phi/LA OVER 8.5 -120. How can you not go over with these two? The Phillies just pounded out 26 hits last night, one day after LA had 18. It's a day game. Yes, the two pitchers have decent records, but don't be deceived. Billingsley has yet to put together two straight good starts and teams are starting to figure out Kendrick. This one, like the first two, seem too easy.
Stl/Fla OVER 9.5 -120. Hate laying juice on this short price, so I'll likely wait to go over 10 flat or -105... I've been trying to give Wells a chance all season but he's worn out his welcome, lol; the D-Train has really struggled too, not winning since May. Gotta think one of them is going to get beat around, at least... and then the pens gotta get involved. In fact, I just laid over 10 -105 at Pinny...
Ariz/Milwaukee OVER 9 -116. Davis going at Milk for the first time since last year's trade. Cappy has really been getting beaten around lately. He was 5-0 at one point but hasn't won since; and he might have mechanical problems. Each WHIP (1.73 and 1.54) suggests that this game flies over.
Diego -103. Mad Dog as a slight dog here; despite his problems lately, I still look for him to have a better chance to rebound than Maine, who was clobbered around by the Reds last time out. Perhaps a little All-Star stub disappointment? He has gone through cycles of good starts, then bad ones, then good ones... Perhaps he's at the start of another bad cycle? Mets off impressive win over Peavy last night, so could they be satisfied with one win in Diego? Can't bet under because of the recent struggles of both pitchers, but I would never bet over in a Diego night game - not when it's 8 or more.
ChiSox plus 134. This price is just ricidulous. Buehrle has been one of the best pitchers in baseball all season, with a WHIP inside of 1.10; while Westbrook has admittedly struggled most of the season. He's just 1-4 with a 6.08 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP. The White Sox blew yet another lead last night and that's the only reason why I didn't really bet this one heavily; this team has to be on the verge of quitting by now.
Kansas City/OVER parlay - Don't think Perez is any kind of pitcher to contain the Boston offense but Tavarez has been beat around pretty good as of late, also. KC off an easy win last night and I would not be surprised if they put up a similar offensive output tonight.
Toronto plus 165. Marcum one of the more underrated pitchers on the Jay staff. Despite a rough go of it last time, his 1.17 WHIP is actually better then Clemens's. Rocket was also banged around last time. At this price, it's worth a stab.
Anaheim/Tampa OVER 9 -115. Biggest bet of the day. Not sure how they can make it this low. Last night's game had two better pitchers and an under-leaning ump and it still went over... Yes, Colon is 9-1 vs. Tampa in his career but look at his recent form. Meanwhile, Kazmir continues to throw too many pitches... The 1.62 and 1.56 WHIPs are less than impressive. I might lose this one but I'll take my shot at it.
Leaning to Minnesota RL. Not going to lay the ridiculous price against the young kid for Detroit who has pitched well most of the year. But Johan is nearly unbeatable at home in the second half and is 11-3 vs. DET in his career. Nothing yet but if I can get it at plus money or better it will likely be a bet.
GL!
:cheers:
