MLB Parlay Picks of the Day
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
Wednesday, August 11, 2021 at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park in San Diego
Daytime Sandy
There is a unique fact about Marlin starter Sandy Alcantara that you should keep in mind both today and in the future.
In his career, his nighttime ERA is 4.40 in 44 starts. Conversely, he enjoys a 2.51 ERA in 24 daytime starts.
This stark distinction in daytime versus nighttime abilities continues to play out this season.
So far this season, his ERA in day games is 2.04 in 10 starts. In contrast, he yields a 5.06 ERA in 13 nighttime starts.
His strong capability during the day has tremendous betting consequences.
In 2021 daytime games when Alcantara starts, the "under" is 7-1-2.
Ryan Weathers
The only skepticism I can imagine surrounding Padre starter Ryan Weathers would be a consequence of his recent starts.
While he did allow a lot of runs in his last start, a deeper look at the statistics suggests that he was merely suffering from tough luck.
In this last start of his, he induced more soft contact than usual and allowed hard contact at a much lower rate than his season average.
But he gave up a lot of runs because he yielded an improbably high .500 BABIP (batting average of balls in play).
His 3.50 FIP (like ERA, but factors out fielding) in that game indicates that, individually, he actually performed well. So his form is not bad.
Weathers vs. Marlin Batters
Weathers promises to perform well today because he is a lefty and the Marlins rank 28th in slugging against lefties.
Marlin batters have seen little of Weathers in their careers. Miguel Rojas, for example, is 0-for-2 against him.
Their struggles against Weathers will help keep the first five innings low-scoring.
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Indians
Wednesday, August 11, 2021 at 7:10 p.m. ET at Progressive Field in Cleveland
Frankie Montas' Persistent Form
In his last five starts, Montas has yielded a sub-two FIP in four of them.
Given this trend, his form looks very good.
One may try to raise the concern that the Indians match up well against him based on their slugging numbers against his pitches.
But Montas' strong form has persisted even against teams with nearly identical slugging numbers against his pitches.
Expect little from Myles Straw for example. The Cleveland base-stealer is 0-for-6 in his career against Montas.
Cal Quantrill
With Cal Quantrill starting for Cleveland, this will be a game where both starting pitchers who have been pitching well will continue to pitch well.
Quantrill, in each of his last five games, has allowed one run or zero runs.
His recent victims include teams that boast top-five lineups in terms of runs per game.
So it's not like he's been mowing down low-quality lineups.
Moreover, he also matches up well against Oakland. the A's rank 25th in slugging .359 against his two favorite pitches, the sinker and slider, from righties.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels
Wednesday, August 11, 2021 at 9:38 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California
Los Angeles' Bad Hitting
Lately, the Angel lineup has looked awful and it shows poor form.
It may not seem too bad that they've exceeded three runs in three of their last seven games.
But consider the exceptions: one exception came in extra innings. Another exception came against a winless Texas pitcher with a 6.16 ERA.
The third exception came with the help of two unearned runs and the opposition of a left-handed starter. The Angels are superb against left-handed pitching.
Alek Manoah
Toronto starter Alek Manoah could hardly be further removed from the exceptional circumstances that have benefited L.A.'s mostly poor hitting.
He is not a lefty. His ERA -- at 2.58 -- is low. His FIP is only higher because he suffered two catastrophic starts in which he allowed a combined total of seven homers.
But in his other eight starts, he's allowed two earned runs or fewer.
Dylan Bundy vs. Blue Jay Batters
Angel starter Dylan Bundy has been bizarrely bad at home this season.
His ERA and FIP are both well over 5.50 in his home starts this season.
While his form at home looks awful, Toronto enjoys a generally strong team rhythm.
The Blue Jays have been excellent except in double headers, which almost entirely explain why they are "only" 11-3 in their last 14 games.
Bo Bichette, George Springer, and Lourdes Gurriel will help prolong Toronto's positive form. They are each slugging .400 or higher in their career against Bundy.
The Verdict
Expect low-scaring starts in the Marlins/Padres and Athletics/Indians games. At night, Toronto will race past the Angels.
For the above reasons, parlay the Marlins/Padres first-half under with the Athletics/Indians first-half under, and the Blue Jays full-game run-line.
Feel free to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
Best Bet: Parlay Marlins/Padres First-Half Under 4 at -105, Athletics/Indians First-Half Under 5 at -115, & Blue Jays Full-Game RL at -115 at +582 odds with Bovada
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
Wednesday, August 11, 2021 at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park in San Diego
Daytime Sandy
There is a unique fact about Marlin starter Sandy Alcantara that you should keep in mind both today and in the future.
In his career, his nighttime ERA is 4.40 in 44 starts. Conversely, he enjoys a 2.51 ERA in 24 daytime starts.
This stark distinction in daytime versus nighttime abilities continues to play out this season.
So far this season, his ERA in day games is 2.04 in 10 starts. In contrast, he yields a 5.06 ERA in 13 nighttime starts.
His strong capability during the day has tremendous betting consequences.
In 2021 daytime games when Alcantara starts, the "under" is 7-1-2.
Ryan Weathers
The only skepticism I can imagine surrounding Padre starter Ryan Weathers would be a consequence of his recent starts.
While he did allow a lot of runs in his last start, a deeper look at the statistics suggests that he was merely suffering from tough luck.
In this last start of his, he induced more soft contact than usual and allowed hard contact at a much lower rate than his season average.
But he gave up a lot of runs because he yielded an improbably high .500 BABIP (batting average of balls in play).
His 3.50 FIP (like ERA, but factors out fielding) in that game indicates that, individually, he actually performed well. So his form is not bad.
Weathers vs. Marlin Batters
Weathers promises to perform well today because he is a lefty and the Marlins rank 28th in slugging against lefties.
Marlin batters have seen little of Weathers in their careers. Miguel Rojas, for example, is 0-for-2 against him.
Their struggles against Weathers will help keep the first five innings low-scoring.
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Indians
Wednesday, August 11, 2021 at 7:10 p.m. ET at Progressive Field in Cleveland
Frankie Montas' Persistent Form
In his last five starts, Montas has yielded a sub-two FIP in four of them.
Given this trend, his form looks very good.
One may try to raise the concern that the Indians match up well against him based on their slugging numbers against his pitches.
But Montas' strong form has persisted even against teams with nearly identical slugging numbers against his pitches.
Expect little from Myles Straw for example. The Cleveland base-stealer is 0-for-6 in his career against Montas.
Cal Quantrill
With Cal Quantrill starting for Cleveland, this will be a game where both starting pitchers who have been pitching well will continue to pitch well.
Quantrill, in each of his last five games, has allowed one run or zero runs.
His recent victims include teams that boast top-five lineups in terms of runs per game.
So it's not like he's been mowing down low-quality lineups.
Moreover, he also matches up well against Oakland. the A's rank 25th in slugging .359 against his two favorite pitches, the sinker and slider, from righties.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels
Wednesday, August 11, 2021 at 9:38 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California
Los Angeles' Bad Hitting
Lately, the Angel lineup has looked awful and it shows poor form.
It may not seem too bad that they've exceeded three runs in three of their last seven games.
But consider the exceptions: one exception came in extra innings. Another exception came against a winless Texas pitcher with a 6.16 ERA.
The third exception came with the help of two unearned runs and the opposition of a left-handed starter. The Angels are superb against left-handed pitching.
Alek Manoah
Toronto starter Alek Manoah could hardly be further removed from the exceptional circumstances that have benefited L.A.'s mostly poor hitting.
He is not a lefty. His ERA -- at 2.58 -- is low. His FIP is only higher because he suffered two catastrophic starts in which he allowed a combined total of seven homers.
But in his other eight starts, he's allowed two earned runs or fewer.
Dylan Bundy vs. Blue Jay Batters
Angel starter Dylan Bundy has been bizarrely bad at home this season.
His ERA and FIP are both well over 5.50 in his home starts this season.
While his form at home looks awful, Toronto enjoys a generally strong team rhythm.
The Blue Jays have been excellent except in double headers, which almost entirely explain why they are "only" 11-3 in their last 14 games.
Bo Bichette, George Springer, and Lourdes Gurriel will help prolong Toronto's positive form. They are each slugging .400 or higher in their career against Bundy.
The Verdict
Expect low-scaring starts in the Marlins/Padres and Athletics/Indians games. At night, Toronto will race past the Angels.
For the above reasons, parlay the Marlins/Padres first-half under with the Athletics/Indians first-half under, and the Blue Jays full-game run-line.
Feel free to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
Best Bet: Parlay Marlins/Padres First-Half Under 4 at -105, Athletics/Indians First-Half Under 5 at -115, & Blue Jays Full-Game RL at -115 at +582 odds with Bovada
